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E-grāmata: Accidental Brexit: New EU and Transatlantic Economic Perspectives

  • Formāts: PDF+DRM
  • Izdošanas datums: 31-Aug-2017
  • Izdevniecība: Springer International Publishing AG
  • Valoda: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9783319582719
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  • Formāts: PDF+DRM
  • Izdošanas datums: 31-Aug-2017
  • Izdevniecība: Springer International Publishing AG
  • Valoda: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9783319582719

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This book analyzes how the EU referendum in the United Kingdom came to pass and what the foreseeable consequences are for the UK, Europe, US and world economy. The Brexit decision represents a momentous event for Europe, which weakens the EU and shifts the global balance of power. Welfens argues the EU has lost its appeal and is not in keeping with the twenty-first century, which is being shaped by Asia and digital innovations. The subject of immigration from EU countries played a key role in the Brexit decision, with an anti-EU campaign that was profoundly biased. The estimated impact of the referendum was deeply distorted by the broadly inadequate information produced by the Cameron government, which omitted the expected 10 percent loss in income caused by leaving the EU. With this this information, there could have been a clear pro-EU majority. In the absence of a second referendum, one cannot know what the British electorate really wants. Both the Brexit decision and new President of the United States Donald Trump's approach to European disintegration dynamics also raise serious questions about the future of transatlantic relations.
1 Introduction
1(32)
Part I The Referendum Process and Politico-Economic Aspects
2 Brexit: A Campaign and a Fatal Communication Disaster
33(48)
3 A Sequencing of the Economic Effects of Brexit
81(58)
Part II UK, US and EU Perspectives
4 Aspects of British History and Policy
139(26)
5 Key Issues for the New British Government
165(10)
6 Medium-Term UK Macroeconomic Perspectives
175(14)
7 Brexit from a US Point of View
189(28)
8 Trump Policies Expected to Contradict 70 Years of American Principles and Rationale
217(12)
9 Can Brexit Be an Economic Success and What Effects Can Be Expected for the EU27?
229(16)
Part III EU Developments
10 What Is the EU? A Redistribution and Trade Engine with a Political Element
245(14)
11 The History of European Integration and the Role of Rules
259(12)
12 EU Integration Perspectives After Brexit
271(14)
13 Eurozone Perspectives and Reform Needs
285(14)
Part IV Consequences
14 A Second Brexit Referendum: A Scenario for Staying in the EU
299(6)
15 Beyond Brexit: Inequality Dynamics and a European Social Market Economy
305(48)
16 Conclusions
353(18)
Appendix 371(60)
Index 431
Paul J.J. Welfens is Jean Monnet Professor for European Economic Integration, Chair for Macroeconomics at the Schumpeter School of Business and Economics, and President of the European Institute for International Economic Relations at the University of Wuppertal, Germany. He is Research Fellow at IZA, Germany, and Non-Resident Senior Research Fellow at AICGS/Johns Hopkins University, USA.