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ix | |
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xi | |
Acknowledgments |
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xiii | |
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The Global Diffusion of Arms |
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3 | (16) |
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3 | (1) |
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The Importance of the Spread of Arms |
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4 | (5) |
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Views of Proliferation: The Cold War and After |
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9 | (4) |
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Emergence of a Diffusion Mindset |
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13 | (3) |
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16 | (3) |
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The Arms Trade, Proliferation, and Diffusion: A Literature Review |
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19 | (26) |
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The Literature on the Arms Trade and Proliferation |
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20 | (2) |
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Single-State Case Studies of Military Producers, Exporters, and Importers |
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22 | (8) |
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30 | (2) |
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Macro Approaches to the Arms Trade |
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32 | (5) |
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The Spread of Arms and the Literature on Diffusion Processes |
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37 | (5) |
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42 | (3) |
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Developing Theoretical Models of Arms Diffusion: Why do Arms Diffuse? |
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45 | (28) |
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46 | (11) |
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57 | (3) |
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Domestic Political Factors |
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60 | (5) |
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Domestic Economic Factors |
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65 | (2) |
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67 | (6) |
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Arms Diffusion and the Nature of Military Innovation |
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73 | (30) |
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What is a Military Technological Innovation? |
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73 | (4) |
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Developing a Scheme for Classifying MTIs |
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77 | (4) |
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Arms Diffusion and Technological Generations |
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81 | (6) |
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Criticisms of the Generational Approach |
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87 | (4) |
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Selecting Innovations for Analysis |
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91 | (5) |
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The Resultant Case Selection and Time Frame |
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96 | (7) |
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The Diffusion of Arms: Mapping the Empirical Terrain |
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103 | (34) |
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The Basic Patterns of Arms Diffusion |
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103 | (8) |
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The Rate of Arms Diffusion |
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111 | (7) |
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Arms Diffusion: Regional and State-Level Stratification |
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118 | (5) |
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123 | (14) |
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Testing Models of Arms Diffusion |
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137 | (24) |
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The Diffusion Term in Models 1-4 |
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138 | (2) |
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Independent Variables for Models 1-4 |
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140 | (2) |
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142 | (10) |
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152 | (2) |
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154 | (7) |
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The Future of Arms Diffusion |
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161 | (20) |
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Interpreting the Decline in Arms Diffusion Rates |
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162 | (3) |
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Past Diffusion and the Spread of New Military Technologies |
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165 | (11) |
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Directions for Future Research |
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176 | (2) |
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178 | (3) |
Appendix A Weapon Systems Designations and Nomenclature |
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181 | (12) |
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181 | (3) |
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Variance Between Arms Categories |
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184 | (1) |
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Variance Between Producers Within States |
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185 | (1) |
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Variance Between Military Branches Within States |
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186 | (1) |
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187 | (2) |
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189 | (4) |
Appendix B Combat Aircraft |
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193 | (12) |
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193 | (1) |
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193 | (2) |
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195 | (3) |
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198 | (3) |
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Diffusion of Generation 3 Combat Aircraft |
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201 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 4 Combat Aircraft |
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202 | (3) |
Appendix C Attack Helicopters |
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205 | (6) |
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205 | (1) |
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205 | (1) |
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206 | (1) |
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207 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 1 Attack Helicopters |
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208 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 2 Attack Helicopters |
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209 | (2) |
Appendix D Main Battle Tanks |
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211 | (10) |
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211 | (1) |
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211 | (1) |
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212 | (2) |
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214 | (2) |
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Diffusion of Generation 2 Main Battle Tanks |
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216 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 3 Main Battle Tanks |
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217 | (4) |
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Preface to Appendices E, F, and G |
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219 | (2) |
Appendix E Ground-Based Surface-to-Air Missiles I: Long-Range SAMs |
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221 | (10) |
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221 | (1) |
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221 | (2) |
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223 | (2) |
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225 | (3) |
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Diffusion of Generation 1 Long-Range SAMs |
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228 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 2 Long-Range SAMs |
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228 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 3 Long-Range SAMs |
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229 | (2) |
Appendix F Ground-Based Surface-to-Air Missiles II: Point-Defense SAMs |
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231 | (6) |
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231 | (1) |
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232 | (1) |
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232 | (1) |
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233 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 1 Point-Defense SAMs |
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234 | (3) |
Appendix G Ground-Based Surface-to-Air Missiles III: Shoulder-Fired Pads |
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237 | (10) |
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237 | (1) |
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237 | (2) |
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239 | (1) |
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240 | (3) |
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Diffusion of Generation 1 Shoulder-Fired SAMs |
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243 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 2 Shoulder-Fired SAMs |
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244 | (3) |
Appendix H Anti-Tank Guided Missiles |
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247 | (10) |
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247 | (1) |
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248 | (1) |
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249 | (1) |
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250 | (3) |
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Diffusion of Generation 1 Anti-Tank Guided Missiles |
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253 | (1) |
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Diffusion of Generation 2 Anti-Tank Guided Missiles |
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254 | (3) |
Appendix I State Diffusion Scores by Region |
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257 | (8) |
Bibliography |
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265 | (22) |
Index |
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287 | |