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E-grāmata: Art of Intelligence: Simulations, Exercises, and Games

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Since the 9/11 attacks, the number of intelligence courses and related curricula have soared. Many instructors look for interactive learning tools because they add immeasurable value to the students understanding of the intelligence enterprise. Such tools, however, take time and effort to develop and are not circulated among faculty.

This is the first textbook to offer in one volume original simulations, exercises, and games designed by academics and intelligence professionals from several countries. These innovative methods are meant to enhance the learning experience and provide an international perspective to the topics and approaches discussed in class.

Intelligence simulations and games are presented in ready-to run formats, from easy instructions to result recordings matrices, to minimize preparation time for both instructors and students. Exercises, such as cyber attack simulation, information sharing, ethical scenarios and more, expose the student to the many subtle aspects of the intelligence enterprise through active role-playing in simulations and game exercises. The cases cover a wide range of key analytical issues and contexts with an international focus for an innovative text that will suit intelligence training courses at all levels.

Recenzijas

[ T]his anthology deserves to be widely used in intelligence education. * Intelligencer * The Art of Intelligence: Simulations, Exercises, and Games is an  important and highly engaging addition to the intelligence education library, providing teachers and students with a set of well-crafted simulations that will allow for in-class, hands-on instruction that cannot be found elsewhere.  -- Mark Lowenthal, author of Intelligence: From Secrets to Policy; President of the Intelligence & Security Academy This innovative book is a most welcome resource, providing a wide range of useful and engaging teaching/training materials that will enrich the student experience and facilitate improved understanding of analytic techniques. -- Mark Phythian, Professor of Politics, University of Leicester

Foreword vii
Acknowledgments ix
Introduction xi
William J. Lahneman
Ruben Arcos
Part I One- or Two-Class Sessions Simulations
1 Simulating Iraqi WMD: A Ready-to-Use Simulation
3(20)
William J. Lahneman
Hugo A. Keesing
2 Competing Hypotheses in Contemporary Intelligence Analysis
23(12)
Julian Richards
3 Facing Intelligence Analysts with Ethical Scenarios
35(26)
Fernando Velasco
Ruben Arcos
4 Spies and Lies: The Perils of Collection---A Simulation
61(14)
Kristan J. Wheaton
James Breckenridge
5 Learning Intelligence Analysis: The Development of Cognitive Strategies
75(24)
Dan Mazare
Gabriel Sebe
6 Kim's Game: Developing Powers of Observation and Memory
99(6)
William J. Lahneman
Part II One- to Two-Week Simulations
7 Cyber Attack on the Office of Intelligence Production: A Collaborative Simulation
105(20)
Randolph H. Pherson
Vaughn F. Bishop
8 Market and Competitor Analysis: Real Exercise
125(18)
Luis Madureira
9 "Need-to-Share" Intelligence and Crisis Management in Fighting Terrorism and Organized Crime: The Need for Integrated Training Solutions
143(18)
Gheorghe-Teodoru Stefan
Cristian Barna
10 A 3D Intelligence Analysis on Migration as Security Threat: From Data to Intelligence
161(14)
Irena Dumitru
Ella Magdalena Ciuperca
11 TEST Simulation Model (Team-working and Experiential Scenario-based Training): "Secrets and Mysteries"
175(10)
Chris Jagger
Julian Richards
Part III Multiweek Simulations
12 Understanding Bayesian Thinking: Prior and Posterior Probabilities and Analysis of Competing Hypotheses in Intelligence Analysis
185(18)
David Omand
13 Jointery versus Tradecraft: The Brunei Analytical Simulation and Alternative Approaches to Intelligence Analysis and Analytical Professionalization in Postgraduate Academic Teaching
203(20)
Philip H. J. Davies
14 Social Intelligence Survey: Mapping the Webs of Embedded Intelligence Functions
223(16)
Wilhelm Agrell
Tobbe Petterson
15 Multimedia Intelligence Products: Experiencing the Intelligence Production Process and Adding Layers of Information to Intelligence Reports
239(22)
Ruben Arcos
Manuel Gertrudix
Jose Ignacio Prieto
Index 261(14)
About the Editors 275(2)
About the Authors 277
William J. Lahneman is associate professor of homeland security at Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University, Daytona Beach, Florida.

Rubén Arcos is professor of communication sciences at Rey Juan Carlos University (Madrid, Spain), professor and deputy director at the Centre for Intelligence Services and Democratic Systems, and coordinator of the MA Program in Intelligence Analysis.