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Assessing Systemic Strengths and Vulnerabilities of China's Defense Industrial Base: With a Repeatable Methodology for Other Countries [Mīkstie vāki]

  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 142 pages, Illustrations
  • Izdošanas datums: 30-Apr-2022
  • Izdevniecība: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 1977408613
  • ISBN-13: 9781977408617
  • Mīkstie vāki
  • Cena: 40,40 €
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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 142 pages, Illustrations
  • Izdošanas datums: 30-Apr-2022
  • Izdevniecība: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 1977408613
  • ISBN-13: 9781977408617
"In response to a requirement set in the National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2021, the authors examine the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB) by designing and applying a comparative analytic structure that could be used to assess any country's DIB. This assessment of China's DIB applies the new methodology's focus on six fundamental topics: economics; governance and regulations; research, development, and innovation; workforce, labor, and skills; manufacturing; and raw materials. The methodology was designed as a comparative systems analysis to reveal systemic strengths and vulnerabilities of a country's DIB, and, in doing so for China, the authors have further identified several areas in which China isreliant on the United States and U.S. allies. Coalescing the report's findings into an integrated analysis will provide input to U.S. and other nations' policymakers in an era of renewed strategic competition. The authors also identify information requirements that would improve the assessment of China's and other countries' DIBs in the future."--Publisher's description.

The authors assess the strengths and vulnerabilities of China's defense industrial base (DIB) by designing and applying a comparative analytic structure that could be used to assess any country's DIB.

About This Report iii
Summary iv
Figures and Tables
xi
1 Introduction
1(8)
Approach for This Study
2(3)
Organization of This Study
5(1)
China and Its DIB
5(4)
2 Economics
9(10)
Fundamental Endowments
9(1)
Macroeconomic Factors
10(3)
Microeconomic Factors
13(4)
Resilience and Transformation
17(2)
3 Governance and Regulations
19(13)
Technology Transfer and Intellectual Property Protections
19(1)
Imports
20(2)
Exports
22(2)
Defense Spending
24(2)
Acquisition and Procurement Policies, Processes, and Oversight
26(3)
Corruption
29(1)
Overarching Laws
30(2)
4 Research, Development, and Innovation
32(8)
China's Research Capacity and Enterprise NDIS Participation Are High
32(2)
The Linkages Between Actors in China's NDIS Are Relatively Weak
34(2)
China's Legal Institutions Are Relatively Weak
36(1)
China's NDIS Is Reliant on External Sources of Technology and Education
37(1)
China's NDIS Output Is High
37(3)
5 Workforce, Labor, and Skills
40(6)
China Plans to Address Its Vulnerabilities
41(1)
Higher Education's Focus on Publishing Leaves the DIB Dependent on Foreign-Trained Labor
42(1)
Younger Workers' Unmet Career Expectations Undermine Talent Retention
42(1)
Low Funding and High Dropout Rates at Chinese Vocational Schools Leave Labor Unprepared for High-Tech Manufacturing
43(1)
Demographics Are Not in China's Favor
43(2)
Opportunities Exist for the PRC
45(1)
6 Manufacturing
46(6)
Vulnerabilities and Weaknesses
49(3)
7 Raw Materials
52(5)
Nearly Half of Concentrated Minerals Are Concentrated in China
52(1)
China and the United States May Need to Compete for Some Strategic Minerals
53(3)
Although China Has a Robust Domestic Production, It Is Still Dependent on Other Countries
56(1)
8 Conclusions
57(4)
The Sheer Size of China's DIB Makes It Relatively Opaque to the United States and Unwieldy for the PRC
57(1)
China's DIB Both Benefits and Suffers from the Effects of Single-Party Dominance of Government
57(1)
China Is a Global S&T Power, Yet the Chinese Defense Innovation System Suffers from Weak Linkages Between Elements and Dependency on Foreign Inputs
58(1)
Although China's Manufacturing Capacity Looks Strong, There Are Clear Dependences That Indicate Potential Weakness
58(1)
China Will Be Vulnerable to Significant Workforce Upheaval over the Next Ten Years
59(1)
Suggested Information Requirements to Improve Assessment of China's DIB
60(1)
Appendix A Fiscal Year 2021 National Defense Authorization Act, Section 1260C
61(3)
Appendix B Assessment Methodology for a Foreign DIB
64(36)
B.1 Economics
64(7)
B.2 Governance and Regulations
71(3)
B.3 Research, Development, and Innovation
74(8)
B.4 Workforce, Labor, and Skills
82(3)
B.5 Manufacturing
85(7)
B.6 Raw Materials
92(5)
B.7 Conclusions About This Methodology
97(3)
Appendix C Our Study Approach
100(6)
Abbreviations 106(2)
References 108(15)
References Related to Raw Materials 123