SUMMARY |
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1 | (12) |
PART I |
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13 | (50) |
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13 | (4) |
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Four Centuries of Progress |
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14 | (1) |
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The Atmospheric Sciences and Other Disciplines |
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14 | (1) |
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Looking Forward to the Twenty-First Century |
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15 | (2) |
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2 CONTRIBUTIONS OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES TO THE NATIONAL WELL-BEING |
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17 | (11) |
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Protection of Life and Property |
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17 | (5) |
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Need for Forecasts and Warnings |
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18 | (3) |
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Progress in Weather Services |
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21 | (1) |
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Maintaining Environmental Quality |
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22 | (2) |
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Chlorofluorocarbons and Ozone |
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22 | (1) |
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Greenhouse Gases and Global Change |
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22 | (1) |
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23 | (1) |
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Role of Atmospheric Sciences in Environmental Issues |
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23 | (1) |
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Enhancing National Economic Vitality |
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24 | (2) |
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Benefits of Weather and Climate Information |
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24 | (2) |
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Strengthening Fundamental Understanding |
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26 | (2) |
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3 SCIENTIFIC IMPERATIVES AND RECOMMENDATIONS FOR THE DECADES AHEAD |
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28 | (18) |
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Atmospheric Science Imperative 1: Optimize and Integrate Observation Capabilities |
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29 | (8) |
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New Observing Opportunities |
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30 | (1) |
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Requirements for Optimizing and Integrating Observing Systems |
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31 | (2) |
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Observing System Simulation Experiments |
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33 | (1) |
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Atmospheric Science Imperative 2: Develop New Observation Capabilities |
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33 | (1) |
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34 | (1) |
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35 | (1) |
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Observations in the Stratosphere |
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36 | (1) |
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Observations in Near-Earth Space |
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37 | (1) |
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Atmospheric Research Recommendation 1: Resolve Interactions at Atmospheric Boundaries and Among Different Scales of Flow |
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37 | (4) |
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38 | (1) |
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Long-Term Interactios with the Oceans |
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38 | (1) |
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Clouds and Their Consequences |
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39 | (1) |
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Aerosols and Atmospheric Chemistry |
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40 | (1) |
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The Fundamental Problem of Nonlinearity |
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40 | (1) |
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Atmospheric Research Recommendation 2: Extend a Disciplined Forecast Process to New Areas |
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41 | (2) |
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Atmospheric Research Recommendation 3: Initiate Studies of Emerging Issues |
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43 | (3) |
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Climate, Weather and Health |
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44 | (1) |
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44 | (1) |
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Rapidly Increasing Emissions to the Atmosphere |
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45 | (1) |
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4 LEADERSHIP AND MANAGEMENT CHALLENGES IN THE DECADES AHEAD |
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46 | (17) |
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Leadership and Management Recommendation 1: Develop a Strategy for Providing Atmospheric Information |
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46 | (4) |
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A Changing System for Providing Weather Services |
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47 | (1) |
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Prospects for Atmospheric Information |
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48 | (1) |
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Implications of Distributed Atmospheric Information Services |
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49 | (1) |
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Leadership and Management Recommendation 2: Ensure Access to Atmospheric Information |
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50 | (1) |
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Leadership and Management Recommendation 3: Assess Benefits and Costs |
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51 | (7) |
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Federal Funding of Atmospheric Research and Services |
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52 | (6) |
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Leadership and Management Planning |
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58 | (5) |
PART II DISCIPLINARY ASSESSMENTS |
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63 | (262) |
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1 ATMOSPHERIC PHYSICS RESEARCH ENTERING THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY |
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63 | (44) |
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63 | (5) |
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Major Scientific Goals and Challenges |
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63 | (1) |
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Key Components of the Scientific Strategy |
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64 | (1) |
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Initiatives to Support the Strategies |
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65 | (1) |
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Expected Benefits and Contributions to the National Well-Being |
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65 | (1) |
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Recommended Atmospheric Physics Research |
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66 | (2) |
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68 | (3) |
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68 | (1) |
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Major Research Themes and Past Accomplishments |
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69 | (1) |
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Perspective for the Future |
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70 | (1) |
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Scientific Challenges and Questions |
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71 | (12) |
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71 | (3) |
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74 | (3) |
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77 | (2) |
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Boundary Layer Meteorology |
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79 | (2) |
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Small-Scale Atmospheric Dynamics |
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81 | (2) |
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Disciplinary Research Challenges |
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83 | (23) |
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Contributions to National Goals |
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106 | (1) |
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2 ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY RESEARCH ENTERING THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY |
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107 | (62) |
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107 | (4) |
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Major Scientific Questions and Challenge |
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108 | (1) |
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Overarching Research Challenges |
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109 | (1) |
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Disciplinary Research Challenges |
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110 | (1) |
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Infrastructural Initiatives |
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110 | (1) |
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Expected Benefits and Contribution to the National Well-Being |
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111 | (1) |
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Introduction and Overview |
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111 | (29) |
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112 | (2) |
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Insights of the Twentieth Century |
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114 | (7) |
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Disciplinary Research Challenges |
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121 | (11) |
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Overarching Research Challenges |
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132 | (3) |
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Infrastructural Initiatives |
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135 | (5) |
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140 | (1) |
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The Environmentally Important Atmospheric Species: Scientific Questions and Research Strategies |
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140 | (29) |
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140 | (7) |
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Atmospheric Greenhouse Gases |
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147 | (10) |
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157 | (5) |
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162 | (4) |
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166 | (3) |
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3 ATMOSPHERIC DYNAMICS AND WEATHER FORECASTING RESEARCH ENTERING THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY |
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169 | (30) |
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169 | (6) |
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Emerging Research Opportunities |
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170 | (3) |
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173 | (2) |
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175 | (22) |
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175 | (12) |
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187 | (6) |
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Technological Developments |
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193 | (4) |
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197 | (2) |
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4 UPPER ATMOSPHERE AND NEAR-EARTH SPACE RESEARCH ENTERING THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY |
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199 | (73) |
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199 | (5) |
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Major Scientific Goals and Challenges |
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200 | (1) |
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Key Components of the Scientific Strategy |
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200 | (1) |
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Scientific Requirements for the Coming Decade(s) |
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200 | (2) |
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Expected Benefits and Contributions to the National Well-Being |
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202 | (1) |
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Upper-Atmosphere and Near-Earth Space Research Tasks |
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202 | (2) |
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204 | (7) |
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204 | (1) |
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204 | (1) |
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205 | (1) |
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The Ionosphere-Upper Atmosphere |
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206 | (1) |
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206 | (2) |
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208 | (1) |
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208 | (3) |
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Stratospheric Processes Important for Climate and the Biosphere |
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211 | (14) |
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213 | (5) |
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218 | (1) |
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219 | (1) |
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Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Effects |
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220 | (1) |
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Atmospheric Effects of Aircraft |
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220 | (3) |
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The Role of the Stratosphere in Climate and Weather Prediction |
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223 | (1) |
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223 | (2) |
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225 | (1) |
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225 | (20) |
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228 | (9) |
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Critical Science Questions |
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237 | (4) |
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History and Current Research Activities |
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241 | (1) |
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242 | (3) |
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Middle-Upper Atmosphere Global Change |
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245 | (11) |
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245 | (4) |
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Critical Science Questions |
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249 | (1) |
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250 | (4) |
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Contributions to the Solution of Societal Problems |
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254 | (1) |
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255 | (1) |
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256 | (16) |
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Solar Energy Output over a Solar Cycle |
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257 | (2) |
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Separating Solar and Anthropogenic Effects |
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259 | (4) |
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Solar Influences on the Earth's Upper and Middle Atmosphere |
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263 | (2) |
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Physical Basis of the Solar Activity Cycle |
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265 | (3) |
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Long-Term Changes in Solar Behavior: Solar-Type Stars |
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268 | (2) |
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270 | (1) |
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Contributions to the Solution of Societal Problems |
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271 | (1) |
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5 CLIMATE AND CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH ENTERING THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY |
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272 | (53) |
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272 | (4) |
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276 | (2) |
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278 | (1) |
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Perspectives for the Twenty-First Century |
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279 | (23) |
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Insights of the Twentieth Century |
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279 | (17) |
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296 | (1) |
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Key Drivers for Research in the Twenty-First Century |
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297 | (5) |
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Objectives and Requirements for Climate Research |
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302 | (16) |
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302 | (5) |
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307 | (2) |
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309 | (1) |
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310 | (1) |
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311 | (3) |
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314 | (2) |
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316 | (2) |
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Priorities for Climate Research |
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318 | (2) |
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Build a Permanent Climate Observing System |
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319 | (1) |
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Extend the Instrumented Climate Record Through Development of Integrated Historical and Proxy Data Sets |
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320 | (1) |
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Continue and Expand Diagnostic Efforts and Process Study Research to Elucidate Key Climate Variability and Change Processes |
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320 | (1) |
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Construct and Evaluate Climate Models That Are Increasingly Comprehensive, Incorporating All Major Components of the Climate System |
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321 | (1) |
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Cross-Cutting Requirements |
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322 | (2) |
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322 | (1) |
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Institutional Arrangements |
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323 | (1) |
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Contributions to National Goals and Needs |
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324 | (1) |
REFERENCES |
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325 | (16) |
APPENDIX A Acronyms and Abbreviations |
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341 | (5) |
APPENDIX B Listing of Reports by the Committee on Atmospheric Sciences and the Board on Atmospheric Sciences and Climate Since 1958 |
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346 | (3) |
INDEX |
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349 | |