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E-grāmata: Bangladesh's Graduation from the Least Developed Countries Group: Pitfalls and Promises

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Since the group of least developed countries was identified in 1971, only five countries have graduated from the group, all of which are characterised by small size or population. The projections are that the next decade will see a rapid increase in the pace of graduation, with Bangladesh in particular poised to be one of the largest countries, in terms of its economy and population, yet to leave the group. While previously many least developed countries viewed the prospect of graduation with some apprehension, fearing significant erosion of international support, increasingly, the move is being seen as a more positive landmark. This book aims to articulate appropriate strategies and initiatives to help Bangladesh to maintain its developmental momentum and to prepare for a sustainable graduation in 2024. In doing so, the book explores themes such as key analytical issues of the LDC graduation paradigm; smooth transition and structural transformation; and, post-graduation challenges and opportunities.

Further, against the backdrop of the Gross National Income per capita, Human Assets Index and Economic Vulnerability Index goals required for graduation, the sustainable development goals set by the 2030 agenda will also be in the process of implementation. Whilst some feel that the two agendas might be in conflict, the book teases out some of the important synergies which can be drawn when LDCs are undertaking the journey of graduation in the era of the SDGs. The book also takes into cognisance the uncertain external environment and the emerging global scenario within which Bangladesh's graduation is to take place. Conceptual discourse around LDC graduation and the particular narrative around Bangladesh's journey towards LDC graduation will be of interest not only to scholars of Bangladesh, but also to researchers and policy makers with an interest in LDC graduation for other countries facing similar challenges.

List of figures
viii
List of tables
x
List of annexes
xii
List of contributors
xiii
Foreword xv
Remman Sobhan
Preface xviii
Acknowledgements xx
Abbreviations xxii
1 Bangladesh moving out of the LDC group: looking through the issues
1(15)
Debapriya Bhattacharya
Sarah Sarin Khan
Context
1(1)
Key analytical issues
1(4)
Smooth transition and structural transformation
5(2)
Post-graduation challenges and opportunities
7(2)
SDGs and smooth transition
9(3)
The global and regional environment
12(3)
Looking ahead
15(1)
2 The LDC paradigm, graduation and Bangladesh: concepts, comparison and policy
16(45)
Debapriya Bhattacharya
Sarah Sarin Khan
Introduction
16(2)
An analytical framework for LDC graduation
18(11)
LDC graduation versus becoming an MIC
29(4)
Revisiting the role of governance in the development experience of Bangladesh
33(5)
A comparative perspective on Bangladesh's graduation outlook
38(11)
Concluding observations
49(12)
3 Structural transformation of Bangladesh economy: role of smooth transition after graduation
61(48)
Khondaker Golam Moazzem
Akashlina Arno
Introduction
61(1)
Analytical framework and methodological approach
62(6)
Benchmarking structural transformation of Bangladesh's economy
68(10)
Graduation-led structural transformation in Bangladesh
78(7)
Structural transformation-enabled smooth transition after graduation
85(4)
Policy perspectives on graduation and the post-graduation period
89(20)
4 Pathways to Bangladesh's sustainable LDC graduation: prospects, challenges and strategies
109(44)
Mustaeizur Rahman
Estiaque Bari
Introduction
109(7)
Prospects for Bangladesh's sustainable graduation
116(3)
Costs and benefits of Bangladesh's LDC graduation
119(6)
Elements of a sustainable graduation strategy
125(7)
Concluding remarks
132(21)
5 Bangladesh's pursuit of the 2030 Agenda: will it facilitate smooth transition after LDC graduation?
153(45)
Fahmida Khatun
Shahida Pervin
Md. Masudur Rahman
Introduction
153(4)
Exploring linkages
157(13)
Granger causality and correlation analysis
170(6)
Conclusions and recommendations
176(22)
6 Pursuing a graduation strategy within the global and regional environment: what are the pitfalls for Bangladesh?
198(45)
Towfiqul Islam Khan
Muntaseer Kamal
Introduction
198(2)
Economic pitfalls
200(10)
Rise of new technologies
210(4)
Climate change and finance
214(4)
Governance and international security challenges
218(4)
Review of national efforts in view of emerging external challenges
222(12)
Policy guidelines for an LDC graduation strategy for Bangladesh
234(9)
Index 243
Debapriya Bhattacharya is a Distinguished Fellow at the Centre for Policy Dialogue (CPD), Dhaka, Bangladesh. He is a former Bangladesh Ambassador to WTO and UN Offices in Geneva and Vienna, Coordinator of LDC Group in the UN system and Special Advisor on LDCs to Secretary General, UNCTAD. He also chairs LDC IV Monitor - an international partnership providing independent assessment of the delivery of the Istanbul Programme of Action (IPoA) for the LDCs.