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Beyond Global Warming: How Numerical Models Revealed the Secrets of Climate Change [Hardback]

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  • Formāts: Hardback, 224 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, 8 color + 81 b/w illus.
  • Izdošanas datums: 14-Jan-2020
  • Izdevniecība: Princeton University Press
  • ISBN-10: 0691058865
  • ISBN-13: 9780691058863
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  • Hardback
  • Cena: 48,21 €
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  • Formāts: Hardback, 224 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, 8 color + 81 b/w illus.
  • Izdošanas datums: 14-Jan-2020
  • Izdevniecība: Princeton University Press
  • ISBN-10: 0691058865
  • ISBN-13: 9780691058863
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
From Nobel Prize winner Syukuro Manabe and Anthony Broccoli, a definitive account of how we have come to understand the fundamental processes behind global warming

Syukuro Manabe is perhaps the leading pioneer of modern climate modeling. Beyond Global Warming is his compelling firsthand account of how the scientific community came to understand the human causes of climate change, and how numerical models using the worlds most powerful computers have been instrumental to these vital discoveries.

Joined by atmospheric scientist Anthony Broccoli, Manabe shows how climate models have been used as virtual laboratories for examining the complex planetary interactions of atmosphere, ocean, and land. Manabe and Broccoli use these studies as the basis for a broader discussion of human-induced global warmingand what the future may hold for a warming planet. They tell the stories of early trailblazers such as Svante Arrhenius, the legendary Swedish scientist who created the first climate model of Earth more than a century ago, and they provide rare insights into Manabes own groundbreaking work over the past five decades. Expertly walking readers through key breakthroughs, they explain why increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide has caused temperatures to rise in the troposphere yet fall in the stratosphere, why the warming of the planets surface differs by hemisphere, why drought is becoming more frequent in arid regions despite the global increase in precipitation, and much more.

Authoritative and illuminating, Beyond Global Warming is an invaluable insiders look at some of todays most cutting-edge Earth science, and a rare window into a brilliant scientific mind.

Recenzijas

"Syukuro Manabe, Winner of the Nobel Prize in Physics" "Useful for those wishing to understand global warmings future impact."---Andrew Robinson, Nature "[ Highly] engaging and well written."---S.C. Pryor, Choice "Useful and enlightening . . . . The knowledge derived from the model output is clear, detailed, and relevant to a better understanding of the climate system. The purpose of the book is to lead the reader down the path that Manabe and Broccoli have followed in their careers, showcasing the methods and motivation used in each study, and explaining and contextualising their findings. In each of these goals it succeeds admirably."---Eimear Dunne, Holocene

List of Illustrations
vii
Preface xiii
Acknowledgments xv
Chapter 1 Introduction
1(15)
The Greenhouse Effect
4(7)
Global Warming
11(5)
Chapter 2 Early Studies
16(9)
The Heat-Trapping Envelope
16(1)
The First Quantitative Estimate
17(3)
A Simple Alternative
20(5)
Chapter 3 One-Dimensional Model
25(12)
Radiative-Convective Equilibrium
25(6)
The Response to CO2 Change
31(6)
Chapter 4 General Circulation Models
37(13)
The UCLA Model
38(3)
The GFDL Model
41(9)
Chapter 5 Early Numerical Experiments
50(20)
Polar Amplification
50(10)
Seasonal Variation
60(10)
Chapter 6 Climate Sensitivity
70(24)
Radiative Feedback
70(3)
The Gain Factor Metric
73(3)
Feedbacks of the Second Kind
76(6)
Feedback in 3-D Models
82(12)
Chapter 7 Glacial-Interglacial Contrast
94(12)
The Geologic Signature
94(2)
Simulated Glacial-Interglacial Contrast
96(10)
Chapter 8 The Role of the Ocean in Climate Change
106(31)
The Thermal Inertia of the Ocean
106(7)
The Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Model
113(2)
Initialization and Flux Adjustment
115(3)
Global Warming Experiments
118(7)
The Atlantic Ocean
125(5)
The Southern Ocean
130(7)
Chapter 9 Cold Climate and Deep Water Formation
137(9)
Chapter 10 Global Change in Water Availability
146(21)
Acceleration of the Water Cycle
146(3)
Numerical Experiments
149(3)
The Latitudinal Profile
152(4)
River Discharge
156(4)
Soil Moisture
160(6)
Implications for the Future
166(1)
Postscript 167(2)
References 169(12)
Index 181
Syukuro Manabe, winner of the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics, is a pioneer in the use of computers to simulate global climate change. He is senior meteorologist in the Program in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at Princeton University. Anthony J. Broccoli is professor of environmental sciences at Rutgers University.