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Catastrophes, Confrontations, and Constraints: How Disasters Shape the Dynamics of Armed Conflicts [Mīkstie vāki]

  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 304 pages, height x width: 229x152 mm, 12 black and white illustrations
  • Izdošanas datums: 06-Jun-2023
  • Izdevniecība: MIT Press
  • ISBN-10: 0262545551
  • ISBN-13: 9780262545556
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  • Cena: 58,62 €
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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 304 pages, height x width: 229x152 mm, 12 black and white illustrations
  • Izdošanas datums: 06-Jun-2023
  • Izdevniecība: MIT Press
  • ISBN-10: 0262545551
  • ISBN-13: 9780262545556
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
"Comprehensive analysis of how climate and environmental disasters influence armed conflict dynamics around the world"--

A ground-breaking study on how natural disasters can escalate or defuse wars, insurgencies, and other strife.

Armed conflict and natural disasters have plagued the twenty-first century. Not since the end of World War II has the number of armed conflicts been higher. At the same time, natural disasters have increased in frequency and intensity over the past two decades, their impacts worsened by climate change, urbanization, and persistent social and economic inequalities. Providing the first comprehensive analysis of the interplay between natural disasters and armed conflict, Catastrophes, Confrontations, and Constraints explores the extent to which disasters facilitate the escalation or abatement of armed conflicts—as well as the ways and contexts in which combatants exploit these catastrophes.

Tobias Ide utilizes both qualitative insights and quantitative data to explain the link between disasters and the (de-)escalation of armed conflict and presents over thirty case studies of earthquakes, droughts, floods, and storms in Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and Latin America. He also examines the impact of COVID-19 on armed conflicts in Iraq, Afghanistan, Nigeria, and the Philippines.

Catastrophes, Confrontations, and Constraints is an invaluable addition to current debates on climate change, environmental stress, and security. Professionals and students will greatly appreciate the wealth of timely data it provides for their own investigations.
Acknowledgments xi
1 Setting the Foundation: Disasters and Conflicts
1(18)
Why Study Disasters and Armed Conflicts?
1(4)
The Emergence of Disaster-Conflict Research
5(3)
State of Knowledge
8(4)
Contributions of This Study
12(2)
Goal, Definitions, and Plan
14(5)
2 After the Disaster: Motives, Strategies, and Incentives for Conflict (De-)escalation
19(20)
Grievances
25(2)
Solidarity
27(2)
Opportunity
29(3)
Constraints
32(1)
Costly Signal
33(2)
Image Cultivation
35(2)
Summary
37(2)
3 Cases, Conditions, and Qualitative Comparative Analysis
39(16)
Sample of Cases
39(2)
Data Collection and Analysis
41(7)
Causal Conditions and Theoretical Expectations
48(7)
4 Disasters and Armed Conflict Dynamics: Evidence from 36 Cases
55(84)
Cases of Conflict Escalation after Disasters
55(1)
Bangladesh 1991: The Chittagong Hill Conflict after Cyclone Gorky
55(2)
Colombia 1999: Shaking Grounds, Shaking the Peace Process?
57(3)
Egypt 1994: Floods, Fire, and Fury
60(2)
India (Andhra Pradesh and Orissa) 1999: The Cyclone as an Opportunity for Naxalite Insurgents
62(3)
India (Assam) 1998: Floods, Recruitment Opportunities, and Conflict Persistence
65(2)
Philippines 1990: Earthquake-Related Opportunities for Both Sides
67(4)
Sri Lanka 2004: Wave of Violence?
71(3)
Tajikistan 1992: Independence, Civil War, and Floods
74(2)
Uganda 1999--2001: Drought, Food Insecurity, and Raids
76(2)
Cases of Conflict De-escalation after Disasters
78(1)
Bangladesh 2007: Cyclone Sidr and the Maoist Insurgency
78(3)
Burundi 2005--2006: Drought, Democratization, and the Peace Process
81(3)
India (Kashmir) 2005: Cross-Border Constraints in the Face of an Earthquake
84(2)
Indonesia 2004: Wave of Peace?
86(3)
Myanmar 2008: The Karen Conflict after Cyclone Nargis
89(3)
Pakistan 2010: Floods Facilitating Conflict De-escalation
92(3)
Somalia 1997: Flood in the Midst of Chaos
95(2)
Somalia 2010--2011: Drought and Famine in a Fragile Country
97(3)
Turkey 1999: Ocalan's Capture, the Marmara Earthquake, and the PKK's Cease-Fire
100(2)
Cases with No Disaster Impact on Conflict Dynamics
102(1)
Afghanistan 1998: Remote Earthquakes Did Not Shape Conflict Dynamics
102(3)
Afghanistan 2008: Freezing the Conflict?
105(2)
Algeria 2003: Grievances and Opportunities after the Boumerdes Earthquake
107(2)
India (Assam) 2007: The ULFA's Inability to Exploit Flood-Related Opportunities
109(1)
Indonesia 1992: No Link between the Flores Earthquake and the East Timor Conflict
110(2)
Indonesia 2006: Disaster in Yogyarkata, De-escalation In Aceh?
112(2)
Iran 1990: The Kurdish Struggle after the Manjll-Rudbar Earthquake
114(2)
Iran 1997: The MEK Insurgency and the Qayen Earthquake
116(1)
Nepal 1996: Correlation but No Causation between Floods and Armed Conflict Escalation
117(2)
Pakistan 2005: Escalation after, but Not Related to the Kashmir arthquake
119(2)
Pakistan 2015: Turning On the Heat, Turning Off the Conflict?
121(2)
Peru 2007: High-Intensity Earthquake, Low-Intensity Conflict
123(2)
Philippines 1991: Storm, Flood, and Conflict De-escalation
125(2)
Philippines 2013: Super Typhoon, but Few Conflict Implications
127(2)
Philippines 2012: No Link between Typhoon and Conflict Escalation
129(2)
Russia 1995: The Sakhalin Earthquake and the Conflict in Chechnya---Too Far Apart
131(2)
Russia 2010: Triple Disaster Not Linked to Conflict De-escalation
133(2)
Thailand 2004: Tsunami and Conflict Escalation---Correlation but No Causation
135(2)
Summary
137(2)
5 Armed Conflicts in the Aftermath of Disasters: Key Findings
139(38)
General Findings and Their Implications
139(1)
Armed Conflict Escalation, De-escalation, and Continuation
139(6)
Motive
145(2)
Strategy
147(5)
Communication
152(3)
Disaster Types and Conflict Dynamics
155(3)
When Do Disasters Have an Impact on Conflict Dynamics?
158(8)
Escalation or De-escalation after a Disaster?
166(8)
Summary
174(3)
6 Conflict Implications of the COVID-19 Pandemic
177(28)
The COVID-19 Disaster
177(6)
The Islamic State Conflict in Iraq
183(4)
The Taliban Conflict in Afghanistan
187(4)
The Boko Haram Insurgency in Nigeria
191(5)
The Conflict between the CPP/NPA and the Philippine Government
196(4)
Discussion
200(5)
7 Conclusion
205(14)
Key Findings and Their Implications
205(7)
Where Is the Future?
212(2)
Lessons for Practice and Policy
214(3)
Final Considerations
217(2)
References 219(62)
Index 281