This Element survey explores linear, multiplicative, and imprecise probability pooling options. It assesses these based on axiomatic approaches and epistemic and practical goals. It connects opinion pooling to philosophical issues in social epistemol...Lasīt vairāk
Sērija : Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
(Izdošanas datums: 30-Jan-2025, Hardback, Izdevniecība: Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9781009494410)
This Element survey explores linear, multiplicative, and imprecise probability pooling options. It assesses these based on axiomatic approaches and epistemic and practical goals. It connects opinion pooling to philosophical issues in social epistemol...Lasīt vairāk
We often care not only about what happens to us, but when it happens to us. We prefer that good experiences happen sooner, rather than later, and that our suffering lies in our past, rather than our future. Common sense suggests that some ways of ca...Lasīt vairāk
Sērija : Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
(Izdošanas datums: 16-Jan-2025, Hardback, Izdevniecība: Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9781009517133)
We often care not only about what happens to us, but when it happens to us. We prefer that good experiences happen sooner, rather than later, and that our suffering lies in our past, rather than our future. Common sense suggests that some ways of car...Lasīt vairāk
This Element discusses the main approaches to the measurement of belief. Epistemic approaches explain the measurement of belief by appeal to relations between belief states themselves, whereas decision-theoretic approaches appeal to relations between...Lasīt vairāk
Sērija : Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
(Izdošanas datums: 02-May-2024, Hardback, Izdevniecība: Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9781009486965)
Beliefs come in degrees, and we often represent those degrees with numbers. We might say, for example, that we are 90 confident in the truth of some scientific hypothesis, or only 30 confident in the success of some risky endeavour. But what do the...Lasīt vairāk
Sērija : Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
(Izdošanas datums: 01-Feb-2024, Hardback, Izdevniecība: Cambridge University Press, ISBN-13: 9781009475792)
For most of its history, decision theory has investigated the rational choices of humans under the assumption of static preferences. Human preferences, however, change. In recent years, decision theory has increasingly acknowledged the reality of pre...Lasīt vairāk
In recent years, decision theory has increasingly acknowledged the reality of preference change throughout life. This Element provides an accessible introduction and new contributions to the debates on preference change. For most of its histo...Lasīt vairāk
This Element offers an accessible but technically detailed review of expected utility theory (EU), which is a model of individual decision-making under uncertainty that is central for both economics and philosophy. The Elements approach falls betwee...Lasīt vairāk
Evolutionary game theory originated in population biology from the realisation that frequency-dependent fitness introduced a strategic element into evolution. Since its development, evolutionary game theory has been adopted by many social scientists,...Lasīt vairāk
The Nash bargaining problem provides a framework for analyzing problems where parties have imperfectly aligned interests. This Element reviews the parts of bargaining theory most important in philosophical applications, and to social contract theory...Lasīt vairāk
Suppose that you prefer A to B, B to C, and C to A. Your preferences violate Expected Utility Theory by being cyclic. Money-pump arguments offer a way to show that such violations are irrational. Suppose that you start with A. Then you should be will...Lasīt vairāk
Drawing and building on the existing literature, this Element explores the interesting and challenging philosophical terrain where issues regarding cooperation, commitment, and control (particularly self-control) intersect. Drawing and buildi...Lasīt vairāk
Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in thi...Lasīt vairāk
The main aim of this Element is to introduce the topic of limited awareness, and changes in awareness, to those interested in the philosophy of decision-making and uncertain reasoning. While it has long been of interest to economists and computer sci...Lasīt vairāk
An agent often does not have precise probabilities or utilities to guide resolution of a decision problem. I advance a principle of rationality for making decisions in such cases. To begin, I represent the doxastic and conative state of an agent with...Lasīt vairāk
In this Element, we present Dutch Book arguments for the principles of Probabilism, Conditionalization, and the Reflection Principle, among others, and we formulate and consider the most serious objections to them. We show that degrees of belief that...Lasīt vairāk
