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Chance in Evolution [Mīkstie vāki]

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Humans, however much we would care to think otherwise, do not represent the fated pinnacle of ape evolution. The diversity of life, from single-celled organisms to multicellular animals and plants, is the result of a long, complex, and highly chancy history. But how profoundly has chance shaped life on earth? And what, precisely, do we mean by chance? Bringing together biologists, philosophers of science, and historians of science,Chance in Evolution is the first book to untangle the far-reaching effects of chance, contingency, and randomness on the evolution of life.

The book begins by placing chance in historical context, starting with the ancients and moving through Darwin and his contemporaries, documenting how the understanding of chance changed as Darwin’s theory of evolution by natural selection developed into the Modern Synthesis, and how the acceptance of chance in Darwinian theory affected theological resistance to it. Subsequent chapters detail the role of chance in contemporary evolutionary theory—in particular, in connection with the concepts of genetic drift, mutation, and parallel evolution—as well as recent empirical work in the experimental evolution of microbes and in paleobiology. By engaging in collaboration across biology, history, philosophy, and theology, this book offers a comprehensive and synthetic overview both of the history of chance in evolution and of our current, best understanding of the impact of chance on life on earth.


The first book to synthesize scientific and philosophical work on chance, this edited volume brings together leading biologists, philosophers of science, and historians of science, who collectively explore the role that chance plays—or doesn’t play, as the case may be—in evolution. The first part of the volume places chance in historical context and explores how Darwin, along with his contemporaries, understood chance in addition to its related concepts; how these various concepts changed as Darwin’s theory of evolution by natural selection developed into the Modern Synthesis; and how the “chanciness” of Darwinian theory affected theological resistance to it. The second part explores the importance of chance in current evolutionary theory. The third and final part focuses on recent empirical work in microbial experimental evolution and paleobiology, with the goal of determining how much of a role chance and contingency has played—and continues to play— in the history of life. The volume’s final chapter investigates the perennial topic of chance in human evolution, beginning with the pre-Darwinian, theistic view that humans are at the pinnacle of the natural world and ending with the Darwinian view, which leaves no room for biological progress. It ultimately presents a more tempered view of biological progress and suggests that although our arrival on the evolutionary scene might not have been inevitable, it might not have been due to chance alone.
Acknowledgments vii
Introduction: Chance in Evolution from Darwin to Contemporary Biology 1(12)
Grant Ramsey
Charles H. Pence
PART 1 The Historical Development and Implications of Chance in Evolution
13(130)
1 Contingency, Chance, and Randomness in Ancient, Medieval, and Modern Biology
15(26)
David J. Depew
2 Chance and Chances in Darwin's Early Theorizing and in Darwinian Theory Today
41(35)
Jonathan Hodge
3 Chance in the Modern Synthesis
76(27)
Anya Plutynski
Kenneth Blake Vernon
Lucas John Matthews
Daniel Molter
4 Is it Providential, by Chance? Christian Objections to the Role of Chance in Darwinian Evolution
103(19)
J. Matthew Ashley
5 Does Darwinian Evolution Mean We Are Here by Chance?
122(21)
Michael Ruse
PART 2 Chance in the Processes of Evolution
143(78)
6 The Reference Class Problem in Evolutionary Biology: Distinguishing Selection from Drift
145(31)
Michael Strevens
7 Weak Randomness at the Origin of Biological Variation: The Case of Genetic Mutations
176(20)
Francesca Merlin
8 Parallel Evolution: What Does It (Not) Tell Us and Why Is It (Still) Interesting?
196(25)
Thomas Lenormand
Luis-Miguel Chevin
Thomas Bataillon
PART 3 Chance and Contingency in the History of Life
221(78)
9 Contingent Evolution: Not by Chance Alone
223(21)
Eric Desjardins
10 History's Windings in a Flask: Microbial Experiments into Evolutionary Contingency
244(20)
Zachary D. Blount
11 Rolling the Dice Twice: Evolving Reconstructed Ancient Proteins in Extant Organisms
264(13)
Betul Kacar
12 Wonderful Life Revisited: Chance and Contingency in the Ediacaran-Cambrian Radiation
277(22)
Douglas H. Erwin
References 299(48)
Contributors 347(4)
Index 351
Grant Ramsey is a BOFZAP Research Professor in the Institute of Philosophy at Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium. Charles H. Pence is assistant professor in the Department of Philosophy and Religious Studies at Louisiana State University.