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Changing by Degrees: The Potential Impacts of Climate Change in the East Midlands [Hardback]

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Prior to a holistic characterization of the UK's East Midlands (covering its physical context, economy, social conditions, and natural environment), Shackley (U. of Manchester Institute of Science and Technology Centre for Climate Change Research) introduces factors in climate change, and progress in this regard at the international and UK national levels. A study commissioned by a regional sustainable development group addresses area climate changes, their potential adverse effects, and opportunities to institute favorable changes in terms of energy conservation; income from clean, renewable energy technologies; and healthier lifestyles. The study's findings were presented at a 2000 conference. Includes numerous supporting figures and tables. Lacks an index. Annotation c. Book News, Inc., Portland, OR (booknews.com)

Recenzijas

Much work was put into the preparation of this book, and its inclusive approach, built on increasing knowledge of interdisciplinary science, contrasts with the shallower approach of some glossier publications. It is a valuable addition to the climatologist's library, focusing as it does on the practical mesoscale effects of anthropogenic and environmental changes. Weather 'The presentation is clear, including the working hypotheses, making the conclusion nicely convincing...A good sociological analysis.' International Journal of Environment and Pollution

List of Figures
ix
List of Tables
xiii
Acknowledgements xvii
Executive Summary xviii
What is the Purpose of the Study
1(2)
What is Climate Change
3(6)
Climate Change - An Introduction
3(1)
Progress with Climate Change at the International Level
4(1)
Progress with Climate Change at the National Level
5(3)
The Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
5(2)
The UK Climate Impacts Programme
7(1)
References
8(1)
Characterisation of the East Midlands
9(28)
Overview
9(3)
The Physical Context
9(1)
Sub Areas
9(2)
Infrastructure
11(1)
Economy
12(6)
Overview
12(4)
Agriculture
16(1)
Tourism and Leisure
16(1)
Energy
17(1)
Social Conditions
18(2)
Population
18(1)
Social Deprivation
18(1)
Housing
19(1)
Natural Environment
20(14)
Biodiversity
20(2)
Water
22(1)
Air Quality
23(1)
Land Use
24(2)
Woodland and Forestry
26(1)
Cultural Heritage
26(1)
The Environment Agency's East Midlands Local Environment Agency Plans (LEAPs)
27(7)
Conclusions
34(1)
References
35(2)
Regional Climate Change Scenarios for the East Midlands
37(44)
Summary
37(5)
Observed Trends in Environmental Parameters
37(1)
Future Climate Scenarios for the East Midlands from UKCIP98
38(1)
Comparison of Regional Climate Change Scenarios
39(3)
Observed Trends in Environmental Parameters
42(11)
Historic Trends in Temperature
43(1)
Historic Trends in Precipitation and Gates
43(2)
Historic Trends in Evaporation and Humidity
45(2)
Historic Trends in River Flow
47(1)
Historic Trends in Sea Level
48(4)
Historic Trends in Water Quality
52(1)
Future Climate Scenarios for the East Midlands
53(21)
UKCIP98 Scenarios
53(6)
Climate Change Analogues
59(1)
Regional Climate Model Scenario
60(6)
Statistically Downscaled Scenarios
66(6)
Statistical Downscaling (SDS) Compared with Raw HadCM2 (GCM)
72(2)
Concluding Remarks
74(1)
Recommendations for Future Research
74(1)
Acknowledgement
75(1)
References
75(6)
Potential Impacts of Climate Change in the East Midlands
81(70)
Introduction
81(1)
Classification of Impact Domains
82(1)
Sectors/Systems
82(56)
Agriculture and Horticulture
82(8)
Forestry
90(2)
Water Resources and Flooding
92(15)
Biodiversity
107(10)
Cultural Heritage
117(1)
Leisure and Tourism
118(2)
Transport
120(2)
The Impact of Climate Change upon the Built Environment
122(4)
Manufacturing/Services and Retail
126(6)
Insurance
132(1)
Public Health
133(1)
Energy
134(2)
Coastal Zone
136(2)
Summary
138(9)
References
147(4)
East Midlands' Stakeholder Perceptions of Climate Change
151(34)
Results of the Postal Questionnaire and Analysis
151(24)
How Important is Climate Change in Relation to Other Key Issues?
152(1)
The Impacts of Particular Types of Climate Change
152(1)
The Impacts of One Climate Change Scenario upon Twenty Sectors
152(2)
Greenhouse Gas Emission Reductions
154(1)
Differences between Business and Non-Business Responses
155(1)
Commentary on the Questionnaire
156(1)
Summary
157(18)
Results from a Set of Five Workshops
175(9)
Highlights from the Environment Agency Workshop
176(1)
Highlights from Buxton Workshop
177(1)
Highlights from Nottingham Workshop
177(1)
Highlights from Skegness Workshop
178(1)
Highlights from Workshop in Northampton
179(1)
Discussion and Analysis of Workshops
179(5)
Conclusions
184(1)
References
184(1)
Greenhouse Gas Inventory
185(35)
Summary
185(1)
Introduction
186(1)
Greenhouse Gas Emissions Data
187(1)
Emissions Estimation Methods
188(1)
Data Used in Determining Emissions
189(1)
Uncertainty
190(1)
Monitoring Future Emissions
190(1)
Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Source
191(21)
Combustion in Energy Production and Transformation
203(1)
Combustion in Commercial, Public, Residential and Agricultural Sectors
204(1)
Combustion in Industry
205(1)
Production Processes
205(1)
Extraction/Distribution of Fossil Fuels
206(1)
Road Transport
207(1)
Other Transport and Mobile Machinery
207(2)
Waste Treatment and Disposal
209(1)
Agriculture, Forestry and Land Use Change
209(1)
Other Industrial Sources
210(2)
East Midlands Initiatives to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions
212(3)
Future Activities and Opportunities
215(1)
Conclusions and Recommendations
215(3)
Conclusions
215(1)
Recommendations
216(2)
References
218(2)
Responding to Climate Change and Conclusions
220(20)
Introduction
220(1)
Organisational and Company Responses to Climate Change Impacts
220(8)
The Concept of Climate Change Headroom
228(3)
What are the Key Strategic Processes in the East Midlands that Should be Considering the Potential Impacts of Climate Change?
231(1)
What Indicators Should be Used for Climate Change?
232(2)
Climate Change Targets
234(1)
Future Research Requirements
235(3)
References
238(2)
Appendix 1 Questionnaire: The Impacts of Climate Change in the East Midlands 240(7)
Appendix 2 Notes on Buxton Stakeholder Workshop 247(10)
Appendix 3 Notes on Nottingham Stakeholder Workshop 257(8)
Appendix 4 Notes on Skegness Stakeholder Workshop 265(10)
Appendix 5 Notes on Northampton Stakeholder Workshop 275


Simon Shackley, University of Manchester Institute of Science and Technology (UMIST), Manchester, UK Jim Kersey, Entec Ltd., UK, Rob Wilby, University of Derby, UK Paul Fleming, DeMontfort University, UK