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Containing Iran: Strategies for Addressing the Iranian Nuclear Challenge [Mīkstie vāki]

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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 206 pages, height x width: 229x152 mm
  • Izdošanas datums: 16-Oct-2012
  • Izdevniecība: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 0833076310
  • ISBN-13: 9780833076311
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  • Mīkstie vāki
  • Cena: 27,40 €
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Containing Iran: Strategies for Addressing the Iranian Nuclear ChallengePalielināt
  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 206 pages, height x width: 229x152 mm
  • Izdošanas datums: 16-Oct-2012
  • Izdevniecība: RAND
  • ISBN-10: 0833076310
  • ISBN-13: 9780833076311
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
Permanent link: https://www.kriso.lv/db/9780833076311.html
Keywords:
Iran’s nuclear program is one of this century’s principal foreign policy challenges. Despite U.S., Israeli, and allied efforts, Iran has an extensive enrichment program and likely has the technical capacity to produce at least one nuclear bomb if it so chose. This study assesses U.S. policy options, identifies a way forward, and considers how the United States might best mitigate the negative international effects of a nuclear-armed Iran.

Preface iii
Figures
xi
Table
xiii
Summary xv
Acknowledgments xxi
Abbreviations xxiii
Chapter One Introduction
1(8)
U.S. Interests and Policy Challenges
2(3)
Objective of the Study
5(1)
Organization of the Text
6(3)
Chapter Two Iran's Nuclear Program: Past, Present, and Future
9(56)
History of Iran's Nuclear Program
10(1)
Nuclear Program Under the Shah
10(16)
Revolution, Rejection, and Revival: 1979-2002
11(3)
Revelation and E-3 Negotiations: 2002-2006
14(3)
The P5+1, Ahmadinejad, and UN Sanctions: 2006-2008
17(4)
A New Administration: 2009-Present
21(5)
Program Elements and Status
26(26)
The Fuel Cycle
26(3)
Major Program Elements and Facilities
29(13)
Technical Problems and Setbacks
42(4)
Evidence of a Weapons Program
46(6)
Breakout
52(13)
What Iran Would Need to Make a Bomb
55(2)
Possible Breakout Paths
57(4)
Implications for U.S. Policy
61(2)
Possible Future Developments and Implications
63(2)
Chapter Three Explaining Iran's Nuclear Policy Choices
65(24)
Iran's Strategic Calculus
67(8)
External Security Threats
67(5)
Iranian Expansionism
72(2)
Negative Security Consequences of Weaponization for Iran
74(1)
International and Domestic Political Factors
75(2)
International Prestige
75(1)
Domestic Legitimacy
75(2)
Ideology
77(3)
Domestic Politics and Factions
80(9)
Chapter Four Constraints on U.S. Policy
89(30)
Israel
90(7)
Gulf Cooperation Council
97(7)
Russia
104(4)
China
108(6)
International Nonproliferation Regime
114(5)
Chapter Five U.S. Policy Options
119(38)
Framework of Analysis
120(3)
Military Force
123(10)
Air Strikes
123(8)
Non-Kinetic Force: Special Operations and Cyberwarfare
131(2)
Economic Sanctions
133(8)
Positive Inducements
141(7)
Containment
148(9)
Chapter Six Conclusion
157(6)
Bibliography 163