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Doom Loop in the Financial Sector: And Other Black Holes of Risk [Mīkstie vāki]

  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 190 pages, height x width x depth: 203x127x6 mm, weight: 223 g
  • Sērija : Critical Issues in Risk Management
  • Izdošanas datums: 30-Oct-2010
  • Izdevniecība: University of Ottawa Press
  • ISBN-10: 0776607383
  • ISBN-13: 9780776607382
  • Mīkstie vāki
  • Cena: 22,19 €
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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 190 pages, height x width x depth: 203x127x6 mm, weight: 223 g
  • Sērija : Critical Issues in Risk Management
  • Izdošanas datums: 30-Oct-2010
  • Izdevniecība: University of Ottawa Press
  • ISBN-10: 0776607383
  • ISBN-13: 9780776607382
In the past two years, the world has experienced how unsound economic practices can disrupt global economic and social order. Today's volatile global financial situation highlights the importance of managing risk and the consequences of poor decision making. "The Doom Loop in the Financial Sector" reveals an underlying paradox of risk management: the better we become at assessing risks, the more we feel comfortable taking them. Using the current financial crisis as a case study, renowned risk expert William Leiss engages with the new concept of 'black hole risk' - risk so great that estimating the potential downsides is impossible. His risk-centred analysis of the lead-up to the crisis reveals the practices that brought it about and how it became common practice to use limited risk assessments as a justification to gamble huge sums of money on unsound economic policies. In order to limit future catastrophes, Leiss recommends international cooperation to manage black hole risks. He believes that, failing this, humanity could be susceptible to a dangerous nexus of global disasters that would threaten human civilization as we know it.
Preface ix
Acknowledgements xvi
Chapter 1 Black Holes of Risk 1(20)
Systemic Risk
2(2)
Super-Systemic Risk
4(3)
Testing the First Atomic Bomb
7(3)
A Corona' Mass Ejection
10(4)
A Smaller Asteroid
14(1)
The Convoluted Tale of the Particle Colliders
15(4)
A Reasonable Selection of Plausible Black-Hole Risks
19(2)
Chapter 2 Systemic and Super-Systemic Risk in the Financial Sector 21(87)
Introduction
21(7)
Systemic and Super-Systemic Risk in the Global Financial Sector
28(8)
A Brief Primer on Financial Derivatives
36(2)
Prelude to Global Financial Crisis
38(6)
Types of Financial Risks
44(2)
The Regulatory Response to Systemic Financial Risk
46(8)
A Vapid Risk Management Paradigm
54(4)
The "Standard Model" for Risk Management
58(3)
Dispersal of Risk
61(10)
Correlation
71(4)
Contagion
75(5)
Complexity
80(4)
Tight Coupling
84(2)
Heterogeneity and Modularity
86(4)
The "Value at Risk" Model
90(3)
Solutions
93(6)
General Conclusions
99(9)
Chapter 3 Controlling the Downside Risk 108(29)
Three Simple Steps for Good Risk Management
108(11)
Applying Precaution to Black-Hole Risks
119(5)
Black-Hole Risk in the Global Financial Sector
124(3)
Risk of a Coronal Mass Ejection
127(1)
Risk from a Smaller Asteroid
128(1)
Risk of Cyber-Warfare
129(1)
Risk of Nuclear Proliferation
130(2)
Risk of Climate Change
132(3)
Conclusion: The Ugly Reality of Non-Linearities
135(2)
Appendix 1 Fragility in Complex Systems and the "Tipping Point" Problem 137(8)
Appendix 2 A Basic Integrated Risk Management Framework 145(1)
Table 2-1, Dimensions of Risk Management 146(2)
Works Cited 148(10)
Index 158
William Leiss has been a professor at seven Canadian universities: Simon Fraser, Calgary, Regina, York, Toronto, Queen's and Ottawa. He is the author or co-author of eight previous books, including Mad Cows and Mother's Milk (McGill-Queen's, 2004) and In the Chamber of Risks (McGill-Queen's, 2001). For the past twenty years he has been a frequent consultant to government agencies and the private sector on risk management issues.