Summary |
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1 | (16) |
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PART I BACKGROUND AND CONTEXT |
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17 | (16) |
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1.1 Context and Motivation |
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17 | (7) |
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24 | (2) |
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26 | (4) |
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30 | (3) |
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2 Immigration to the United States: Current Trends in Historical Perspective |
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33 | (52) |
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33 | (2) |
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2.2 Immigration Trends and Origins from 1820 to 2015 |
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35 | (10) |
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2.3 Immigration Driven by Labor Demand |
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45 | (1) |
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2.4 The Net International Migration Rate and Its Contribution to Population Growth |
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46 | (5) |
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2.5 Past and Future Trends in the Stock of First and Second Generation Immigrant Populations |
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51 | (5) |
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2.6 Immigration and Changes in Race and Ethnic Composition |
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56 | (6) |
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2.7 Population Aging, the Baby Boom, and the Transition to an Immigrant Workforce |
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62 | (9) |
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2.8 From Traditional Gateways to New Destinations: The Changing Geography of Immigrant Settlement |
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71 | (8) |
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79 | (2) |
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2.10 Technical Annex on Counting Immigrants |
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81 | (4) |
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3 Socioeconomic Outcomes of Immigrants |
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85 | (80) |
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85 | (1) |
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3.2 Education and Occupation Profiles |
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86 | (12) |
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3.3 Employment, Wage, and English-Language Assimilation Profiles |
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98 | (21) |
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3.4 Poverty and Welfare Utilization |
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119 | (13) |
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132 | (4) |
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3.6 Technical Annex of Tabulations and Regression Results |
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136 | (18) |
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3.7 Technical Annex on Occupational Categories |
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154 | (11) |
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4 Employment and Wage Impacts of Immigration: Theory |
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165 | (32) |
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165 | (1) |
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4.2 A Simple Model with a Single Type of Labor |
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166 | (9) |
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4.3 Employment Effects of Immigration with Elastic Labor Supply |
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175 | (3) |
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4.4 Multiple Types of Labor |
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178 | (9) |
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4.5 Multiple Technologies and Multiple Goods |
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187 | (6) |
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193 | (1) |
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4.7 The Link Between Immigration and Frictional Unemployment |
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193 | (2) |
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195 | (2) |
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5 Employment and Wage Impacts of Immigration: Empirical Evidence |
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197 | (82) |
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197 | (5) |
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5.2 Some Basic Conceptual and Empirical Issues |
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202 | (8) |
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5.3 Spatial (cross-area) Studies |
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210 | (14) |
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5.4 Aggregate Skill Cell and Structural Studies |
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224 | (15) |
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5.5 A Cross-Study Comparison of Immigrants' Impact on Wages |
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239 | (9) |
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5.6 High-Skilled Labor Markets and Innovation |
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248 | (16) |
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5.7 Key Messages and Conclusions |
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264 | (5) |
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5.8 Annex: Summary Comparison of Selected Wage and Employment Impact Studies for the United States |
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269 | (5) |
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5.9 Technical Notes for the Cross-Study Comparison of the Magnitudes of Immigrants' Impact on Wages |
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274 | (5) |
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6 Wider Production, Consumption, and Economic Growth Impacts |
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279 | (44) |
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279 | (3) |
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6.2 Impact on Overall Economic Activity (GDP) |
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282 | (4) |
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6.3 Sectoral and Geographic Impacts |
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286 | (3) |
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6.4 Impact on Prices of Consumer Goods and Cost of Living |
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289 | (8) |
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6.5 The Role of Immigration in Long-Run Economic Growth |
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297 | (15) |
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6.6 Beyond GDP---Nonmarket Goods and Services and the Informal Economy |
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312 | (4) |
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316 | (1) |
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6.8 Technical Annex on Models of Endogenous Growth in a Closed Economy |
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317 | (6) |
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7 Estimating the Fiscal Impacts of Immigration---Conceptual Issues |
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323 | (36) |
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323 | (5) |
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7.2 Sources of Fiscal Costs and Benefits |
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328 | (3) |
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7.3 Static and Dynamic Accounting Approaches |
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331 | (6) |
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7.4 Sources of Uncertainty: Assumptions and Scenario Choices in Fiscal Estimates |
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337 | (15) |
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7.5 Distributive Fiscal Effects---Federal, State, and Local |
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352 | (2) |
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7.6 Summary and Key Points |
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354 | (5) |
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8 Past and Future Fiscal Impacts of Immigrants on the Nation |
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359 | (136) |
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359 | (1) |
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8.2 Historical Fiscal Impacts of Immigration, 1994-2013 |
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360 | (47) |
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8.3 Forecasts of Lifetime Net Fiscal Impacts |
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407 | (56) |
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8.4 Annex: Technical Documentation for the Fiscal Estimates |
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463 | (32) |
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9 State and Local Fiscal Effects of Immigration |
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495 | (72) |
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495 | (2) |
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497 | (7) |
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9.3 Geographic and Demographic Distribution of Immigrants |
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504 | (12) |
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9.4 Fiscal Variation Among States, 2011-2013 |
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516 | (6) |
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9.5 Aggregate Fiscal Effects by State |
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522 | (3) |
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9.6 Net Effects of Immigration on State and Local Budgets |
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525 | (11) |
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9.7 Alternative Treatments of Education Costs |
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536 | (1) |
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9.8 Marginal Versus Average Fixed Costs |
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537 | (4) |
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541 | (3) |
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9.10 Technical Annex: Supplemental Tables |
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544 | (23) |
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10 Research Directions and Data Recommendations |
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567 | (14) |
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10.1 Counting and Characterizing Immigrants and Their Descendants |
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568 | (3) |
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10.2 Information on Legal Status |
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571 | (3) |
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10.3 Measurement of Immigration and Emigration Patterns |
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574 | (1) |
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10.4 Exploiting Multiple Data Sources |
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575 | (6) |
References |
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581 | (26) |
Appendix Biographical Sketches |
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607 | |