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Future of Everything: The Science of Prediction [Mīkstie vāki]

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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 464 pages, height x width x depth: 227x152x24 mm, weight: 626 g
  • Izdošanas datums: 26-Feb-2008
  • Izdevniecība: Avalon Publishing Group
  • ISBN-10: 1568583699
  • ISBN-13: 9781568583693
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
  • Mīkstie vāki
  • Cena: 35,21 €
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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 464 pages, height x width x depth: 227x152x24 mm, weight: 626 g
  • Izdošanas datums: 26-Feb-2008
  • Izdevniecība: Avalon Publishing Group
  • ISBN-10: 1568583699
  • ISBN-13: 9781568583693
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
For centuries, scientists have strived to predict the future. But to what extent have they succeeded? Can past events-Hurricane Katrina, the Internet stock bubble, the SARS outbreak-help us understand what will happen next? Will scientists ever really be able to forecast catastrophes, or will we always be at the mercy of Mother Nature, waiting for the next storm, epidemic, or economic crash to thunder through our lives? In The Future of Everything, David Orrell looks back at the history of forecasting, from the time of the oracle at Delphi to the rise of astrology to the advent of the TV weather report, showing us how scientists (and some charlatans) predicted the future. How can today’s scientists claim to anticipate future weather events when even thee-day forecasts prove a serious challenge? How can we predict and control epidemics? Can we accurately foresee our financial future? Or will we only find out about tomorrow when tomorrow arrives?


In the spirit of Freakonomics and A Short History of Progress, The Future of Everything is a compelling, elegantly written history of our future
INTRODUCTION THE SCIENCE AND SOCIOLOGY OF FORECASTING 1
PAST
1 SLINGS AND ARROWS
THE BEGINNINGS OF PREDICTION
19
2 LET THERE BE LIGHT
TYCHO BRAHE AND THE MODEL MAKERS
51
3 DIVIDE AND CONQUER
THE GOSPEL OF DETERMINISTIC SCIENCE
84
PRESENT
4 RED SKY AT NIGHT
PREDICTING THE WEATHER
123
5 IT'S IN THE GENES
PREDICTING OUR HEALTH
174
6 BULLS AND BEARS
PREDICTING OUR ECONOMY
218
FUTURE
7 THE BIG PICTURE
HOW WEATHER, HEALTH, AND WEALTH ARE RELATED
269
8 BACK TO THE DRAWING BOARD
FIGURING OUT WHERE WE WENT WRONG
313
9 CONSULTING THE CRYSTAL BALL
OUR WORLD IN 2100
337
APPENDICES 351
NOTES 362
GLOSSARY 399
BIBLIOGRAPHY 410
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 433
INDEX 435