Section 1: Introduction |
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1 There and Back Again: Revisiting Archaeological Locational Modeling |
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3 | (38) |
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4 | (1) |
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1.2 Not So in Bongo-Bongo: Cultural Variation and Modeling |
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5 | (3) |
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1.3 The First Age of Modeling: A Personal Narrative |
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8 | (4) |
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1.4 Perspectives on "Correlative" and "Deductive" Models |
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12 | (1) |
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1.5 Theoretical Justification of Archaeological Location Modeling |
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13 | (4) |
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1.5.1 Background Concepts |
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13 | (1) |
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14 | (3) |
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17 | (1) |
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1.6 The Second Age of Modeling: Continuing Issues |
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17 | (4) |
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1.6.1 Archaeological Site Types |
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17 | (2) |
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1.6.2 The Paleoenvironment |
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19 | (1) |
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20 | (1) |
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1.7 The Second Age of Modeling: Possible Improvements |
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21 | (11) |
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1.7.1 Independent Variables |
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21 | (1) |
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1.7.1.1 The Natural Environment |
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21 | (1) |
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1.7.1.2 The Social Environment |
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22 | (1) |
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1.7.2 Other Modeling Algorithms |
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23 | (1) |
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1.7.3 Forget Those Nonsites: Single-Class Approaches |
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24 | (1) |
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1.7.4 Models of Greater Specificity |
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25 | (1) |
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1.7.5 Measures of Model Performance |
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26 | (3) |
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29 | (1) |
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1.7.7 Confidence Intervals |
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30 | (1) |
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1.7.8 p(S) Is Not Constant |
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30 | (1) |
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1.7.9 Issues of Scale: Near and Far Perspectives |
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31 | (1) |
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1.8 Conclusions: Direct Discovery Methods |
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32 | (1) |
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33 | (1) |
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34 | (1) |
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34 | (7) |
Section 2: Theoretical and Methodological Issues |
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2 Enhancing Predictive Archaeological Modeling: Integrating Location, Landscape, and Culture |
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41 | (22) |
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Gary Lock and Trevor Harris |
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41 | (1) |
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2.2 Identifying the Tensions: Predictive Modeling and Landscape Archaeologies |
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42 | (3) |
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2.3 The West Virginia Predictive Model |
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45 | (4) |
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2.4 Another West Virginia Predictive Model |
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49 | (2) |
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2.5 Humanizing the Landscape |
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51 | (2) |
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2.6 Moving from Data Points to Cultural Entities |
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53 | (2) |
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2.7 Increasing the Envirocultural Complexity |
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55 | (4) |
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2.8 Conclusion: The Challenge |
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59 | (1) |
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59 | (4) |
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3 One Step Beyond: Adaptive Sampling and Analysis Techniques to Increase the Value of Predictive Models |
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63 | (12) |
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64 | (1) |
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3.1 Introduction: Current Use and Value of Predictive Models |
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64 | (2) |
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3.2 Testing and Improving Predictive Models |
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66 | (1) |
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3.3 Quantifying Uncertainty and Bayesian Statistics |
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67 | (1) |
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3.4 Adaptive Sampling and Analysis Programs |
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68 | (1) |
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3.5 ASAPS Approach to Archaeological Predictive Modeling |
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69 | (2) |
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71 | (1) |
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72 | (3) |
Section 3: Issues of Scale |
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4 Modeling for Management in a Compliance World |
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75 | (22) |
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Christopher D. Dore and LuAnn Wandsnider |
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76 | (2) |
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4.2 Predictive Modeling and Compliance |
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78 | (5) |
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78 | (2) |
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80 | (2) |
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82 | (1) |
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83 | (1) |
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4.3 Managing with Geospatial Technologies |
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83 | (9) |
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84 | (1) |
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85 | (2) |
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87 | (5) |
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92 | (1) |
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93 | (1) |
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94 | (3) |
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5 Problems in Paleolithic Land Evaluation: A Cautionary Tale |
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97 | (26) |
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98 | (1) |
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99 | (2) |
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5.3 The Agro Pontino Survey Project |
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101 | (1) |
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5.4 Land Evaluation and Archaeology |
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102 | (12) |
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5.4.1 Step 1: Basic Surveys |
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102 | (3) |
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105 | (1) |
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5.4.3 Step 3: Qualitative Classification |
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106 | (1) |
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5.4.4 Step 4: Quantitative Classification |
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106 | (3) |
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109 | (5) |
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5.5 Inductive Predictive Modeling |
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114 | (1) |
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115 | (2) |
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117 | (1) |
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118 | (1) |
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118 | (5) |
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6 Regional Dynamics of Hunting and Gathering: An Australian Case Study Using Archaeological Predictive Modeling |
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123 | (24) |
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123 | (2) |
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125 | (3) |
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128 | (3) |
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131 | (6) |
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137 | (2) |
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139 | (1) |
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140 | (1) |
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140 | (7) |
Section 4: Quantitative and Methodological Issues |
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7 Making Use of Distances: Estimating Parameters of Spatial Processes |
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147 | (20) |
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148 | (1) |
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7.2. A General Model: Spatial Process |
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148 | (5) |
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149 | (1) |
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7.2.2 Characterizing a Point Process |
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150 | (1) |
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150 | (1) |
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151 | (1) |
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7.2.5 K-Functions, L-Functions, Thompson Statistics |
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151 | (1) |
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7.2.6 Properties of a Pattern, Local Intensity Function |
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152 | (1) |
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7.2.7 Validation of the Model |
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152 | (1) |
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7.3 A Model for an Archaeological Landscape |
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153 | (2) |
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7.4. A Case Study: Medieval Settlement Structure |
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155 | (10) |
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155 | (1) |
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7.4.2 Basic Assumptions, Causative Elements, Direction of Analysis |
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155 | (1) |
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156 | (1) |
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7.4.3.1 Data on Landuse and Crop Yield of Recent Settlements |
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159 | (1) |
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7.4.3.2 The Distribution of Distances |
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160 | (1) |
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7.4.3.3 Estimation of the Local Intensity Function of the Recent Settlement Structure |
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162 | (1) |
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162 | (1) |
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7.4.5 Trend or Local Intensity Function? |
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163 | (2) |
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165 | (1) |
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165 | (2) |
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8 Integrating Spatial Statistics into Archaeological Data Modeling |
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167 | (24) |
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Kevin R. Schwarz and Jerry Mount |
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168 | (1) |
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8.2 Theory and Method of Spatial Statistics |
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169 | (2) |
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8.3 Tests of Spatial Autocorrelation |
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171 | (3) |
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8.4 Spatial Statistical Models |
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174 | (5) |
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179 | (1) |
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8.6 Nearest-Neighbor Hierarchical Spatial Clustering |
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180 | (3) |
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8.7 Notes on Applications |
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183 | (2) |
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8.8 Discussion and Conclusion |
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185 | (2) |
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187 | (4) |
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9 Quantifying the Qualified: The Use of Multicriteria Methods and Bayesian Statistics for the Development of Archaeological Predictive Models |
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191 | |
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192 | (1) |
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9.2 Multicriteria Decision Making and Its Relevance to Predictive Modeling |
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193 | (1) |
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194 | (1) |
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9.4 Selection of the Evaluation Criteria |
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195 | (2) |
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9.5 Defining Measurement Scales |
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197 | (1) |
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198 | (1) |
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9.7 Establishing the Decision Rules |
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199 | (1) |
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9.8 Bayesian Statistics and Predictive Mapping |
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200 | (3) |
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9.8.1 Combining Objective and Subjective Weights |
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200 | (2) |
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9.8.2 Formulating the Priors |
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202 | (1) |
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9.9 Bayesian Statistics and Inductive Learning |
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203 | (1) |
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9.10 Application: The Predictive Map of Ede |
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204 | (3) |
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207 | (2) |
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9.12 Site-Preservation Potential |
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209 | (3) |
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212 | (1) |
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213 | (1) |
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213 | (1) |
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213 | (6) |
Section 5: Large Databases and CRM |
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10 Points vs. Polygons: A Test Case Using a Statewide Geographic Information System |
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219 | (72) |
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Philip B. Mink, II, B. Jo Stokes, and David Pollack |
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10.1 Digitizing Site Locations and Using Polygons to Manage Archaeological Sites |
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220 | (3) |
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10.2 Locational Models: Points vs. Polygons |
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223 | (13) |
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10.2.1 Archaeological Data |
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223 | (2) |
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10.2.2 Points vs. Polygons |
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225 | (11) |
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236 | (1) |
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237 | (1) |
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237 | (4) |
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11 Relating Cultural Resources to Their Natural Environment Using the IEDROK GIS: A Cultural Resources Management Tool for the Republic of Korea |
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241 | (1) |
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Bruce Verhaaren, James Levenson, and James Kuiper |
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242 | (1) |
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11.2 IEDROK and the Legacy Resource Management Program |
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243 | (15) |
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11.2.1 IEDROK Structure: The Data Layers |
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245 | (1) |
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249 | (1) |
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11.2.1.2 Cultural Resource Layers |
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249 | (1) |
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11.2.1.3 Natural Resource Layers |
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251 | (1) |
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11.2.2 Creating the Layers: Source Data |
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252 | (1) |
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11.2.2.1 Cultural Resource Data |
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254 | (1) |
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11.2.2.2 Natural Resource Data |
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257 | (1) |
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11.3 Using IEDROK: System Requirements |
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258 | (1) |
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11.4 Finding a Location of Interest |
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259 | (6) |
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11.4.1 Looking Up Information around a Location |
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260 | (1) |
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11.4.2 Examining the Distribution of a Set of Similar Features |
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261 | (4) |
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12 Appropriateness and Applicability of GIS and Predictive Models with Regard to Regulatory and Nonregulatory Archaeology |
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265 | (1) |
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265 | (2) |
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12.1.1 Nonregulatory Archaeological Venues |
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266 | (1) |
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12.1.2 Regulatory Archaeology Venues |
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266 | (1) |
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267 | (1) |
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267 | (1) |
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267 | (1) |
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12.3.2 Predictive Modeling |
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268 | (1) |
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268 | (1) |
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269 | (1) |
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12.6 A Specific Example: Recommendations from the State of Iowa |
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269 | (1) |
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270 | (3) |
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273 | (3) |
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276 | (1) |
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276 | (2) |
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278 | (1) |
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13 Archaeological GIS in Environmental Impact Assessment and Planning |
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279 | (1) |
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280 | (1) |
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13.2 The Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) Process and Role of the Screening Phase |
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281 | (6) |
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13.2.1 The National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) vs. the National Historic Preservation Act (NHPA) |
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281 | (4) |
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13.2.2 The Role of Archaeological GIS (Predictive Models) in the Screening Phase of EIA: A Case Study |
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285 | (2) |
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287 | (1) |
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288 | (3) |
Section 6: Modeling Applications in Progress |
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14 Understanding Lines in the Roman Landscape: A Study of Ancient Roads and Field Systems Based on GIS Technology |
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291 | (170) |
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14.1 Aims, Area, and Field Methodology |
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292 | (4) |
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14.2 Spatial Analysis Based on GIS |
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296 | (2) |
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14.3 Tracing Ancient Roads |
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298 | (7) |
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14.4 Unraveling Field Systems |
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305 | (9) |
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314 | (1) |
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315 | (1) |
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315 | (2) |
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15 A GIS-Based Archaeological Predictive Model and Decision Support System for the North Carolina Department of Transportation |
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317 | (1) |
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Scott Madry, Matthew Cole, Steve Gould, Ben Resnick, Scott Seibel, and Matt Wilkerson |
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318 | (1) |
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319 | (1) |
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15.3 The Example of Mn/Model |
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320 | (1) |
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320 | (2) |
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15.4.1 Initial Project Area |
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321 | (1) |
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322 | (1) |
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15.5 Existing NC Archaeology Data |
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322 | (4) |
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324 | (1) |
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325 | (1) |
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15.6 Project Predictive Modeling |
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326 | (3) |
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15.7 Modeling Research Design |
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329 | (1) |
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330 | (3) |
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331 | (2) |
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333 | (1) |
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15.10 Future Directions and Recommendations |
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334 | (1) |
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334 | (1) |
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16 Multicriteria/Multiobjective Predictive Modeling: A Tool for Simulating Hunter-Gatherer Decision Making and Behavior |
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335 | (1) |
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335 | (3) |
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338 | (1) |
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16.3 A Predictive Model of Hunter-Gatherer Decision Making |
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339 | (11) |
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16.3.1 Module One: Objectives |
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341 | (2) |
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16.3.2 Module Two: Decision Rule |
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343 | (1) |
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16.3.3 Module Three: Criteria |
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343 | (3) |
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16.3.4 Multicriteria/Multiobjective Evaluations |
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346 | (4) |
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350 | (2) |
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352 | (3) |
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17 Predictive Modeling in a Homogeneous Environment: An Example from the Charleston Naval Weapons Station, South Carolina |
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355 | (1) |
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356 | (1) |
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17.2 Archaeological Probabilistic Modeling |
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357 | (8) |
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17.2.1 Data-Dependent Models |
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360 | (2) |
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17.2.2 Data-Independent Models |
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362 | (2) |
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17.2.3 Modeling in a Homogeneous Environment |
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364 | (1) |
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17.3 Probabilistic Modeling at NWS |
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365 | (22) |
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17.3.1 Previous Modeling in the Study Area |
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366 | (2) |
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17.3.2 Data Gathering and Extraction |
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368 | (3) |
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17.3.3 Creation of Probability Surfaces |
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371 | (1) |
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17.3.3.1 Hunting-Gathering Adaptations |
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372 | (1) |
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17.3.3.2 Agricultural Economies |
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373 | (1) |
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17.3.3.3 Historic Settlement |
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373 | (1) |
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17.3.4 Probabilistic Formulas |
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374 | (3) |
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17.3.5 Formula Evaluation |
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377 | (1) |
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379 | (1) |
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17.3.6 Prehistoric Site Probability |
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379 | (4) |
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17.3.7 Historic Site Probability |
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383 | (1) |
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17.3.8 Field Testing the Model |
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384 | (3) |
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387 | (1) |
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388 | (5) |
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18 Predictive Modeling in Archaeological Location Analysis and Archaeological Resource Management: Principles and Applications |
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393 | (1) |
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Tatjana Veljanovski and Zoran Stancic |
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18.1 Background to Principles and Applications |
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394 | (5) |
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394 | (1) |
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18.1.2 Modeling and Prediction in Archaeology |
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395 | (1) |
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18.1.3 Model Verification and the Methodology Transparency Problem |
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396 | (2) |
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18.1.4 Predictive-Modeling Techniques |
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398 | (1) |
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18.2 Case Studies Perspective |
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399 | (10) |
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18.2.1 "Academic" Applications on the Island of Brad, Croatia |
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399 | (1) |
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18.2.1.1 Predicting Bronze Age Hill-Fort Locations with the Boolean Overlay Technique |
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399 | (1) |
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18.2.1.2 Predicting Roman Settlement Sites with the Linear Regression Technique |
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401 | (1) |
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18.2.1.3 Modeling the Reconstruction of Roman Settlement Land Use with the Dempster-Shafer Belief Method |
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404 | (1) |
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18.2.2 Practical Application in Archaeological Resource Management in Pomurje, Slovenia |
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405 | (3) |
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18.2.3 What Can Be Learned from These Case Studies? |
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408 | (1) |
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409 | (1) |
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410 | (3) |
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19 The Changing Mesopotamian Landscape as Seen from Spot and Corona Images |
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413 | (1) |
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413 | (1) |
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19.2 The Environmental and Archaeological Context of Mesopotamian Irrigation |
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414 | (1) |
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415 | (2) |
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19.4 The Belgian Approach |
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417 | (2) |
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19.5 Our Theoretical Approach |
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419 | (1) |
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19.6 The Combined GIS Methodology |
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420 | (2) |
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422 | (7) |
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19.8 Abu Salabikh: A Case Study |
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429 | (5) |
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434 | (1) |
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435 | (2) |
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20 Quantitative Methods in Archaeological Prediction: From Binary to Fuzzy Logic |
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437 | (1) |
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437 | (1) |
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20.2 Quantitative Methods and Their Applications in the Prediction of Archaeological Site Locations |
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438 | (5) |
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20.2.1 Regression Analysis: Logistic Regression |
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439 | (1) |
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20.2.2 Multicriteria Analysis |
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440 | (1) |
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441 | (1) |
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20.2.4 Supervised Classification |
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441 | (1) |
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20.2.5 Unsupervised Classification (Cluster Analysis) |
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442 | (1) |
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442 | (1) |
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20.3 An Evaluation of the Methods: From Binary to Fuzzy Logic |
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443 | (2) |
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445 | (2) |
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21 The Use of Predictive Modeling for Guiding the Archaeological Survey of Roman Pottery Kilns in the Argonne Region (Northeastern France) |
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447 | (1) |
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Philip Verhagen and Michiel Gazenbeek |
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448 | (1) |
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21.2 Archaeological Context |
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449 | (1) |
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450 | (4) |
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21.4 The First Predictive Model |
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454 | (2) |
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21.5 The Second Predictive Model |
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456 | (1) |
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457 | (1) |
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458 | (1) |
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459 | (1) |
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459 | (2) |
Index |
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461 | |