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1 | (6) |
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1 | (1) |
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2 | (1) |
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1.3 Structure and Content |
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3 | (4) |
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6 | (1) |
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2 Technology, The Economy, and Society: Casting the Bridges---Introductory Notes |
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7 | (22) |
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7 | (1) |
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2.2 Technology: Ideas and Concepts |
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8 | (3) |
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2.3 Technology: A Timeless Value |
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11 | (6) |
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2.4 From Industrial to Information Revolution |
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17 | (3) |
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2.5 ICT: Opportunity Window for Developing Countries? |
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20 | (9) |
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23 | (6) |
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29 | (54) |
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3.1 Technology Diffusion: Theoretical Framework |
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29 | (4) |
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3.2 Technology Diffusion and Technological Substitution |
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33 | (16) |
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3.2.1 Technology Diffusion. Concepts and models |
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34 | (7) |
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3.2.2 Approximating Technology Diffusion Trajectories |
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41 | (5) |
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3.2.3 Technological Substitution |
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46 | (3) |
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3.3 The `Critical Mass': What Stands Behind? |
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49 | (12) |
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3.3.1 The `Critical Mass'. Explaining the Concept |
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49 | (5) |
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3.3.2 The `Technological Take-Off' and the `Critical Mass'. A Trial Conceptualisation |
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54 | (7) |
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3.4 Technology Convergence and Technology Convergence Clubs |
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61 | (22) |
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3.4.1 Convergence: Theoretical Specification |
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63 | (4) |
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3.4.2 Convergence Clubs Hypothesis |
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67 | (4) |
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71 | (12) |
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4 Information and Communication Technologies Diffusion Patterns in Developing Countries: Empirical Evidence |
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83 | (84) |
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84 | (1) |
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4.2 Data Explanation and Rationale |
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84 | (3) |
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4.3 Information and Communication Technologies in Developing Countries: Preliminary Evidence |
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87 | (7) |
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4.4 Shaping Country-Specific ICT Diffusion Trajectories |
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94 | (30) |
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4.4.1 Mobile Cellular Telephony Diffusion |
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95 | (12) |
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4.4.2 Internet Networks Diffusion and Internet Usage |
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107 | (17) |
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4.5 Tracing the Technological Substitution |
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124 | (17) |
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140 | (1) |
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4.6 Technology Convergence, Divergence or Club Convergence? The Worldwide Evidence for the Period 2000--2012 |
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141 | (21) |
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4.6.1 Technology Convergence |
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142 | (11) |
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4.6.2 Technology Convergence Clubs |
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153 | (6) |
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4.6.3 Brief Evidence on How Wireless Broadband Networks Expanded Worldwide Over the Period 2010--2012 |
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159 | (3) |
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162 | (5) |
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163 | (4) |
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5 What Matters for ICT Diffusion? |
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167 | (56) |
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168 | (1) |
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5.2 Tracing the `Technological Take-Off' and the `Critical Mass' Effects |
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168 | (32) |
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169 | (1) |
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5.2.2 Ready for the `Technological Take-Off'? |
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169 | (31) |
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5.3 ICT Diffusion Determinants. A `Traditional' Approach |
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200 | (19) |
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203 | (1) |
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204 | (9) |
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5.3.3 Panel Regression Results |
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213 | (6) |
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219 | (4) |
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220 | (3) |
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6 Conclusion, Recommendations and Implications |
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223 | (24) |
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223 | (1) |
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6.2 Underlying Conclusions |
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224 | (7) |
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6.2.1 The First Perspective. Moving Ahead or Lagging Behind? |
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225 | (1) |
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6.2.2 The Second Perspective. Technological Substitution: Illusion or Fact? |
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226 | (1) |
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6.2.3 The Third Perspective. Digital Gaps Closing or Growing? |
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227 | (1) |
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6.2.4 The Fourth Perspective. Ready for the `ICT Revolution'? |
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228 | (3) |
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6.3 A Brief Look at ICT Policies in Developing Countries |
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231 | (6) |
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6.3.1 What Needs to Be Addressed? Some Recommendations |
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231 | (2) |
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6.3.2 A Few Words on ICT Policies and e-Strategies Implementation in Developing Countries |
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233 | (4) |
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6.4 Toward the Great Escape? |
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237 | (10) |
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241 | (6) |
Appendix A ICT Core Indicators: Definitions |
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247 | (2) |
Appendix B Core ICT Indicators. Low-Income and Lower-Middle-Income Economies. Years 1975 and 2012 |
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249 | (4) |
Appendix C Countries Included in the Technology Convergence Analysis. Core ICT Indicators. Period 2000--2012 |
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253 | (6) |
Appendix D ICTs Inequalities. 113 World Countries. Period 2000--2012 |
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259 | (2) |
Appendix E ICTs Distributions. 113 World Countries. Period 2000--2012 |
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261 | (4) |
Appendix F ICT Marginal Growths and Replication Coefficients. 17 Low-Income Economies. Period 1995--2012 |
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265 | (6) |
Appendix G ICT Marginal Growths and Replication Coefficients. 29 Lower-Middle-Income Economies. Period 1995--2012 |
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271 | (8) |
Appendix H Mobile Cellular Telephony and Internet Users Penetration Rates: Determinants. Correlation Matrices. Low-Income and Lower-Middle-Income Economies. Period 1997--2012 |
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279 | (10) |
Appendix I Mobile Cellular Telephony and Internet Users: Regression Results. Low-Income and Lower-Middle-Income Economies. Period 1997--2012 |
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289 | (12) |
Appendix J `Technological Take-Off' Conditions. Low-Income and Lower-Middle-Income Economies |
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301 | |