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Indian Nuclear Deterrence: Its Evolution, Development and Implications for South Asian Security [Hardback]

(Dr, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad)
  • Formāts: Hardback, 500 pages, height x width x depth: 246x165x40 mm, weight: 1144 g
  • Izdošanas datums: 29-Jul-2010
  • Izdevniecība: OUP Pakistan
  • ISBN-10: 0195979036
  • ISBN-13: 9780195979039
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
  • Formāts: Hardback, 500 pages, height x width x depth: 246x165x40 mm, weight: 1144 g
  • Izdošanas datums: 29-Jul-2010
  • Izdevniecība: OUP Pakistan
  • ISBN-10: 0195979036
  • ISBN-13: 9780195979039
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
The significance of this study is that it establishes the fallacy of conventional perspectives on Indian nuclear deterrence-that the Indian nuclear programme entailed 'exclusively peaceful uses' during the Nehru era and the development of weapons capability was initiated by the government of Lal Bahadur Shastri after the first Chinese nuclear explosion in 1964. On the contrary, it provides incontrovertible documentary evidence that Dr Homi J. Bhabha formulated with Nehru's approval a nuclear weapons development strategy within the structural framework of the Indian civilian nuclear programme. Nehru was interested in a nuclear weapons capability for a 'deterrent in extremis'.
The central premise of the study is that BJP government's decision to carry out the May 1998 nuclear tests was not an original one, but a step prefigured in a strategic continuum whose genesis dates back to the late 1950s. It suggests that the declaration of Indian nuclear deterrence after the May 1998 nuclear tests, the weaponization of Indian nuclear capability and the pronouncement of the Draft Nuclear Doctrine (DND) were not separate from earlier policies, but instead were part of that strategic continuum. The study analyses the dynamics of Indian nuclear deterrence, Indian nuclear doctrine and their implications for South Asian security.
It is the first time that mostly primary archival, and documentary research material from diverse sources has been explored to write a book on this topic. It is more comprehensive than any other book on this subject in terms both of its timeframe (1947 until now) and of the issues covered-the evolution, development, dynamics and implications of Indian nuclear deterrence for South Asian Security. It is also the first book on the topic written from a Pakistani perspective.
Preface x
Acknowledgements xiv
Abbreviations xix
Chapter 1 Introduction
1(35)
1.1 Introduction to the Study
1(13)
1.2 Literature Survey
14(11)
1.3 Organization of
Chapters and Research Methodology
25(11)
Chapter 2 The Nehru Era: Creating a Nuclear Weapons Option
36(35)
2.1 Politico-Historical Framework
37(9)
2.1(a) Non-Alignment
40(2)
2.1(b) Peaceful Co-Existence
42(2)
2.1(c) Regional Leadership
44(2)
2.2 Nehru on Nuclear Disarmament
46(2)
2.3 Indian Nuclear Policy under Nehru
48(8)
2.4 Development Strategy for a Nuclear Weapons Option
56(15)
Chapter 3 India's Nuclear Diplomacy: Protecting the Weapons Option
71(41)
3.1 India and International Safeguards
72(3)
3.2 India and the Issue of Nuclear Security Guarantees
75(6)
3.3 India and the NPT (Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons of 1968
81(5)
3.4 Indian Regional Nuclear Diplomacy (1980s)
86(7)
3.5 India and the CTBT (Comprehensive Test-Ban Treaty)
93(4)
3.6 SCBMs (Security and Confidence Building Measures)
97(15)
3.6(a) Conventional CBMs
97(5)
3.6(b) Nuclear CBMs
102(10)
Chapter 4 From the Nuclear Option to Weapons Capability (1964-1977)
112(36)
4.1 Impact of China and Indian Nuclear Policy in the Shastri Period: May 1964 to January 1966
113(3)
4.2 The First Nuclear Debate: 1964-68 to 1974
116(5)
4.3 The Nuclear Test of 1974 and Indira Gandhi's Pursuit of a Nuclear Weapons Capability
121(11)
4.4 India's Strategic Objectives Associated with the 1974 Nuclear Test
132(16)
Chapter 5 Pakistan's Nuclear Policy and its Input into Indian Nuclear Decision-Making
148(61)
5.1 Pakistani Threat Perceptions
149(4)
5.2 Pakistan's Nuclear Programme: The Early Phase
153(2)
5.3 Pakistan's Nuclear Policy under Z.A. Bhutto
155(10)
5.3(a) Reprocessing Plant Controversy
159(4)
5.3(b) The Uranium Enrichment Plant at Kahuta
163(2)
5.4 Pakistan's Nuclear Policy under General Zia and India-Pakistan Action-Reaction Syndrome
165(5)
5.5 Pakistan's Nuclear Policy in the Post-Zia Period
170(3)
5.6 The Official Pakistani View on Deterrence
173(3)
5.7 Pakistan's Posture of Credible Minimum Deterrence
176(4)
5.8 Pakistan's Command and Control of Nuclear Weapons
180(9)
5.8(a) National Command Authority (NCA)
180(1)
5.8(b) Employment Control Committee (ECC)
181(1)
5.8(c) Development Control Committee (DCC)
182(7)
5.9 Establishment of Pakistan Nuclear Regulatory Authority (PNRA)
189(2)
5.10 India-United States Nuclear Deal: IAEA, NSG, and Pakistan
191(4)
5.11 Pakistan's Nuclear Forces
195(14)
5.11(a) Pakistan's Nuclear Forces: Aircraft
195(1)
5.11(b) Pakistan's Nuclear Forces: Ballistic Missiles
196(13)
Chapter 6 Indian Nuclear Policy, 1977-1998: Expanding Weapons Capability
209(28)
6.1 Indian Nuclear Policy under the First Janata Government (1977-1980)
210(4)
6.2 Indian Nuclear Policy during Indira Gandhi's Second Term (1980-1984)
214(3)
6.3 Indian Nuclear Policy under Rajiv Gandhi (1984-1989)
217(8)
6.4 Indian Nuclear Policy in the Post-Gandhi Period (1989-1998)
225(3)
6.5 Domestic Dynamics: The Second Nuclear Debate (1980s)
228(2)
6.6 Indian Policy of Nuclear Ambiguity
230(7)
Chapter 7 Dynamics of Indian Nuclear (Deterrent) Capability: An Evaluation
237(78)
7.1 India's Nuclear Programme: A Brief Summary
240(4)
7.2 Nuclear Fuels Reprocessing and Fissile Material Capability
244(6)
7.3 Indian Nuclear Weapons Technology and Warheads Capability
250(4)
7.4 Indian Nuclear Delivery Systems
254(7)
7.4(a) Aircraft-Based Delivery System
255(6)
7.5 IGMDP (Integrated Guided Missiles Development Programme)
261(5)
7.6 India's Space Programme
266(5)
7.7 Indian Ballistic Missiles
271(10)
7.8 Indian Anti-Ballistic Policy and BMD (Ballistic Missile Defence) Capability
281(13)
7.9 Indian Nuclear Forces
294(6)
7.10 Indo-US Nuclear Agreement and Possible Addition in Indian Nuclear Fuel/Weapons
300(15)
Chapter 8 The Indian Nuclear Doctrine: An Analysis
315(59)
8.1 Introduction to a Nuclear Doctrine
316(3)
8.2 Indian Nuclear Doctrine: The Formative Phase
319(4)
8.3 India's Preventive War/Pre-emption Doctrine
323(15)
8.4 Indian Draft Nuclear Doctrine (DND)
338(5)
8.5 Operationalisation of the Indian Nuclear Doctrine
343(4)
8.6 Indian Nuclear Command and Control System
347(6)
8.7 Indian Targeting Policy/Alternative Contingencies
353(4)
8.8 Indian Public Debate on its Nuclear Doctrine
357(17)
Chapter 9 Development of Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia
374(62)
9.1 Nuclear Deterrence: A Brief Theoretical Review
374(5)
9.2 The Deterrence Discourse in South Asia
379(12)
9.2(a) The Official Indian View on Deterrence
380(2)
9.2(b) South Asian Deterrence Optimism
382(3)
9.2(c) South Asian Deterrence Pessimism
385(3)
9.2(d) South Asian Deterrence Discourse Concluded
388(3)
9.3 Indian Credible Minimum Deterrence
391(3)
9.4 Development of Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia
394(3)
9.5 Employment and Signalling Nuclear Deterrence
397(39)
9.5(a) Concept of Signalling
397(2)
9.5(b) Employment and Signalling of Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia
399(2)
9.5(c) Employment and Signalling Deterrence with Undeclared Nuclear Weapons Capabilities
401(7)
9.5(d) Employment and Signalling Deterrence with Declared Nuclear Weapons Capabilities
408(28)
Chapter 10 Nuclear Deterrence and Strategic Stability in South Asia
436(62)
10.1 Conventional Military Asymmetry and Strategic Stability
437(14)
10.1(a) Concept of Strategic Stability
438(2)
10.1(b) Asymmetric Ground Forces Capabilities
440(4)
10.1(c) Asymmetric Air Force Capabilities
444(3)
10.1(d) Asymmetric Naval Capabilities
447(1)
10.1(e) The Dynamics of Arms Expenditure and Budgetary Disparities
448(3)
10.2 Strategic Stability and Stability-Instability Paradox
451(7)
10.3 Deterrence, Dissuasion, and Coercion
458(5)
10.3(a) India's Exploration of Strategic Space for Limited War Opportunities
458(2)
10.3(b) Cold Start
460(3)
10.4 Escalation, Dominance, and Control
463(10)
10.4(a) Escalation Scenarios in South Asia
465(3)
10.4(b) Escalation Control in South Asia
468(5)
10.5 Accidental/Unauthorized Nuclear War in South Asia
473(7)
10.6 Regional and International Strategic Environment
480(5)
10.7 Stabilizing Deterrence through the Composite Dialogue
485(13)
Chapter 11 Summary
498(50)
Appendices 548(21)
Bibliography 569(19)
Index 588
Zafar Iqbal Cheema has been Professor of Defence & Strategic Studies at Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad since 1994, and Meritorious Professor and Dean of the Faculty of Social Sciences there since 2005.