Preface |
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xi | |
Acknowledgements |
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xiv | |
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Part I Introduction to Community Ecology: Theory and Methods |
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1 | (50) |
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1 Historical Development of Community Ecology |
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3 | (16) |
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1.1 What Is Community Ecology? |
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3 | (1) |
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1.2 What Is an Ecological Community? |
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4 | (2) |
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1.3 Early Community Ecology: A Descriptive Science |
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6 | (3) |
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1.4 Emergence of the First Theories |
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9 | (2) |
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1.5 Current Community Ecology: Search for the Unifying Theory |
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11 | (8) |
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2 Typical Data Collected by Community Ecologists |
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19 | (11) |
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20 | (3) |
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23 | (1) |
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2.3 Spatio-temporal Context |
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24 | (2) |
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26 | (1) |
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27 | (1) |
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2.6 Some Remarks about How to Organise Data |
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28 | (2) |
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3 Typical Statistical Methods Applied by Community Ecologists |
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30 | (9) |
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30 | (3) |
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3.2 Co-occurrence Analysis |
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33 | (1) |
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3.3 Analyses of Diversity Metrics |
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34 | (1) |
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3.4 Species Distribution Modelling |
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35 | (4) |
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4 An Overview of the Structure and Use of HMSC |
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39 | (12) |
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4.1 HMSC Is a Multivariate Hierarchical Generalised Linear Mixed Model |
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39 | (2) |
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4.2 The Overall Structure of HMSC |
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41 | (4) |
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4.3 Linking HMSC to Community Ecology Theory |
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45 | (2) |
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4.4 The Overall Workflow for Applying HMSC |
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47 | (4) |
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Part II Building a Joint Species Distribution Model Step by Step |
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51 | (202) |
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5 Single-Species Distribution Modelling |
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53 | (51) |
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5.1 How Do Species Distribution Models Link to Species Niches? |
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53 | (2) |
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55 | (3) |
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5.3 Generalised Linear Models |
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58 | (5) |
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63 | (6) |
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5.5 Partitioning Explained Variation among Groups of Explanatory Variables |
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69 | (1) |
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5.6 Simulated Case Studies with HMSC |
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70 | (22) |
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5.7 Real Data Case Study with HMSC: The Distribution of Corvus Monedula in Finland |
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92 | (12) |
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6 Joint Species Distribution Modelling: Variation in Species Niches |
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104 | (38) |
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6.1 Stacked versus Joint Species Distribution Models |
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104 | (3) |
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6.2 Modelling Variation in Species Niches in a Community |
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107 | (3) |
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6.3 Explaining Variation in Species Niches by Their Traits |
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110 | (4) |
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6.4 Explaining Variation in Species Niches by Phylogenetic Relatedness |
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114 | (3) |
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6.5 Explaining Variation in Species Niches by Both Traits and Phylogeny |
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117 | (3) |
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6.6 Simulated Case Studies with HMSC |
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120 | (13) |
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6.7 Real Case Study with HMSC: How Do Plant Traits Influence Their Distribution? |
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133 | (9) |
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7 Joint Species Distribution Modelling: Biotic Interactions |
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142 | (42) |
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7.1 Strategies for Estimating Biotic Interactions in Species Distribution Models |
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143 | (1) |
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7.2 Occurrence and Co-occurrence Probabilities |
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144 | (3) |
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7.3 Using Latent Variables to Model Co-occurrence |
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147 | (5) |
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7.4 Accounting for the Spatio-temporal Context through Latent Variables |
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152 | (4) |
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7.5 Covariate-Dependent Species Associations |
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156 | (3) |
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7.6 A Cautionary Note about Interpreting Residual Associations as Biotic Interactions |
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159 | (1) |
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7.7 Using Residual Species Associations for Making Improved Predictions |
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160 | (5) |
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7.8 Simulated Case Studies with HMSC |
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165 | (7) |
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7.9 Real Case Study with HMSC: Sequencing Data on Dead Wood-Inhabiting Fungi |
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172 | (12) |
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8 Bayesian Inference in HMSC |
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184 | (33) |
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185 | (2) |
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8.2 Basics of Bayesian Inference: Prior and Posterior Distributions and Likelihood of Data |
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187 | (1) |
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8.3 The Prior Distribution of Species Niches |
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188 | (9) |
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8.4 The Prior Distribution of Species Associations |
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197 | (9) |
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8.5 The Prior Distribution of Data Models |
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206 | (1) |
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8.6 What HMSC Users Need and Do Not Need to Know about Posterior Sampling |
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207 | (3) |
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8.7 Sampling from the Prior with HMSC |
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210 | (5) |
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8.8 How Long Does It Take to Fit an HMSC Model? |
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215 | (2) |
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9 Evaluating Model Fit and Selecting among Multiple Models |
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217 | (36) |
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9.1 Preselection of Candidate Models |
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218 | (1) |
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9.2 The Many Ways of Measuring Model Fit |
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219 | (6) |
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9.3 The Widely Applicable Information Criterion (WAIC) |
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225 | (3) |
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9.4 Variable Selection by a Spike and Slab Prior |
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228 | (14) |
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9.5 Reduced Rank Regression (RRR) |
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242 | (11) |
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Part III Applications and Perspectives |
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253 | (94) |
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10 Linking HMSC Back to Community Assembly Processes |
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255 | (45) |
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10.1 Simulating an Agent-Based Model of a Competitive Metacommunity |
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256 | (10) |
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10.2 Statistical Analyses of the Spatial Data Collected by a Virtual Ecologist |
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266 | (22) |
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10.3 Statistical Analyses of the Time-Series Data Collected by a Virtual Ecologist |
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288 | (9) |
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10.4 What Did the Virtual Ecologists Learn from Their Data? |
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297 | (3) |
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11 Illustration of HMSC Analyses: Case Study of Finnish Birds |
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300 | (37) |
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11.1 Steps 1-5 of the HMSC Workflow |
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300 | (16) |
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11.2 Measuring the Level of Statistical Support and Propagating Uncertainty into Predictions |
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316 | (5) |
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11.3 Using HMSC for Conservation Prioritisation |
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321 | (3) |
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11.4 Using HMSC for Bioregionalisation: Regions of Common Profile |
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324 | (5) |
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11.5 Comparing HMSC to Other Statistical Methods in Community Ecology |
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329 | (8) |
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12 Conclusions and Future Directions |
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337 | (10) |
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12.1 The Ten Key Strengths of HMSC |
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337 | (4) |
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12.2 Future Development Needs |
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341 | (6) |
Epilogue |
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347 | (3) |
References |
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350 | (19) |
Index |
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369 | |