In essays that illuminate not only the recent past but shortcomings in today's intelligence assessments, sixteen experts show how prospective antagonists appraised each other prior to the World Wars. This cautionary tale, warns that intelligence agencies can do certain things very well--but other things poorly, if at all.
Originally published in 1985.
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*FrontMatter, pg. i*CONTENTS, pg. v*LIST OF MAPS AND CHART, pg.
vii*ACKNOWLEDGMENTS, pg. ix*ABBREVIATIONS USED IN FOOTNOTES, pg.
xi*INTRODUCTION, pg. 1*1. Cabinet, Tsar, Kaiser: Three Approaches to
Assessment, pg. 11*2. Austria-Hungary, pg. 37*3. Imperial Germany, pg. 62*4.
The Russian Empire, pg. 98*5. France and the German Menace, pg. 127*6. French
Estimates of Germany's Operational War Plans, pg. 150*7. Great Britain before
1914, pg. 172*8. Italy before 1915: The Quandary of the Vulnerable, pg.
205*9. British Intelligence and the Coming of the Second World War in Europe,
pg. 237*10. French Military Intelligence and Nazi Germany, 1938- 1939, pg.
271*11. National Socialist Germany: The Politics of Information, pg. 310*12.
Fascist Italy Assesses Its Enemies, 1935-1940, pg. 347*13. Threat
Identification and Strategic Appraisal by the Soviet Union, 1930-1941, pg.
375*14. Japanese Intelligence before the Second World War: "Best Case"
Analysis, pg. 424*15. Great Britain's Assessment of Japan before the Outbreak
of the Pacific War, pg. 456*16. United States Views of Germany and Japan in
1941, pg. 476*Conclusions: Capabilities and Proclivities, pg.
503*CONTRIBUTORS, pg. 543*INDEX, pg. 547
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