This book is an originalthe first-ever treatment of the mathematics of Luck. Setting out from the principle that luck can be measured by the gap between reasonable expectation and eventual realization, the book develops step-by-step a mathematical theory that accommodates the entire range of our pre-systematic understanding of the way in which luck functions in human affairs. In so moving from explanatory exposition to mathematical treatment, the book provides a clear and accessible account of the way in which luck assessment enters into the calculations of rational decision theory.
1. Chancy Outcome Situation.-
2. Outcome Luck Assessment and the Luck
Equation.-
3. Variant Approaches to Luck.-
4. Some Illustrative Examples.-
5.
Luck in Success/Failure Situations.-
6. Basic Luck Theorems.-
7. Luck and
Risk.-
8. Managing Luck.
Nicholas Rescher: Distinguished University Professor of Philosophy; Former President: American Philosophical Association, American Catholic Philosophical Association, American Philosophical Society. Member American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Royal Society of Canada; Academie Europaea; Cardinal Mercier Medalist; Aquinas Medalist; Helmholtz Medalist of the German Academy of Sciences (Berlin-Brandenburg).