Foreword |
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xiii | |
Acknowledgments |
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xv | |
Part 1 Agriculture and the Food Industry |
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1 | (108) |
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1 The Role of Agriculture in Today's Food Industry |
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3 | (26) |
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3 | (7) |
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1.1.1 The Four Building Blocks |
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4 | (1) |
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1.1.2 Some History of Agriculture |
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5 | (1) |
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1.1.3 Eat More and Increase the Likelihood for Survival |
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6 | (1) |
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1.1.4 Food Can Be Grown and Plants Can Be Bred: What's Next? |
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7 | (2) |
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1.1.5 From Very Old to Rather Recent Food-Preservation Techniques |
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9 | (1) |
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1.2 Agriculture: The Main Supplier to the Food Industry |
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10 | (6) |
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1.2.1 Artificial Ingredients |
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10 | (1) |
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1.2.2 The Main Raw Material Sources |
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11 | (1) |
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12 | (1) |
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13 | (1) |
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1.2.5 Other Excursions from Food |
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14 | (1) |
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1.2.6 Noncompeting Alternatives |
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15 | (1) |
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1.3 Agriculture's New Role in Light of Food and Health |
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16 | (7) |
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1.3.1 Decades of Food Safety Rules and Regulations |
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18 | (2) |
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1.3.2 More Rules: What Do We Do? |
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20 | (1) |
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1.3.3 Raw Materials and Processes Become More Sophisticated |
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21 | (2) |
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1.4 Most Likely Drivers for Change in the Agriculture Industry |
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23 | (2) |
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1.5 Summary and Major Learning |
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25 | (2) |
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27 | (2) |
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2 Water Management in Modern Agriculture: The Role of Water and Water Management in Agriculture and Industry |
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29 | (24) |
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29 | (1) |
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2.2 Multiple Dimensions of Water |
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30 | (3) |
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2.3 On the Evolution of Water Institutions and Policies |
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33 | (2) |
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2.4 Reforming Water-Resource Management at the Micro-Level (Farm and Field) |
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35 | (3) |
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2.5 Reforming Regional Water-Allocation Regimes |
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38 | (4) |
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2.6 Improved Water Project Design |
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42 | (1) |
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2.7 Improved Water Quality |
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43 | (1) |
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44 | (2) |
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2.9 Summary and Major Learning |
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46 | (1) |
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47 | (6) |
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3 Innovation in Plant Breeding for a Sustainable Supply of High-Quality Plant Raw Materials for the Food Industry |
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53 | (34) |
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53 | (1) |
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3.2 Challenges for Future Agricultures and Food Industries |
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54 | (5) |
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3.2.1 Strongly Growing Food Needs |
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54 | (2) |
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56 | (3) |
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3.3 Genetic-Based Techniques for Plant Breeding in the Context of Agricultural Production |
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59 | (9) |
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3.3.1 Genetic Innovation and Agronomic Practices |
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59 | (2) |
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3.3.2 The Process of Plant Breeding and Its Main Limitations |
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61 | (6) |
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3.3.3 Preliminary Conclusions |
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67 | (1) |
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3.4 Trends: Shift in Allocation of Resources to Global Needs? |
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68 | (9) |
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68 | (1) |
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3.4.2 Analysis of Investment in Seed Research and Development |
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69 | (2) |
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3.4.3 Analysis of Deviations and Distortions of R&D Investments and Production Volumes |
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71 | (6) |
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3.5 A First Set of Conclusions and Recommendations |
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77 | (3) |
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3.6 Summary and Major Learning |
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80 | (1) |
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81 | (4) |
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85 | (2) |
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4 The Agriculture of Animals: Animal Proteins of the Future as Valuable and Sustainable Sources for the Food Industry |
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87 | (22) |
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4.1 Livestock and Animal Husbandry |
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87 | (2) |
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88 | (1) |
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4.2 Animals: A Source of High-Quality Proteins |
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89 | (1) |
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4.3 Animal Protein Demand in Emerging Markets |
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90 | (3) |
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4.4 Optimal Animal Welfare: Sustainable, Humane, and Healthy |
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93 | (4) |
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4.4.1 Animal Production Increase |
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95 | (2) |
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4.5 Animal-Breeding Programs |
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97 | (5) |
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4.5.1 Genomic Breeding of Animals |
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98 | (4) |
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4.6 The Use of Big Data for Management and Genetic Evaluations |
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102 | (4) |
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4.7 Summary and Major Learning |
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106 | (2) |
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108 | (1) |
Part 2 The Future of the Food Industry |
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109 | (110) |
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5 The Food Trends-The New Food-Enough Food? |
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111 | (30) |
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5.1 Historical Food Trends: From Then to Now |
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111 | (13) |
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5.1.1 Food and Beverages during the Period of Classical Greece |
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111 | (2) |
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5.1.2 Food and Beverages in the Roman Empire |
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113 | (2) |
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5.1.3 Food in Medieval Times in Central Europe |
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115 | (3) |
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5.1.4 From European Renaissance and Enlightenment to the First Industrial Revolution |
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118 | (3) |
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5.1.5 Food in the 20th Century: The Real Food Revolution |
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121 | (3) |
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5.2 Present-Day Food Fashions and Trends: A Never-Ending Story |
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124 | (4) |
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5.2.1 Food and Nutrition Trends: A Story of Perception, Deception, and Beliefs |
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125 | (3) |
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5.3 New Food Sources: New Protein Sources |
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128 | (4) |
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5.3.1 Insects: A New Food Source? |
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129 | (1) |
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5.3.2 Increased Food Security through Exploiting New Protein Sources |
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130 | (1) |
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5.3.3 A "Crazy" Idea for Other Food Sources: Beyond Proteins |
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131 | (1) |
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5.4 Vegetarian Food and Its Potential Societal and Economic Impact |
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132 | (2) |
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5.5 Urban Gardening and Urban Agriculture |
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134 | (3) |
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5.5.1 The Urban Bee-Highways |
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136 | (1) |
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5.6 Summary and Major Learning |
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137 | (1) |
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138 | (3) |
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6 The New Food Industry Business Model: From B2C to B2B, from Product Manufacture to Selling Know-How, and from Now to Then |
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141 | (26) |
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6.1 The Old: Develop, Manufacture, and Sell ("Demase") |
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141 | (3) |
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6.1.1 The Fall of the Righteous |
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142 | (2) |
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6.2 The New: The Customer Is King, the Consumer Is an Enabler, and from B2C to B2B |
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144 | (6) |
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145 | (1) |
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6.2.2 Retailers Become the Most Important Partriers for Food and Beverage Companies |
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146 | (1) |
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6.2.3 How This Could Work: A Possible Path and Examples |
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147 | (3) |
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6.3 From Selling Products to Selling Know-How |
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150 | (5) |
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6.3.1 The Knowledge-Centric Company |
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152 | (2) |
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6.3.2 Engaging, Interacting, and Selling: The New Etiquette |
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154 | (1) |
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6.4 The Community of Consumers: It's What They Want that Counts! |
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155 | (6) |
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6.4.1 The Consumers Become Involved |
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158 | (3) |
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6.5 Food-Related Trends and Hypes in Today's Societies: An Outlook to the Future |
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161 | (2) |
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6.6 Summary and Major Learning |
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163 | (2) |
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165 | (2) |
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7 The Internet of Just about Everything: Impact on Agriculture and Food Industry |
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167 | (24) |
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7.1 Modern Cooking: Forward to the Past |
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167 | (4) |
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7.1.1 The Role of Robotics and Connectivity |
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169 | (2) |
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7.2 Everything Is Online and Everyone Is Online-All the Time |
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171 | (3) |
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7.3 Food and Agriculture: The New Hardware and Software |
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174 | (5) |
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7.3.1 Big Data Are Here to Stay |
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176 | (1) |
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7.3.2 Agriculture and Space Science: The New Connection |
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176 | (2) |
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7.3.3 Impact on the Food Industry and the Consumer in the Middle |
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178 | (1) |
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7.4 An Attempt at Peaking Ahead: Will There Still Be an Agriculture or Food Industry? |
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179 | (7) |
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7.4.1 Bigger Is Not Always Better |
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180 | (2) |
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7.4.2 Elements that Will Stay and Others that Might Disappear |
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182 | (4) |
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7.5 Summary and Major Learning |
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186 | (3) |
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189 | (2) |
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8 Nutrition: The Old Mantra...the New Un-Word |
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191 | (28) |
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8.1 Nutrition: What's All the Fuss about? |
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191 | (7) |
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8.1.1 The Hottest New Food Trends |
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192 | (3) |
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8.1.2 The Debate Continues: What's Good and What's Not Good for You? |
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195 | (1) |
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8.1.3 And Here We Go Again: Fasting Can Do You an Awful Lot of Good |
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196 | (1) |
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8.1.4 A Few Simple Tips When It Comes to Healthy and Happy Eating |
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197 | (1) |
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8.2 A Bit of Nutrition History |
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198 | (10) |
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8.2.1 Low and Reduced, Lower and "Reduced-Er": Low or Reduced Fat |
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202 | (1) |
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8.2.2 Low or Reduced Salt |
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203 | (1) |
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8.2.3 Low or Reduced Sugar and No Sugar |
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204 | (2) |
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8.2.4 Low Saturated Fats, Good Monounsaturated Fats, More Polyunsaturated Fats, and Lots of Omega Fats |
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206 | (2) |
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8.3 Typical Nutrition Controversies |
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208 | (3) |
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8.3.1 So Many Recommendations...Too Many? |
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208 | (2) |
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210 | (1) |
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8.4 Food and Claims, Food and Benefits |
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211 | (3) |
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8.5 Summary and Major Learning |
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214 | (3) |
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217 | (2) |
Part 3 The New Food World |
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219 | (92) |
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9 A Food Company Transforms Itself |
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221 | (26) |
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9.1 The Not-So-New Realities |
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221 | (6) |
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9.1.1 Automation Is Here...For Quite Some Time Actually |
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223 | (2) |
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9.1.2 The Novel Directions in Food and Agriculture are Governed by Regulatory Involvement |
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225 | (1) |
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9.1.3 All-Natural Industrial Food Products: The Way Forward? |
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226 | (1) |
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9.2 From Product to Know-How Seller: An Encore |
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227 | (7) |
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9.2.1 Some Assumptions as to How This May Function |
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228 | (2) |
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9.2.2 What are Possible Consequences for Food Ingredient Suppliers? |
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230 | (4) |
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9.3 Anticipating the Inevitable: Possible Scenarios |
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234 | (7) |
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9.3.1 Possible Future Models and Scenarios |
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238 | (1) |
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9.3.2 The Return Of Medical Food? |
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239 | (2) |
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9.4 Reality or Fiction? Reality and Fiction! |
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241 | (3) |
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9.4.1 A New Manufacturing Reality |
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242 | (2) |
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9.5 Summary and Major Learning |
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244 | (2) |
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246 | (1) |
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10 Food for the Future: A Future for Food |
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247 | (30) |
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10.1 Proactive Agriculture |
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247 | (5) |
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10.1.1 What If Agriculture Anticipated Real Food Requirements and Trends? |
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249 | (3) |
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10.2 Democratized Agriculture |
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252 | (12) |
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253 | (1) |
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254 | (5) |
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10.2.3 From Large to Small |
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259 | (2) |
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10.2.4 The Growing Role of Urban Agriculture: Self-Centeredness or Community Driven? |
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261 | (3) |
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10.3 Agriculture and Food Manufacture in Exotic Places |
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264 | (5) |
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10.3.1 An Ice Cream Factory in Greenland? |
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265 | (1) |
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10.3.2 A Chocolate Factory in Ghana? |
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266 | (3) |
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269 | (4) |
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10.4.1 What about the Role of Restaurants? |
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269 | (1) |
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10.4.2 Pet Food Is Food, Too |
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270 | (1) |
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10.4.3 Will We Eat Food in Pill Format? |
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271 | (2) |
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10.5 Summary and Major Learning |
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273 | (1) |
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274 | (3) |
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277 | (34) |
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277 | (4) |
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11.1.1 The Role of Agriculture in Today's Food Industry |
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278 | (1) |
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11.1.2 Food-Preservation Techniques |
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279 | (1) |
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11.1.3 Agriculture Is the Main Raw Material Supplier to Be Transformed to Food |
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280 | (1) |
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11.1.4 Nonfood Uses of Agricultural Raw Materials |
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280 | (1) |
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11.1.5 Agriculture in a World of Rules and Regulations |
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280 | (1) |
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11.1.6 Food Raw Materials and Process Became More Sophisticated and Complex |
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281 | (1) |
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11.2 Water Management in Modern Agriculture |
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281 | (4) |
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11.2.1 The "Water Reform" |
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282 | (1) |
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11.2.2 Water Productivity |
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282 | (1) |
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11.2.3 Water-Related Government Policies |
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283 | (1) |
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11.2.4 Getting It Right: Policies and Price |
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283 | (1) |
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11.2.5 Controlling Water Quality |
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284 | (1) |
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11.3 Innovation in Plant Breeding: High-Quality Plant Raw Materials for the Food Industry |
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285 | (1) |
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11.3.1 Agricultural Plant Output: The Essential Raw Material Source for the Food Industry |
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285 | (1) |
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11.3.2 Demand Forecast Based on Food Requirements |
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285 | (1) |
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11.3.3 Genetic Improvement of Cultivated Crops |
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285 | (1) |
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11.3.4 The Major Crops versus "Orphan Crops" |
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286 | (1) |
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11.4 The Agriculture of Animals: Valuable and Sustainable Sources for the Food Industry |
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286 | (2) |
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11.4.1 Growing Population: Growing Amount of Livestock |
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287 | (1) |
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11.4.2 Animal Health and Intensive Farming |
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287 | (1) |
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287 | (1) |
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11.4.4 Good Farm Management: Good Data Management |
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288 | (1) |
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11.5 The Food Trends-the New Food-Enough Food? |
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288 | (4) |
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11.5.1 Food and Beverage Fashions and Trends of the Past |
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289 | (1) |
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11.5.2 The "Real" Food Revolution of the 20th Century |
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289 | (1) |
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11.5.3 Present-Day Food and Nutrition Trends |
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290 | (1) |
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11.5.4 New Food Sources: New Protein Sources |
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290 | (1) |
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11.5.5 Vegetarian Food and Its Impact on Society |
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291 | (1) |
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11.5.6 The Role of Urban Agriculture and Bees |
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291 | (1) |
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11.6 New Business Models for the Food Industry |
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292 | (3) |
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11.6.1 From "Consumer Is King" to "Customer Is King": Retailers Become Real Partners |
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292 | (1) |
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11.6.2 Good-Bye to Selling Products and Hello to Selling Know-How |
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293 | (1) |
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11.6.3 Consumers Become Involved |
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294 | (1) |
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11.7 The Internet of Just about Everything and What This Means for Agriculture and Food |
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295 | (3) |
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11.7.1 Modern Cooking: A Brief Look to the Past |
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295 | (1) |
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11.7.2 Robotics and Connectivity |
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295 | (1) |
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11.7.3 Food and Agriculture: Big Data |
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296 | (1) |
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11.7.4 Will There Still Be Agriculture and Food Industries? |
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296 | (1) |
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11.7.5 What Will Remain, and What Will Disappear? |
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297 | (1) |
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11.8 Nutrition: What Else? |
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298 | (3) |
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11.8.1 Healthy and Happy Eating |
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299 | (1) |
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11.8.2 A Short History of Nutrition |
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300 | (1) |
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11.8.3 Nutrition Controversies |
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300 | (1) |
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11.8.4 Claims and Benefits |
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301 | (1) |
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11.9 The Company Transforms Itself |
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301 | (4) |
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11.9.1 The Role of Automation: Threat or Blessing? |
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302 | (1) |
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11.9.2 Regulatory Involvement in the Industry |
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303 | (1) |
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11.9.3 The New Business Model 2.1 |
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303 | (1) |
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11.9.4 Scenarios of Relevance for Food and Agriculture |
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303 | (1) |
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11.9.5 Medical Food: A Future? |
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304 | (1) |
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11.9.6 Reality or Fiction? |
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304 | (1) |
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11.10 Agriculture Listens, Finally? |
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305 | (6) |
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11.10.1 Agriculture and Farming at the Fingertips of Everyone |
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306 | (1) |
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11.10.2 Small Is Beautiful |
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306 | (1) |
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11.10.3 Is Urban Agriculture a Sign of Self-Centeredness or Is It Community Driven? |
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307 | (1) |
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11.10.4 Manufacturing Food Where It Makes Sense |
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307 | (1) |
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11.10.5 What Role Do Restaurants Play? |
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308 | (1) |
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11.10.6 The Role of Pet Food in the Food Industry |
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308 | (1) |
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11.10.7 Food in the Format of Pills? Will Consuming Food Pills Be Part of Megatrends? |
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308 | (3) |
Index |
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311 | |