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Microsimulation and Population Dynamics: An Introduction to Modgen 12 1st ed. 2017 [Hardback]

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  • Formāts: Hardback, 192 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, weight: 4498 g, 44 Illustrations, black and white; XXIV, 192 p. 44 illus., 1 Hardback
  • Sērija : The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis 43
  • Izdošanas datums: 23-Mar-2017
  • Izdevniecība: Springer International Publishing AG
  • ISBN-10: 3319446622
  • ISBN-13: 9783319446622
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Microsimulation and Population Dynamics: An Introduction to Modgen 12 1st ed. 2017Palielināt
  • Formāts: Hardback, 192 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, weight: 4498 g, 44 Illustrations, black and white; XXIV, 192 p. 44 illus., 1 Hardback
  • Sērija : The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis 43
  • Izdošanas datums: 23-Mar-2017
  • Izdevniecība: Springer International Publishing AG
  • ISBN-10: 3319446622
  • ISBN-13: 9783319446622
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
Permanent link: https://www.kriso.lv/db/9783319446622.html
Keywords:
This book is a practical, step-by-step introduction to microsimulation in demography. It shows how to use Modgen, a powerful and free microsimulation platform built by Statistics Canada. The authors" hands-on explanation of model development will help readers make their own. The book teaches how to create and run a simple cohort model with a single fixed-rate event, and builds upon this concept. It introduces how to develop both a single state life table as well as a multiple increment-decrement life table using the tools provided by Modgen. The authors illustrate how to easily upgrade an existing model by adding new modules and new dimensions as determinants of a risk already modeled. The integration of a fertility module and a base population allows the user to bring new actors into the simulation and transform a cohort-based model into a population-based one. The final addition of an international migration module allows the user to accomplish fully open, multi-regional project

ions. This accessible introduction will be of interest to researchers and students in population studies and other social sciences. It will also appeal to anyone interested in the computational modeling of population dynamics.

Introduction.- Chapter 1 Creating a basic cohort model.- Chapter 2 The life table.- Chapter 3 The multiple increment-decrement life table.- Chapter 4 Modelling fertility.- Chapter 5 The base population.- Chapter 6 International migration.- Conclusion.
1 Creating a Basic Cohort Model
1(28)
1.1 Using the New Model Wizard
2(4)
1.2 The ModgenExample.mpp File (Appendix 1.1)
6(2)
1.3 The PersonCore.mpp File (Appendix 1.2)
8(8)
1.4 Compiling and Running the Simulation Program
16(5)
1.5 Summary
21(8)
Appendices
21(1)
Appendix 1.1 ModgenExample.mpp
21(3)
Appendix 1.2 PersonCore.mpp
24(5)
2 The Life Table
29(34)
2.1 Adding a Classification
30(2)
2.2 Adding a Numerical Range
32(1)
2.3 Adding an Event: The Birthday Event
33(2)
2.4 Modifying the Start Function
35(2)
2.5 Modifying the Mortality Event Function
37(2)
2.6 Adding Values in the Parameters File
39(2)
2.7 Generating New Tables: The Elements of the Life Table
41(9)
2.7.1 Derived States in the Table
43(7)
2.8 Modifying Parameters and Reorganising Tables with the User Interface
50(5)
2.9 Summary
55(8)
Appendices
55(1)
Appendix 2.1 PersonCore.mpp
55(6)
Appendix 2.2 Base(PersonCore).dat
61(2)
3 The Multiple Increment-Decrement Life Table
63(36)
3.1 Self-Scheduling Events: The self_scheduling_int Function
64(2)
3.2 Creating a New Module for Interprovincial Migration
66(5)
3.3 Assigning a Province of Birth Using a cumrate Parameter and the Lookup Function
71(3)
3.4 Adding an Internal Migration Event
74(4)
3.5 Modifying the Mortality Parameter
78(1)
3.6 Multi-regional Tables
79(4)
3.7 Manipulating Tables in Modgen (Advanced Topic)
83(3)
3.8 Adding a Parameter File to a Scenario
86(2)
3.9 Summary
88(11)
Appendices
89(1)
Appendix 3.1 PersonCore.mpp
89(4)
Appendix 3.2 Migration.mpp
93(4)
Appendix 3.3 Base(Migration).dat
97(2)
4 Modelling Fertility
99(32)
4.1 Adding Calendar Time
100(3)
4.2 Creating a Fertility Module
103(6)
4.3 Modifying the PersonCore Module and the Start Function
109(5)
4.4 Bringing the Tables Together in a Results Module
114(3)
4.5 Looking at the Results
117(3)
4.6 Summary
120(11)
Appendices
121(1)
Appendix 4.1 PersonCore.mpp
121(4)
Appendix 4.2 Fertility.mpp
125(2)
Appendix 4.3 Tables.mpp
127(1)
Appendix 4.4 ModgenExample.mpp
128(3)
5 The Base Population
131(22)
5.1 Preparing a Microdata File
132(1)
5.2 Importing External Data into Modgen
133(1)
5.3 Integrating Import Functions into the Main File
134(1)
5.4 Using the Imported Data and Modifying the Start Function
135(5)
5.5 Modifying Calendar Time
140(1)
5.6 Modifying the Scenario and Running the Model
141(2)
5.7 Summary
143(10)
Appendices
144(1)
Appendix 5.1 ModgenExample.mpp
144(3)
Appendix 5.2 PersonCore.mpp
147(4)
Appendix 5.3 Tables.mpp
151(2)
6 International Migration
153(28)
6.1 Creating an International Migration Module
154(3)
6.2 The Emigration Event
157(1)
6.3 Modifying the Start Function
158(3)
6.4 Modifying the Simulation Loop to Include Immigration
161(4)
6.5 Adjusting Weights
165(1)
6.6 Generating Results
166(3)
6.7 Summary
169(12)
Appendices
170(1)
Appendix 6.1 InternationalMigration.mpp
170(1)
Appendix 6.2 ModgenExample.mpp
171(4)
Appendix 6.3 PersonCore.mpp
175(4)
Appendix 6.4 Tables.mpp
179(2)
Conclusion 181(4)
Appendix: Coding Standards 185(2)
Glossary 187(2)
References 189(2)
Index 191
Alain Bélanger is professor of demography at the Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique (INRS-Urbanisation Culture Société), in Montréal, Canada and President of the Canadian Population Association between (2014- 2016). He graduated from the University of Montréal where he received his BA in History and MSc in Demography, and from the University of Colorado where he received his PhD in Geography. Prior to his appointment as a university professor, he worked 17 years at Statistics Canada where he held the positions of Coordinator of research and analysis in Demography Division and Assistant-director with the Census Subject Matter Program. Between 1999 and 2006, he was the Editor of Statistics Canadas annual Report on the Demographic Situation in Canada. His research interests include population projections and microsimulation, immigration and integration and demolinguistic. Patrick Sabourin has a Bachelors degree in electrical engineering and a Masters degree in Biology, both from McGill University (Montréal, Canada). He is now a PhD student in Demography under the supervision of Alain Bélanger at the Institut National de la Recherche Scientifique (INRS-Urbanisation Culture Société). His research interests include demographic projections, microsimulation and population modeling, immigration and demolinguistics.