Preface |
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xvii | |
Acknowledgments |
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xxi | |
Authors |
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xxiii | |
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Chapter 1 Introduction to Multihazard Considerations |
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1 | (16) |
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1 | (1) |
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1.1.1 What Is not Multihazard? |
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2 | (1) |
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1.1.2 Multihazard versus All Hazards: It Is More than Semantics |
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2 | (1) |
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1.2 Multihazard in Literature |
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2 | (2) |
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4 | (1) |
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4 | (1) |
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1.3.1 Hazards, Threats, and Demands |
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5 | (1) |
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5 | (1) |
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1.5 Characteristics of a Hazard |
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5 | (2) |
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1.6 Hazards Classifications |
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7 | (3) |
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7 | (1) |
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1.6.2 Frequency Classifications |
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8 | (1) |
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1.6.3 Temporal Classifications |
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9 | (1) |
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1.6.4 Newtonian versus Non-Newtonian Hazards |
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10 | (1) |
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1.7 Illustrative Examples |
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10 | (2) |
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12 | (2) |
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1.8.1 Risk, Reliability, and Exposure |
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12 | (2) |
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14 | (1) |
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1.9 MH Measures and Methods of Hazards Interaction |
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14 | (1) |
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14 | (1) |
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15 | (1) |
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1.10 Benefits of Multihazard Considerations |
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15 | (2) |
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16 | (1) |
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Chapter 2 Theoretical Background |
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17 | (14) |
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17 | (1) |
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2.2 Theoretical MH in Literature |
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17 | (1) |
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18 | (1) |
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2.4 Multihazard Physical Theory |
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19 | (1) |
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2.5 Multihazard Decision Theory |
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19 | (1) |
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2.6 Qualitative Outlook to MH Interactions |
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20 | (1) |
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2.7 Needs for Objective Basis of MH Process |
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20 | (5) |
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2.8 How Do Hazards Interact? |
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25 | (6) |
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29 | (2) |
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Chapter 3 Analysis in MH Environment |
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31 | (46) |
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31 | (1) |
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31 | (1) |
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32 | (1) |
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3.2 MH Interaction Matrix |
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32 | (5) |
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3.2.1 Case Study 3.1: MH Statics of Building Frames |
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33 | (3) |
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3.2.2 Degree-of-Freedom Adjustment |
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36 | (1) |
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3.2.3 Limitations of MHIM |
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36 | (1) |
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3.3 MHIM for Internal Forces: Force MH Interaction Matrix |
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37 | (2) |
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3.3.1 Case Study 3.2: MH Static Analysis of Internal Forces |
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37 | (2) |
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3.4 Dynamic Hazards: Evaluation for Dynamic Multihazard Interaction Coefficient (D-MHIC) and Multihazard Interaction Matrix (D-MHIM) |
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39 | (5) |
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3.4.1 Case Study 3.3: MH Dynamics of Building Frames |
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39 | (3) |
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3.4.2 Case Study 3.4: MH Dynamics of Truss Bridges |
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42 | (2) |
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3.5 Dynamic--Static Hazards: DS-MHIM |
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44 | (4) |
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3.5.1 Case Study 3.5: Wind--Seismic Hazard Interaction Analysis of Building Frames |
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44 | (1) |
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3.5.2 Case Study 3.6: Wind--Seismic--Blast Hazard Interaction Analysis of Building Frames |
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45 | (1) |
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3.5.3 Case Study 3.7: Live Load--Seismic Hazard Interaction Analysis of Truss Bridges |
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46 | (2) |
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3.6 MH in Nonlinear Problems |
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48 | (4) |
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3.6.1 Theoretical Development |
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48 | (1) |
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3.6.2 Case Study 3.8: Using Ductility as a MH Metric |
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49 | (3) |
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52 | (1) |
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52 | (1) |
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3.7.1 Revisiting Case Study 3.1 with n = 3 |
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52 | (1) |
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3.7.2 Revisiting Case Study 3.1 with n = 1 |
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53 | (1) |
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3.8 Other Forms of MH Analysis |
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53 | (24) |
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Appendix 3A Displacement/Rotation |
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54 | (1) |
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Appendix 3B Modal Analysis of Structures |
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55 | (1) |
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Appendix 3C Truncated Displacements/Rotations |
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56 | (1) |
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Appendix 3D Truncated Displacements/Rotations |
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56 | (1) |
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57 | (12) |
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69 | (4) |
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73 | (2) |
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75 | (2) |
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Chapter 4 Vulnerability, Reliability, and Exposure: Current Design Paradigms |
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77 | (50) |
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77 | (1) |
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77 | (1) |
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78 | (1) |
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4.2 Vulnerability of Infrastructures |
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78 | (10) |
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78 | (1) |
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4.2.2 Physical MH Vulnerability Interactions |
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78 | (2) |
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4.2.3 Case Study 4.1: MH Vulnerability Interactions of Mass Transit Stations |
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80 | (4) |
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4.2.4 Decision-Based Vulnerability Interactions |
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84 | (1) |
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4.2.5 Case Study 4.2: MH Vulnerability Interactions of Tunnels |
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85 | (2) |
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87 | (1) |
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4.3 Reliability-Based Design: MH Viewpoints of Governing Equations |
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88 | (10) |
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88 | (1) |
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4.3.2 Theoretical Background |
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88 | (2) |
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4.3.3 MH Structural Reliability Metrics |
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90 | (1) |
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4.3.4 MH Interaction through DLC (MH-DLC) |
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91 | (2) |
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4.3.5 MH Design Using Design Loading Conditions (MH-DLC) |
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93 | (1) |
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93 | (1) |
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4.3.5.2 Case Study 4.3: Evaluating MH-DLC Using Simulated Current Practices |
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93 | (1) |
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4.3.6 MH-Design Efficiency Matrix |
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94 | (1) |
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94 | (2) |
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4.3.6.2 Case Study 4.4: Simple Analytic Expressions of MH-DEM |
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96 | (1) |
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4.3.6.3 Case Study 4.5: Numerical Solution of MH-DEM for Portal Frame Design |
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97 | (1) |
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4.4 Reliability-Based Design: MH Serial versus Parallel Design Process |
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98 | (9) |
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98 | (1) |
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4.4.2 Application of MPT: Wind and Progressive Collapse of Tall Buildings |
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99 | (2) |
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4.4.3 Interaction of MH Building Systems: Wind and Seismic Hazards |
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101 | (3) |
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4.4.4 Life-Cycle Cost Analysis: Seismic versus Blast |
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104 | (3) |
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107 | (1) |
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4.5 Exposure: Are Infrastructures Exposed to One Hazard at a Time? |
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107 | (20) |
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107 | (1) |
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4.5.2 Exposure Definitions |
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107 | (2) |
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4.5.3 Physical MH Exposure Interactions |
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109 | (5) |
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4.5.4 Case Study 4.6: MH Exposure Interaction for Mass Transit Stations |
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114 | (1) |
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4.5.5 Decision-Based Exposure Interactions |
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114 | (6) |
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4.5.6 Case Study 4.7: Decision-Based MH Exposure Interaction for Tunnels |
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120 | (2) |
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122 | (1) |
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Appendix 4A Matrices of Case Study 4.3 |
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123 | (2) |
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Appendix 4B Matrices of Case Study 4.5 |
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125 | (1) |
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125 | (2) |
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Chapter 5 Probabilistic Graph Networks |
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127 | (42) |
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127 | (1) |
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127 | (1) |
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127 | (1) |
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5.2 Formal Modeling of Graph Networks |
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128 | (4) |
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128 | (1) |
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5.2.2 Components of Graph Networks |
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129 | (1) |
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129 | (1) |
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130 | (1) |
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130 | (1) |
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5.2.3 Tree versus Network |
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131 | (1) |
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5.2.4 Cyclic versus Acyclic Networks |
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132 | (1) |
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5.2.5 Observations (Evidence) |
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132 | (1) |
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5.2.5.1 Soft Evidence versus Hard Evidence |
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132 | (1) |
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5.3 Bayesian Networks (BN) |
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132 | (9) |
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132 | (1) |
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5.3.2 Definition of Bayesian Networks |
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133 | (1) |
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5.3.3 Templates of Bayesian Networks Examples |
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133 | (1) |
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5.3.4 Case Study 5.1: Absolute Risk versus Relative Risk |
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134 | (1) |
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134 | (1) |
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134 | (1) |
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134 | (1) |
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135 | (2) |
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5.3.4.5 Concluding Remarks |
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137 | (1) |
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5.3.5 Case Study 5.2: Infrastructure Security |
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137 | (1) |
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137 | (1) |
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137 | (1) |
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138 | (1) |
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138 | (3) |
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5.3.6 Bayesian Network: Closing Remarks |
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141 | (1) |
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141 | (6) |
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5.4.1 Case Study 5.3: Traffic and Functional Class |
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142 | (1) |
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142 | (1) |
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142 | (1) |
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143 | (1) |
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5.4.2 Case Study 5.4: Architectural Vulnerability |
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143 | (1) |
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143 | (1) |
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143 | (1) |
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144 | (1) |
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144 | (2) |
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5.4.3 Case Study Revisited: Traffic and Functional Class |
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146 | (1) |
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147 | (1) |
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5.5 Chain Graphs: Combining Bayesian and Markov Networks |
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147 | (4) |
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147 | (1) |
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5.5.2 Case Study 5.5: Risk and Its Components |
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148 | (1) |
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148 | (1) |
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148 | (2) |
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5.5.2.3 CPTs and Potentials |
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150 | (1) |
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150 | (1) |
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5.6 Decision under Uncertainty: Influence Diagrams |
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151 | (8) |
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151 | (1) |
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5.6.2 Decision Trees and Utility |
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152 | (1) |
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152 | (1) |
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5.6.2.2 Utility versus Risk |
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153 | (1) |
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5.6.2.3 Case Study 5.6: Structure Inspection and Monitoring Methods Using Decision Tree |
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153 | (3) |
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156 | (1) |
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156 | (1) |
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5.6.3.2 Case Study 5.7: Structure Inspection and Monitoring Methods Using Influence Diagram |
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157 | (2) |
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5.7 Dynamic Graph Networks |
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159 | (7) |
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159 | (2) |
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5.7.2 Time Marching in Dynamic Graph Network |
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161 | (1) |
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5.7.3 Case Study 5.8: Observed versus Actual Infrastructure Condition Rating |
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162 | (4) |
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166 | (1) |
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167 | (2) |
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167 | (2) |
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Chapter 6 Risk and Resilience Assessment in Multihazard Environment |
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169 | (34) |
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169 | (4) |
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169 | (4) |
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173 | (1) |
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173 | (4) |
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173 | (1) |
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174 | (1) |
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6.2.3 MH Matrices: Difference Concept |
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174 | (2) |
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6.2.4 MH Matrices: Rate of Change Concept |
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176 | (1) |
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6.3 Weighted Averages MH Risk Assessment Methods |
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177 | (13) |
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6.3.1 Physical MH Risk Interactions |
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177 | (2) |
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6.3.2 Case Study 6.1: MH-Design Risk Interaction Matrices, Mass Transit Stations |
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179 | (5) |
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6.3.3 Decision-Based MH Risk Interactions |
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184 | (2) |
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6.3.4 Case Study 6.2: Decision-Based MH-Design Risk Interactions Applied to Tunnels |
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186 | (2) |
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188 | (2) |
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6.4 Case Study 6.3: Modeling MH Conflicting, Consistent, and General Attributes |
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190 | (4) |
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6.5 MH Resilience Assessment |
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194 | (9) |
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194 | (1) |
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6.5.2 Case Study 6.4: MH Resilience Assessment of Single Assets |
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195 | (1) |
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6.5.3 Case Study 6.5: MH Resilience Assessment of Asset Network |
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195 | (3) |
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Appendix 6A Definitions of Network Nodal Variables |
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198 | (2) |
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200 | (3) |
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Chapter 7 Multihazard Acceptance |
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203 | (98) |
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203 | (1) |
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203 | (1) |
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203 | (1) |
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204 | (1) |
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7.2 Methods of Acceptance in an MH Environment |
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204 | (5) |
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7.2.1 Theoretical Background |
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204 | (2) |
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7.2.2 MH Exposure Acceptance |
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206 | (1) |
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206 | (1) |
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206 | (1) |
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7.2.3.2 Component-Based Approach |
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206 | (1) |
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206 | (1) |
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7.2.3.4 MH Total Difference Method |
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206 | (1) |
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207 | (1) |
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207 | (1) |
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7.2.4.2 Acceptance Process at LLS |
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208 | (1) |
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7.2.5 Infrastructure Network |
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209 | (1) |
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7.3 Case Study 7.1: Component-Based MH Risk Acceptance |
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209 | (5) |
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209 | (1) |
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210 | (1) |
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210 | (1) |
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210 | (4) |
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214 | (1) |
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7.4 Case Study 7.2: Subjective MH Multitarget Risk Limit States |
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214 | (3) |
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214 | (1) |
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215 | (1) |
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215 | (1) |
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215 | (2) |
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217 | (1) |
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7.5 Case Study 7.3: Objective MH Risk Targets |
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217 | (4) |
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217 | (1) |
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218 | (1) |
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219 | (1) |
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219 | (2) |
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7.6 Case Study 7.4: MH Risk Target while Prescribing Consequences |
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221 | (2) |
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221 | (1) |
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221 | (1) |
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222 | (1) |
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223 | (1) |
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7.7 Case Study 7.5: MH Risk Acceptance at Lower Limit States (Deterioration of Infrastructures) |
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223 | (10) |
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223 | (2) |
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225 | (3) |
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228 | (1) |
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228 | (2) |
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7.7.5 MH Acceptance at LLS |
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230 | (2) |
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232 | (1) |
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7.8 Case Study 7.6: Revisiting MH LLS Acceptance with Advanced Modeling and Concepts |
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233 | (7) |
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233 | (3) |
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236 | (2) |
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238 | (1) |
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238 | (1) |
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7.8.4.1 MH Acceptance at LLS |
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239 | (1) |
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7.9 Case Study 7.7: Total Difference Method Using MH Risk or Vector Matrices |
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240 | (5) |
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240 | (2) |
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242 | (1) |
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243 | (1) |
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243 | (2) |
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245 | (1) |
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7.10 Case Study 7.8: Network MH Risk Acceptance |
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245 | (56) |
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245 | (1) |
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246 | (1) |
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246 | (1) |
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247 | (7) |
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Appendix 7A Definitions of Network Nodal Variables |
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254 | (2) |
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Appendix 7B CPTs for Case Study 7.1 |
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256 | (6) |
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Appendix 7C CPTs for Case Study 7.2 |
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262 | (4) |
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Appendix 7D CPTs for Case Study 7.3 |
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266 | (5) |
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Appendix 7E CPTs for Case Study 7.4 |
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271 | (2) |
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Appendix 7F CPTs for Case Study 7.5 |
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273 | (6) |
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Appendix 7G CPTs for Case Study 7.6 |
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279 | (9) |
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Appendix 7H CPTs for Case Study 7.7 |
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288 | (7) |
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Appendix 7I CPTs and Potentials for Case Study 7.8 |
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295 | (3) |
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298 | (3) |
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Chapter 8 Multihazard Risk and Resilience Treatment |
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301 | (100) |
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301 | (2) |
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301 | (1) |
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302 | (1) |
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8.2 Risk and Resilience Treatment in an MH Environment |
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303 | (4) |
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8.2.1 MH Risk Treatment versus MH Resilience Treatment |
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303 | (1) |
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303 | (1) |
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303 | (2) |
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8.2.2.2 Theory of Utility |
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305 | (1) |
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306 | (1) |
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8.2.2.4 Use of Utility in Risk Treatment |
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306 | (1) |
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8.3 MH Single-Asset Risk Treatment |
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307 | (20) |
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307 | (1) |
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8.3.2 Case Study 8.1: MH Decision Matrix for Three Hazards |
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307 | (1) |
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307 | (1) |
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307 | (1) |
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307 | (1) |
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308 | (1) |
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8.3.2.5 MH Decision Matrix |
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308 | (2) |
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8.3.3 Case Study 8.2: MH Risk Mitigation for Two Hazards, Interaction through Utilities |
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310 | (1) |
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310 | (1) |
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311 | (4) |
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315 | (1) |
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316 | (1) |
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8.3.3.5 MH Optimal Decisions |
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316 | (1) |
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316 | (4) |
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8.3.4 Case Study 8.3: MH Risk Mitigation for Two Hazards (Blast and Seismic Interaction) through Exposure and Utilities |
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320 | (1) |
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320 | (4) |
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324 | (1) |
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325 | (1) |
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325 | (1) |
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8.3.4.5 MH Optimal Decisions |
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326 | (1) |
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8.3.4.6 MH Using Exposure as a Metric |
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327 | (1) |
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8.4 MH Community (Network) Resilience Treatment |
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327 | (74) |
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327 | (3) |
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8.4.2 Case Study 8.4: MH Resilience Treatment |
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330 | (1) |
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330 | (1) |
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330 | (1) |
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331 | (1) |
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332 | (1) |
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8.4.2.5 MH Optimal Decisions |
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332 | (1) |
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8.4.3 Network MH Effects: Cascading Hazards |
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333 | (1) |
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333 | (2) |
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8.4.3.2 Case Study 8.5: Consequent Hazards, Flood and Fire |
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335 | (7) |
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8.4.3.3 Case Study 8.6: MH Treatment of Cascading Effects |
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342 | (30) |
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Appendix 8A Definitions of Network Nodal Variables |
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372 | (1) |
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Appendix 8B CPTs for Case Study 8.1 |
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373 | (3) |
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Appendix 8C CPTs for Case Study 8.2 |
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376 | (4) |
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Appendix 8D CPTs for Case Study 8.3 |
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380 | (4) |
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Appendix 8E CPTs for Case Study 8.4 |
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384 | (4) |
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Appendix 8F CPTs and Potentials for Case Study 8.5 |
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388 | (5) |
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Appendix 8G CPTs and Potentials for Case Study 8.6 |
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393 | (6) |
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399 | (2) |
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Chapter 9 Multihazard Exposure, Risk, and Resilience Monitoring |
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401 | (50) |
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401 | (2) |
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401 | (1) |
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402 | (1) |
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9.2 Types of MH Monitoring |
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403 | (3) |
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9.2.1 Categorizing MHM according to Their Objectives |
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403 | (1) |
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9.2.2 Categorizing of MHM according to Management Metrics |
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403 | (1) |
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404 | (1) |
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404 | (1) |
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405 | (1) |
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9.2.3 Time Categorizations of MHM |
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405 | (1) |
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9.3 MH Monitoring: Snapshots in Time |
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406 | (7) |
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9.3.1 Case Study 9.1: Visual Inspection of Multihazard |
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406 | (1) |
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406 | (1) |
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406 | (1) |
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407 | (1) |
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407 | (1) |
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9.3.2 Case Study 9.3: MH Monitoring Using Different Monitoring Techniques |
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408 | (1) |
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408 | (1) |
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408 | (1) |
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409 | (1) |
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409 | (2) |
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9.3.3 Case Study 9.4: MH Risk Monitoring |
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411 | (1) |
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411 | (1) |
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411 | (1) |
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412 | (1) |
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412 | (1) |
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9.3.3.5 Observations and Updating |
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413 | (1) |
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9.4 MH Monitoring: Time Marching |
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413 | (38) |
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9.4.1 Case Study 9.2: Time Marching MH Monitoring (Type II MHEM) |
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413 | (1) |
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413 | (2) |
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415 | (3) |
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418 | (1) |
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418 | (1) |
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419 | (1) |
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9.4.2 Case Study 9.5: MH Effects on Life-Cycle Analysis |
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420 | (1) |
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420 | (1) |
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420 | (4) |
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424 | (1) |
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424 | (8) |
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Appendix 9A Definitions of Network Nodal Variables |
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432 | (1) |
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Appendix 9B CPTs for Case Studies 9.1 and 9.2 |
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433 | (2) |
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Appendix 9C CPTs for Case Study 9.3 |
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435 | (3) |
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Appendix 9D CPTs for Case Study 9.4 |
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438 | (6) |
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Appendix 9E CPTs for Case Study 9.5 |
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444 | (6) |
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450 | (1) |
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451 | (44) |
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451 | (1) |
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10.2 MH Case Study 10.1: MH Matrices of Risk, Reliability, and Consequences for Single Asset |
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452 | (5) |
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452 | (1) |
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452 | (1) |
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453 | (1) |
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453 | (1) |
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453 | (1) |
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10.2.5.1 Prior (Historical) Results |
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453 | (1) |
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10.2.5.2 Marginal Probabilities Results with Evidence |
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454 | (1) |
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10.2.5.3 MH Risk and Reliability |
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455 | (2) |
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10.3 MH Considerations for Cable Bridges: A Security Viewpoint |
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457 | (10) |
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457 | (1) |
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10.3.2 Analysis and Design |
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457 | (2) |
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10.3.2.1 Seismic and Security Needs |
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459 | (1) |
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10.3.2.2 Durability and Security |
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459 | (1) |
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10.3.2.3 Climate Change and Security |
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460 | (1) |
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10.3.2.4 Recurring Major Works, Maintenance, Inspection, and Monitoring |
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460 | (1) |
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460 | (2) |
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10.3.4 Case Study 10.2: MH (Climate Change+Security) Risk Considerations of Cable Bridge |
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462 | (1) |
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462 | (1) |
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462 | (1) |
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10.3.4.3 Analytical Model |
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463 | (2) |
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465 | (1) |
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465 | (2) |
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10.4 Case Study 10.3: Long-Term Collapse Risk in an MH Environment |
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467 | (28) |
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467 | (3) |
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470 | (1) |
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471 | (1) |
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471 | (1) |
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472 | (1) |
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10.4.5.1 MH Risk and Objective Mitigation |
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472 | (4) |
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476 | (4) |
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Appendix 10A First-and Second-Order Difference Equations |
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480 | (1) |
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Appendix 10B Definitions of Network Nodal Variables |
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481 | (1) |
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Appendix 10C CPTs for Case Study 10.1 |
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482 | (3) |
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Appendix 10D CPTs for Case Study 10.2 |
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485 | (4) |
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Appendix 10E CPTs for Case Study 10.3 |
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489 | (4) |
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493 | (2) |
Appendix A Unit Conversion |
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495 | (2) |
Appendix B Truncated Normal Distributions |
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497 | (2) |
Appendix C Statistics of Histograms |
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499 | (2) |
Index |
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501 | |