Preface |
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xiii | |
Acknowledgements |
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xv | |
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Part A Property Value And Property Valuation |
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1 | (100) |
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3 | (28) |
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1.1 Supply and demand, markets and equilibrium price determination |
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3 | (3) |
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1.2 The property market and price determination |
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6 | (8) |
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6 | (2) |
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8 | (4) |
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12 | (2) |
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1.3 Location and land use |
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14 | (8) |
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1.4 The economics of property development |
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22 | (9) |
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1.4.1 Type and density of property development |
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22 | (3) |
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1.4.2 The timing of redevelopment |
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25 | (3) |
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28 | (1) |
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29 | (2) |
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2 Macroeconomic Considerations |
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31 | (18) |
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2.1 The commercial property market |
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31 | (2) |
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33 | (1) |
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34 | (9) |
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43 | (1) |
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2.5 Property and the wider economy |
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44 | (5) |
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48 | (1) |
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3 What is Property Valuation |
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49 | (34) |
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49 | (1) |
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3.2 The need for valuations |
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50 | (10) |
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3.2.1 Types of property to be valued |
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52 | (5) |
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57 | (3) |
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3.3 Determinants of value |
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60 | (9) |
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3.3.1 Property-specific factors |
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60 | (6) |
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3.3.2 Market-related factors |
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66 | (3) |
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69 | (4) |
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3.4.1 Terms of engagement |
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71 | (1) |
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3.4.2 Inspections and investigations |
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71 | (2) |
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73 | (1) |
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73 | (10) |
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Appendix - Inspection checklist |
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76 | (5) |
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81 | (1) |
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81 | (2) |
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83 | (18) |
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83 | (1) |
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4.2 The time value of money |
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84 | (10) |
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4.2.1 Single period investments |
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85 | (1) |
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4.2.2 Multi-period investments |
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86 | (7) |
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93 | (1) |
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4.3 Yields and rates of return |
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94 | (7) |
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95 | (1) |
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96 | (2) |
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4.3.3 Yields and rates of return |
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98 | (1) |
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99 | (2) |
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101 | (132) |
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103 | (12) |
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103 | (1) |
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104 | (2) |
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106 | (4) |
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5.3.1 Relative value of retail ground floor `zones' |
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107 | (3) |
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5.4 Comparison adjustment |
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110 | (5) |
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114 | (1) |
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115 | (46) |
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115 | (2) |
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6.2 All-risks yield (ARY) methods |
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117 | (18) |
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6.2.1 Valuation of rack-rented freehold property investments |
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117 | (2) |
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6.2.2 Valuation of reversionary freehold property investments |
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119 | (8) |
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6.2.3 Valuation of leasehold property investments |
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127 | (7) |
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6.2.4 Example: ARY Investment method |
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134 | (1) |
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6.3 Discounted cash-flow (DCF) methods |
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135 | (26) |
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6.3.1 A discounted cash-flow valuation model |
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136 | (6) |
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6.3.2 Applying the DCF valuation model |
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142 | (15) |
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157 | (1) |
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157 | (1) |
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158 | (3) |
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161 | (10) |
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161 | (1) |
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162 | (4) |
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7.3 Example of a profits method valuation |
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166 | (3) |
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169 | (2) |
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170 | (1) |
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170 | (1) |
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8 Replacement Cost Method |
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171 | (16) |
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171 | (1) |
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172 | (6) |
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178 | (1) |
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8.3.1 Valuation of an owner-occupied property for accounts purposes |
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178 | (1) |
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8.3.2 Valuation for insurance purposes |
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178 | (1) |
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178 | (6) |
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8.4.1 Definitional problems |
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179 | (2) |
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8.4.2 Methodological problems |
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181 | (3) |
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184 | (3) |
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185 | (1) |
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186 | (1) |
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187 | (20) |
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187 | (1) |
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9.2 Conventional residual land valuation |
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188 | (11) |
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9.3 Problems with the residual method |
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199 | (3) |
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9.4 Cash-flow residual model |
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202 | (5) |
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206 | (1) |
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10 Automated Valuation Models and Computer-Assisted Mass Appraisal |
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207 | (26) |
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207 | (1) |
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207 | (8) |
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10.2.1 Simple linear regression (dependence of one metric variable on another) |
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208 | (3) |
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10.2.2 Multiple linear regression (dependence of one variable on two or more variables) |
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211 | (4) |
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215 | (11) |
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215 | (1) |
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10.3.2 Descriptive statistics |
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216 | (1) |
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10.3.3 Simple linear regression |
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216 | (4) |
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10.3.4 Multiple linear regression |
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220 | (6) |
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10.4 Multiple regression analysis: Research and applications |
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226 | (4) |
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10.4.1 Computer-assisted mass appraisal |
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228 | (1) |
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10.4.2 Automated valuation models |
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229 | (1) |
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10.5 Advantages and disadvantages of regression-based valuation |
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230 | (3) |
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231 | (1) |
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231 | (2) |
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Part C Valuation Applications |
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233 | (138) |
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235 | (29) |
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235 | (1) |
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236 | (10) |
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237 | (4) |
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11.2.2 Capital contributions |
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241 | (1) |
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11.2.3 Premiums and reverse premiums |
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242 | (4) |
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11.3 Alternative lease arrangements |
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246 | (6) |
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246 | (1) |
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247 | (2) |
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11.3.3 Short leases and leases with break options |
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249 | (3) |
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11.4 Valuations at rent review, lease renewal and lease end |
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252 | (12) |
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252 | (1) |
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11.4.2 Surrender and renewal of leases |
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253 | (2) |
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11.4.3 Compensation for disturbance and improvements |
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255 | (1) |
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256 | (3) |
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259 | (3) |
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262 | (1) |
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263 | (1) |
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12 Valuations for Financial Statements and for Secured Lending Purposes |
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264 | (23) |
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12.1 Valuing property for financial statements |
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264 | (8) |
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12.1.1 Financial reporting standards and valuation bases |
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265 | (7) |
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12.2 Methods of valuing property assets for financial reporting purposes |
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272 | (7) |
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12.2.1 Example valuations |
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274 | (5) |
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12.3 Valuations for lending purposes where the loan is secured against commercial property |
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279 | (8) |
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281 | (4) |
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285 | (1) |
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286 | (1) |
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13 Valuations for Taxation Purposes |
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287 | (20) |
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13.1 Capital gains tax and corporation tax |
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287 | (10) |
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13.1.1 Grant of a long lease out of a freehold or long leasehold interest |
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294 | (1) |
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13.1.2 Grant of a short lease out of a freehold or long leasehold interest |
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295 | (1) |
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13.1.3 Grant of a short lease out of a short leasehold interest |
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296 | (1) |
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297 | (2) |
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299 | (8) |
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302 | (1) |
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303 | (1) |
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13.3.3 Contractor's method |
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304 | (2) |
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306 | (1) |
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306 | (1) |
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14 Valuations for Compulsory Purchase and Compensation |
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307 | (15) |
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14.1 Compensation for land taken (compulsorily acquired) |
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308 | (3) |
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14.2 Compensation for severance and injurious affection |
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311 | (4) |
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14.2.1 Compensation where part of an owner's land is acquired |
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311 | (3) |
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14.2.2 Compensation where no land is taken |
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314 | (1) |
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14.3 Disturbance compensation |
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315 | (2) |
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316 | (1) |
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14.4 Planning compensation |
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317 | (2) |
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14.4.1 Revocation, modification and discontinuance orders |
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318 | (1) |
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14.4.2 Purchase notices and blight notices |
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318 | (1) |
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14.5 A note on CGT and compensation for compulsory acquisition |
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319 | (3) |
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320 | (1) |
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321 | (1) |
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322 | (21) |
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15.1 Operational entities or `trade-related' properties |
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322 | (13) |
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15.1.1 Hotels, guest houses, bed & breakfast and self-catering accommodation |
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322 | (2) |
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15.1.2 Restaurants, public houses and nightclubs |
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324 | (4) |
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328 | (2) |
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15.1.4 Petrol filling stations |
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330 | (1) |
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15.1.5 Student accommodation |
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331 | (1) |
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332 | (3) |
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335 | (1) |
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15.2 Valuation of contaminated land |
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335 | (4) |
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339 | (1) |
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339 | (1) |
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339 | (1) |
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15.4 Special Purpose Valuations |
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340 | (3) |
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15.4.1 Charitable Valuations |
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340 | (1) |
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15.4.2 Local authority disposals of land for less than best consideration |
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341 | (1) |
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341 | (1) |
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342 | (1) |
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16 Investment Valuations - Further Considerations |
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343 | (28) |
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16.1 Short leases and leases with break clauses |
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343 | (3) |
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16.2 Over-rented property investments |
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346 | (3) |
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16.3 Valuation accuracy, variance and uncertainty |
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349 | (22) |
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16.3.1 Valuation accuracy |
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349 | (1) |
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16.3.2 Valuation variance |
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350 | (2) |
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16.3.3 Valuation uncertainty |
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352 | (1) |
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16.3.4 Sensitivity analysis |
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353 | (3) |
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16.3.5 Scenario testing and discrete probability modelling |
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356 | (3) |
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16.3.6 Continuous probability modelling and simulation |
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359 | (4) |
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16.3.7 Arbitrage (tenant yield approach) |
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363 | (5) |
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368 | (1) |
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369 | (2) |
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371 | (81) |
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373 | (30) |
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373 | (2) |
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17.2 Appraisal information and assumptions |
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375 | (6) |
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17.2.1 Rent and rental growth |
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375 | (2) |
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17.2.2 Target rate of return |
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377 | (3) |
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380 | (1) |
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381 | (1) |
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17.3 Appraisal methodology |
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381 | (14) |
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381 | (1) |
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382 | (1) |
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17.3.3 DCF methods of investment appraisal |
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383 | (10) |
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393 | (2) |
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17.4 Risk analysis in property investment appraisal |
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395 | (3) |
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17.5 Financing property investment |
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398 | (5) |
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401 | (1) |
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401 | (2) |
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403 | (49) |
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403 | (1) |
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18.2 Conventional residual profit appraisal |
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403 | (5) |
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18.2.1 Profit as a percentage of cost |
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405 | (1) |
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406 | (1) |
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406 | (2) |
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18.3 Cash-flow profit appraisal |
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408 | (5) |
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412 | (1) |
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413 | (16) |
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414 | (13) |
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427 | (2) |
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429 | (23) |
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18.5.1 Borrowers of development finance |
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429 | (1) |
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430 | (1) |
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18.5.3 Sources of development finance |
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431 | (1) |
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18.5.4 Duration of funding |
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432 | (1) |
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18.5.5 Typical development finance structures |
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433 | (6) |
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439 | (1) |
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18.5.7 Risk management in property financing |
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439 | (2) |
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18.5.8 Finance accounting |
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441 | (3) |
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444 | (8) |
Notes |
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452 | (1) |
References |
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453 | (1) |
Glossary |
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454 | (6) |
Index |
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460 | |