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E-grāmata: Reducing Fuel Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles, Phase Two: Final Report

  • Formāts: 398 pages
  • Izdošanas datums: 15-May-2020
  • Izdevniecība: National Academies Press
  • Valoda: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309496384
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  • Formāts: 398 pages
  • Izdošanas datums: 15-May-2020
  • Izdevniecība: National Academies Press
  • Valoda: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9780309496384

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Medium- and heavy-duty trucks, motor coaches, and transit buses - collectively, "medium- and heavy-duty vehicles", or MHDVs - are used in every sector of the economy. The fuel consumption and greenhouse gas emissions of MHDVs have become a focus of legislative and regulatory action in the past few years. This study is a follow-on to the National Research Council's 2010 report, Technologies and Approaches to Reducing the Fuel Consumption of Medium-and Heavy-Duty Vehicles. That report provided a series of findings and recommendations on the development of regulations for reducing fuel consumption of MHDVs.



On September 15, 2011, NHTSA and EPA finalized joint Phase I rules to establish a comprehensive Heavy-Duty National Program to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and fuel consumption for on-road medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. As NHTSA and EPA began working on a second round of standards, the National Academies issued another report, Reducing the Fuel Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles, Phase Two: First Report, providing recommendations for the Phase II standards. This third and final report focuses on a possible third phase of regulations to be promulgated by these agencies in the next decade.

Table of Contents



Front Matter Summary 1 Introduction 2 Setting the Stage: Regulatory Horizons, Challenges, and Influences 3 Certification, Compliance, and Enforcement 4 Powertrain Technologies 5 Technologies for Reducing the Power Demand of MHDVs 6 Projected Benefits of Technologies on Fuel Consumption 7 Hybrid and Electric Powertrain Technologies 8 Battery Technology for Medium- and Heavy-Duty Hybrid and Electric Vehicles 9 Freight Operational Efficiency 10 Intelligent Transportation Systems and Automation 11 Manufacturing Considerations 12 Costs and Benefits 13 Alternative and Complementary Regulatory Approaches Appendix A: Committee Biographies Appendix B: Disclosure of Conflicts of Interest Appendix C: Committee Activities Appendix D: Summary of Analysis of Engine and Vehicle Combinations Appendix E: Description of Drive Cycles Used for Compliance Appendix F: Summary of Committee's First Report: Reducing the Fuel Consumption and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles, Phase Two: First Report Appendix G: Acronyms and Abbreviations
Summary 1(9)
1 Introduction
10(7)
2 Setting the Stage: Regulatory Horizons, Challenges, and Influences
17(29)
2.1 Future Regulatory Pathways
17(10)
2.1.1 Fleet Characteristics During the Phase III Standards Time Horizon
18(1)
2.1.2 Assessing the GHG Reductions and Fuel Savings Potential
19(7)
2.1.3 Timing: An Opportunity and a Challenge for the Phase III Rulemaking
26(1)
2.2 Key Regulatory Gaps and Challenges
27(10)
2.2.1 Defining Fuel Economy
27(1)
2.2.2 Volatile Fuel Prices
28(1)
2.2.3 Factors Other than Engine/Powertrain Affecting Fuel Consumption/GHG Emissions
29(3)
2.2.4 Complexity and Variety of Vehicle Types
32(1)
2.2.5 Large Versus Small Companies
33(1)
2.2.6 Life-Cycle Analysis of Vehicle/Fuel Systems
33(2)
2.2.7 Certification and Real-World Compliance
35(1)
2.2.8 Regulatory Baselines and Metrics
36(1)
2.2.9 Other Factors Affecting Fuel Efficiency
36(1)
2.3 Other Regulatory Programs
37(6)
2.3.1 Other Programs Directly Regulating MHDV Fuel Efficiency and GHG Emissions
37(1)
2.3.2 Other Regulatory Programs That Indirectly Affect Fuel Consumption and GHG Emissions
38(5)
2.4 References
43(3)
3 Certification, Compliance, and Enforcement
46(18)
3.1 Introduction
46(1)
3.2 Summary of Certification Approaches in Phase I And Phase II Rules
46(3)
3.2.1 Heavy-Duty Combination Tractors
47(1)
3.2.2 Vocational Vehicles
48(1)
3.2.3 Trailers
49(1)
3.3 Pre-market Certification
49(8)
3.3.1 Introduction
49(2)
3.3.2 Engines
51(3)
3.3.3 Whole Vehicle Modeling
54(2)
3.3.4 Components
56(1)
3.4 In-Use Compliance and Enforcement
57(6)
3.4.1 Need for In-Use Compliance and Enforcement
57(2)
3.4.2 Approaches to Determine In-Use Compliance for MHDVs
59(3)
3.4.3 Program Effectiveness
62(1)
3.4.4 Individual Vehicle Compliance
62(1)
3.5 References
63(1)
4 Powertrain Technologies
64(61)
4.1 Introduction
64(1)
4.2 Market Trends in Engine Use
65(1)
4.3 Spark-Ignition Engines
65(6)
4.4 Compression-Ignition-Dominated Engines
71(6)
4.5 Kinetics-Dominated Combustion Engines
77(5)
4.6 Natural Gas Engine Update
82(2)
4.6.1 Comparing Diesel and Natural Gas Engines for Reduced NOx and GHG
83(1)
4.6.2 High-Pressure Direct-Injection Natural Gas Engines
84(1)
4.7 Alternative-Configuration Engines
84(4)
4.8 Waste Heat Recovery
88(4)
4.8.1 Introduction
88(1)
4.8.2 Application of Waste Heat Recovery in SuperTruck and 21st Century Truck Partnership
88(1)
4.8.3 Continued Development of Organic Rankine Cycle
89(1)
4.8.4 Summary
90(2)
4.9 Fuel Trends, GHG Impacts, and Infrastructure
92(17)
4.9.1 Introductory Comments
92(1)
4.9.2 Trends and Impacts from Petroleum Diesel Fuel Properties
92(1)
4.9.3 Biomass-Derived Diesel Fuels
92(2)
4.9.4 Trends and Impacts from Gasoline Fuel Properties
94(2)
4.9.5 Natural Gas
96(13)
4.10 Transmission and Drivelines
109(8)
4.10.1 Introduction
109(1)
4.10.2 New Product Developments
110(7)
4.11 Axles and Drivelines
117(1)
4.12 Clutches
118(1)
4.13 References
119(6)
5 Technologies for Reducing the Power Demand of MHDVs
125(48)
5.1 Introduction
125(3)
5.1.1 Base Case for Over-the-Road Tractor-Trailer, Circa 2013 Specifications
125(1)
5.1.2 Multiplicative Effect of Vehicle Power Demand Reduction on Engine Fuel Consumption
126(1)
5.1.3 Vehicle Power Demand Reduction Goals Established by 21CTP
126(1)
5.1.4 Technology Goal for Operational Efficiency and Intelligent Transportation Technologies Development and Deployment
127(1)
5.1.5 21 CTP Goal's Relation to U.S. Phase II Rule on GHGs and Fuel Consumption
127(1)
5.2 Aerodynamic Drag Reduction
128(10)
5.2.1 Baseline Aerodynamic Drag (CdA)
129(3)
5.2.2 SmartWay
132(1)
5.2.3 Aerodynamics Information from SuperTruck -
133(2)
5.2.4 Expect Continuing Advancements in Aerodynamics and Computational Fluid Dynamics Methods
135(3)
5.3 Tires and Rolling Resistance
138(14)
5.3.1 Introduction and Overview
138(6)
5.3.2 Labeling
144(2)
5.3.3 Tire Pressure
146(2)
5.3.4 Next-Generation Wide-Based Single Tires
148(1)
5.3.5 Alternative Methods to Reduce Rolling Resistance
148(2)
5.3.6 Other Tire Issues
150(1)
5.3.7 Future Developments
150(2)
5.4 Mass Reduction
152(7)
5.4.1 General Weight Characteristics of Medium and Heavy Vehicles
152(1)
5.4.2 Impacts of Vehicle Mass on Freight Efficiency
152(2)
5.4.3 Weight Impact in Hybrid Powertrain Vehicles
154(4)
5.4.4 Cost Effectiveness of Weight Reduction
158(1)
5.5 Axle and Drivetrain Losses
159(1)
5.6 Auxiliary Loads -
160(3)
5.6.1 More Electric Truck
162(1)
5.6.2 Cummins Medium- and Heavy-Duty Accessory Hybridization Cooperative Research and Development Agreement
162(1)
5.6.3 SuperTruck Projects' Development Work on Auxiliaries and Accessories
163(1)
5.7 Annex: Description of Available SmartWay-Certified Trailer Packages
163(1)
5.8 Annex: Summary of SuperTruck Projects
164(5)
5.8.1 Cummins-Peterbilt Project
164(2)
5.8.2 Daimler Project
166(1)
5.8.3 Volvo Group Project
167(1)
5.8.4 Navistar Inc. Project
168(1)
5.9 References
169(4)
6 Projected Benefits of Technologies on Fuel Consumption
173(28)
6.1 Impact of Engine Technologies on Vehicle Fuel Consumption
173(20)
6.1.1 References to Vehicle and Engine Fuel Consumption and C02 Targets from the EPA-NHTSA Phase I Rules and Phase II Rules for 2027
174(4)
6.1.2 Description of Vehicles Simulated and Results
178(15)
6.2 Impact of Mass or Payload on Fuel Consumption Benefits of Different Engines
193(2)
6.3 Discussion of Engine Efficiencies over Drive Cycles
195(3)
6.4 Outlook for Combinations of Engine and Vehicle Improvements
198(2)
6.5 References
200(1)
7 Hybrid and Electric Powertrain Technologies
201(32)
7.1 Introduction
201(19)
7.1.1 Hybrid Powertrains and Uses
201(1)
7.1.2 Hybrid Vehicle Architectures
202(18)
7.2 Differences Between Light-Duty and Heavy-Duty Hybrids
220(1)
7.3 Mapping Technologies to Duty Cycles
220(1)
7.4 Current Manufacturers and Product Ranges
221(1)
7.5 Advancements in Technology and Cost Reduction of Electric Motors and Power Electronics for Hybrid- and Battery Electric Vehicles
222(4)
7.6 Cost and Effectiveness of Hybrid and Electric Medium- and Heavy-Duty Vehicles
226(4)
7.7 Findings
230(1)
7.8 References
231(2)
8 Battery Technology for Medium- and Heavy-Duty Hybrid and Electric Vehicles
233(26)
8.1 Introduction
233(6)
8.1.1 Evolution of Automotive Battery Chemistries
233(1)
8.1.2 Breadth of Battery Systems Offered in Light-Duty Hybrid Vehicles
234(1)
8.1.3 Basic Working Principles of Li-Ion and Other Battery Chemistries
235(4)
8.2 Comparison of Different Lithium Battery Chemistries, Performance, and Applications
239(8)
8.2.1 Li-Ion Battery Physical Characteristics
243(2)
8.2.2 Commonly Used Terms Important in Battery Assessment
245(1)
8.2.3 Battery Pack Design Considerations
246(1)
8.3 Influence of Medium- and Heavy-Duty Usage on Battery Performance
247(6)
8.4 Findings
253(1)
8.5 Recommendations
253(5)
8.6 References
258(1)
9 Freight Operational Efficiency
259(11)
9.1 Methods to Improve Movement of Freight
259(1)
9.2 Methods to Reduce Deadheading
260(1)
9.3 Methods to Improve Driver-Vehicle Interaction
260(1)
9.4 Countervailing Forces to Fuel Consumption Reduction
261(1)
9.5 Intermodal Systems
262(2)
9.5.1 Truck-Rail Intermodal Transport
262(1)
9.5.2 Truck-Truck Intermodal Transport
263(1)
9.5.3 Inland Waterway Transport
264(1)
9.5.4 Drayage
264(1)
9.6 Size and Weight Changes (Vehicle-Miles-Traveled Reduction)
264(3)
9.6.1 International Comparison
265(1)
9.6.2 Longer Combination Vehicles
266(1)
9.7 Societal Value of Freight Efficiency Improvement
267(1)
9.8 References
268(2)
10 Intelligent Transportation Systems and Automation
270(7)
10.1 Introduction
270(1)
10.2 Truck Parking Technology
270(1)
10.3 Truck Platooning
271(1)
10.4 Connected Vehicles/Cooperative-Intelligent Transportation Systems
272(3)
10.4.1 Vehicular Ad Hoc Networks
273(1)
10.4.2 Automated Vehicles
274(1)
10.5 Safety-Improving Technologies
275(1)
10.6 References
275(2)
11 Manufacturing Considerations
277(13)
11.1 Introduction
277(1)
11.2 Advanced Manufacturing Technologies Considered
278(9)
11.2.1 Additive Manufacturing
278(5)
11.2.2 Joining Technologies
283(1)
11.2.3 Materials Technologies
284(2)
11.2.4 Conclusion
286(1)
11.3 Annex
287(1)
11.4 References
288(2)
12 Costs and Benefits
290(33)
12.1 Estimates of Costs and Benefits
290(10)
12.1.1 Introduction
290(1)
12.1.2 Agency Estimates of Costs and Benefits
290(2)
12.1.3 Identifying the Marginal Cost of Fuel Efficiency in 2027: Heavy-Duty Pickups and Vans (Classes 2b and 3)
292(1)
12.1.4 Identifying the Marginal Cost of Fuel Efficiency in 2027: Vocational Segments
292(2)
12.1.5 Estimating the Marginal Cost of Fuel Efficiency Improvements
294(6)
12.1.6 Findings
300(1)
12.2 The Benefits of Reduced Co2 Emissions
300(8)
12.2.1 Additional Environmental and Health Costs and Benefits from Different Fuel and Technology Strategies
304(1)
12.2.2 Costs and Benefits from Changes in Health and Environmental Impacts from Criteria Air Pollutants
304(4)
12.2.3 Finding
308(1)
12.2.4 Recommendation
308(1)
12.3 National Security Externalities
308(3)
12.3.1 Introduction
308(1)
12.3.2 The Oil Security Premium
308(2)
12.3.3 Estimates of the Security Premium
310(1)
12.3.4 Findings
311(1)
12.3.5 Recommendation
311(1)
12.4 Projecting Total Capital Costs
311(8)
12.4.1 Indirect Cost Estimation
311(3)
12.4.2 Findings
314(1)
12.4.3 Recommendations
314(1)
12.4.4 Learning Effects on Capital Costs
315(4)
12.5 References
319(4)
13 Alternative and Complementary Regulatory Approaches
323(20)
13.1 Introduction: Why Consider Alternative Approaches
323(1)
13.2 Some General Principles for Regulation
324(3)
13.2.1 The Desirability of a Performance Standard
324(1)
13.2.2 The Clean Water Act: A Case Study of Diminishing Returns When Continuing to Adopt a Narrow Approach
325(2)
13.3 Unintended Consequences
327(3)
13.3.1 Narrow (Selective) Regulation
327(1)
13.3.2 Regulatory Transitions
328(1)
13.3.3 The Rebound Effect
329(1)
13.3.4 Other Unintended Consequences
330(1)
13.4 Using a Price Signal
330(5)
13.4.1 Raising the Fuel Price
331(4)
13.5 Cap and Trade
335(2)
13.6 Complementary Regulations
337(2)
13.6.1 Renewable Fuel Standard/Low Carbon Fuel Standard
337(1)
13.6.2 Other Complementary Regulations
338(1)
13.7 Costs of Delay
339(1)
13.8 References
339(4)
APPENDIXES
A Committee Biographies
343(6)
B Disclosure of Conflicts of Interest
349(1)
C Committee Activities
350(6)
D Summary of Analysis of Engine and Vehicle Combinations
356(4)
E Description of Drive Cycles Used for Compliance
360(7)
F Summary of Committee's First Report
367(7)
G Acronyms and Abbreviations
374