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Risk Management: With Applications from the Offshore Petroleum Industry 2007 ed. [Hardback]

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  • Formāts: Hardback, 200 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, weight: 1070 g, XII, 200 p., 1 Hardback
  • Sērija : Springer Series in Reliability Engineering
  • Izdošanas datums: 15-Feb-2007
  • Izdevniecība: Springer London Ltd
  • ISBN-10: 1846286522
  • ISBN-13: 9781846286520
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Risk Management: With Applications from the Offshore Petroleum Industry 2007 ed.Palielināt
  • Formāts: Hardback, 200 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, weight: 1070 g, XII, 200 p., 1 Hardback
  • Sērija : Springer Series in Reliability Engineering
  • Izdošanas datums: 15-Feb-2007
  • Izdevniecība: Springer London Ltd
  • ISBN-10: 1846286522
  • ISBN-13: 9781846286520
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
Permanent link: https://www.kriso.lv/db/9781846286520.html
Keywords:
Risk management is a decision-making process which considers political, social, economic and engineering factors with relevant risk assessments relating to a potential hazard in order to develop, analyse and compare options to facilitate the selection of the optimal regulatory response for safety from that hazard. Rapid technological developments, organisational changes and increased demand for efficiency have all influenced the vulnerability of our society. As a result, safety and risk management is becoming an increasingly important field. Risk Management with Applications from the Offshore Petroleum Industry presents an in-depth discussion of some fundamental principles of risk management, related to the use of expected values, uncertainty handling and risk acceptance criteria. A decision framework for risk management is developed that provides a structure for the classification of risk decision problems and a procedure for the execution of the related decision-making processes. Several examples from the offshore petroleum industry are included to illustrate the use of the framework, but it can also be applied in other areas.With the inclusion of a risk management framework designed to achieve better decisions and therefore more desirable outcomes, Risk Management with Applications from the Offshore Petroleum Industry is a valuable resource for practitioners in the industry, engineering managers and regulatory authorities. Graduate students and researchers in risk management will find this book a comprehensive reference.

This book presents a risk management framework designed to achieve better decisions and more desirable outcomes. It presents an in-depth discussion of some fundamental principles of risk management related to the use of expected values, uncertainty handling, and risk acceptance criteria. Several examples from the offshore petroleum industry are included to illustrate the use of the framework, but it can also be applied in other areas.

Recenzijas

From the reviews:





"This book is about making decisions in the face of risks and uncertainties and they outline the challenges that go with this process of decision making. has come around successfully in presenting its theme, theories and applications of risk management, more so to an off-shore gas and oil industry and would like to recommend to all risk analysts and managers. would also be found useful by the students and teachers at universities in pursuing or teaching a risk management course." (Krishna B. Misra, International Journal of Performability Engineering, Vol. 4 (3), 2008)

Risk Management: with Applications from the offshore Petroleum Industry is about how the offshore oil and gas sector should assess, manage and tackle risk of an offshore installations complete life cycle from predesign to final decommissioning and disposal in the worlds tempestuous seas. For the industrys practitioners, it provides a ready-made decision making framework in which to tackle decision making in high risk environments . This book should prove essential reading for the industrys decision makers . (Nicholas Newman, Oxford Prospect, September, 2010)

1 Introduction 1
1.1 Fundamentals of Risk Management
1
1.2 Challenges
3
1.2.1 Overview of Cases
6
1.3 Summary and Conclusions
17
2 Risk Management Principles and Methods — Review and Discussion 19
2.1 Perspectives on Risk
20
2.2 Economic Principles, Theories and Methods
23
2.2.1 Expected Utility Theory
23
2.2.2 Cost-benefit Analysis and Cost-effectiveness Analysis
26
2.2.3 Portfolio Theory
29
2.2.4 Risk Aversion and Safety Management
30
2.3 The Cautionary and Precautionary Principles
34
2.3.1 Discussion of the Meaning and Use of the Precautionary Principle
37
2.3.2 Conclusions
40
2.4 The Meaning and Use of Expected Values in Risk Management
42
2.5 Uncertainty Handling (in Different Project Phases)
45
2.6 Risk Acceptance and Decision-making
49
2.6.1 The Present Risk Analysis Regime for the Activities on the Norwegian Continental Shelf
51
2.6.2 A Review of the Common Practice of the ALARP Principle
53
2.6.3 A Structure for a Risk Analysis Regime Without the use of Risk Acceptance Criteria
56
2.6.4 Cases
60
2.6.5 Common Objections to our Approach
64
2.6.6 Conclusions
66
2.7 On the Ethical Justification for the Use of Risk Acceptance Criteria
68
2.7.1 The Influence of the Risk Perspectives Adopted
69
2.7.2 Discussion
72
2.7.3 Conclusions
74
3 A Risk Management Framework for Decision Support under Uncertainty 77
3.1 Introduction
77
3.2 Basic Building Blocks of the Framework
78
3.3 The Framework
81
3.3.1 Decision-maker and Stakeholders
83
3.3.2 Decision Principles and Strategies
83
3.3.3 Decision-making Process
83
3.4 Discussion and Conclusions
90
4 Applications – Concept Optimisation 93
4.1 Historical Background
93
4.1.1 Ocean Ranger
93
4.1.2 Legislative Situation
94
4.2 Typical Current Decision-making
95
4.3 Application of the Decision-making Framework
96
4.3.1 Framing of the Problem and Alternatives
96
4.3.2 Quantitative Results
97
4.3.3 Qualitative Evaluations
97
4.3.4 Managerial Review and Decision
98
4.4 Observations
99
5 Applications – Operations Phase 101
5.1 Decision-making Context
101
5.2 Deficiencies and the Need for an Alternative Process
103
5.3 Framing of Decision Problem and Decision Process
103
5.3.1 Goals and Criteria
103
5.3.2 Problem Definition
104
5.4 Generation and Assessment of Alternatives
105
5.4.1 Generation of Alternatives
105
5.4.2 Assessment of Alternatives
105
5.5 Managerial Review and Decision
109
5.6 Discussion
109
5.7 Observations
111
6 Applications – Choice of Disposal Alternative 113
6.1 Case Overview
113
6.2 Decision-makers and Other Stakeholders
114
6.3 Decision Principles and Strategies
115
6.4 Framing
116
6.4.1 Describe Goals and Objectives
116
6.4.2 Problem Definition
116
6.5 Generate and Assess Alternatives
117
6.5.1 Generate Alternatives
117
6.5.2 Selection of Method
118
6.5.3 Assess Alternatives
118
6.6 Managerial Review and Decision
122
6.7 Observations – Decommissioning Phase
123
7 Applications – Risk Indicators, National Level 125
7.1 Background and Introduction
125
7.2 Objectives of the Risk Level Project
126
7.3 Overall Approach
127
7.3.1 Major Hazard Risk
127
7.3.2 Other Indicators
128
7.3.3 Leading vs. Lagging Indicators
129
7.4 Event-based Indicators for Major Hazard Risk
129
7.4.1 Indicators for Individual Hazard Categories
129
7.4.2 Basic Risk Analysis Model
130
7.4.3 Challenges in the Trend Analysis
137
7.5 Barrier Indicators for Major Hazard Risk
139
7.5.1 Barrier Elements and Performance Requirements
140
7.5.2 Follow-up of Performance by the Industry
141
7.5.3 Availability Data for Individual Barrier Elements
143
7.5.4 Overall Assessment of Barrier Performance
145
7.6 Observations – Indicators used on National Level
146
8 The Success Factors – Discussion 149
8.1 Understanding the Basic Building Blocks of Risk Analysis and Risk Management
149
8.1.1 Basic Concepts and Theories – Uncertainty
149
8.1.2 Assessments of Alternatives
150
8.1.3 Cost-benefit Analyses and HES
152
8.1.4 Decision Principles and Strategies
153
8.1.5 Research Challenges
155
8.2 Implementation of the Framework
156
8.2.1 Experience with ALARP Demonstration
158
8.2.2 What are the Characteristics of a Good ALARP Demonstration?
158
8.2.3 Needs in order to Improve Applications
159
Appendices
A Foundational Issues of Risk and Risk Analysis
161
A.1 A Wide Spectrum of Risk Indices
161
A.2 Classical, Relative Frequency Perspective
163
A.3 Alternative Bayesian Perspective
164
B Example, ALARP Demonstration
169
B.1 Introduction
169
B.1.1 Purpose...
169
B.1.2 Structure of Presentation
170
B.1.3 Basic Assumptions and Limitations
170
B.2 Approach Adopted in ALARP Process
170
B.2.1 Risk Acceptance Principles
170
B.2.2 Illustration of ALARP Process
171
B.2.3 Cost-Benefit Analysis
173
B.3 Risk Results
173
B.3.1 Risk to Personnel
173
B.3.2 Risk to Assets
175
B.4 Identification of Possible Risk Reducing Measures
175
B.4.1 Good Practice
175
B.4.2 Codes and Standards
175
B.4.3 Engineering Judgement
176
B.4.4 Stakeholder Consultation
176
B.4.5 Tiered Challenge
176
B.5 Evaluation of Individual Risk Reducing Measures
176
B.5.1 List of RRMs
176
B.5.2 Evaluation of RRMs
177
B.6 Overall Evaluation of Risk Reduction Measures
180
B.7 Final Selection of Risk Reduction Measures
183
B.8 Risk Levels after Implementation of Measures
184
B.8.1 Measures Accepted for Implementation
184
B.8.2 Measures Not Accepted for Implementation
185
B.8.3 Residual Risk for Personnel
185
B.8.4 Overall Evaluation of Risk
186
B.9 Implementation Plan for Measures
187
References 189
Index 197


Terje Aven is Professor of Risk Analysis and Management at University of Stavanger, Norway. He is also a Principal Researcher at Rogaland Research, Norway. His professional career includes experience in the petroleum industry (Statoil) in addition to his time in research and education. His research interests include decision support tools, risk management, risk acceptance, reliability and risk analysis methods, and risk assessments reflecting human and organizational factors. He is a member of the Norwegian Academy of Technological Sciences. He has been awarded several prizes for his research and teaching activities.

Jan Erik Vinnem is Professor II of Risk Analysis at University of Stavanger, Norway. He is also a specialist advisor and CEO of Preventor AS, a consultancy to the Norwegian offshore industry. His professional career includes experience in the petroleum industry (Statoil and Total), and work as a private consultant (as the founder of Safetec Nordic AS and Preventor AS), in addition to his time in research and education. His research interests include decision support tools, risk management, risk acceptance, risk analysis methods, and risk assessments reflecting human and organizational factors.