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E-grāmata: Rock, Bone, and Ruin: An Optimist's Guide to the Historical Sciences

4.13/5 (30 ratings by Goodreads)
(University of Cambridge)
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An argument that we should be optimistic about the capacity of "methodologically omnivorous" geologists, paleontologists, and archaeologists to uncover truths about the deep past.

The "historical sciences" -- geology, paleontology, and archaeology -- have made extraordinary progress in advancing our understanding of the deep past. How has this been possible, given that the evidence they have to work with offers mere traces of the past? In Rock, Bone, and Ruin, Adrian Currie explains that these scientists are "methodological omnivores," with a variety of strategies and techniques at their disposal, and that this gives us every reason to be optimistic about their capacity to uncover truths about prehistory. Creative and opportunistic paleontologists, for example, discovered and described a new species of prehistoric duck-billed platypus from a single fossilized tooth. Examining the complex reasoning processes of historical science, Currie also considers philosophical and scientific reflection on the relationship between past and present, the nature of evidence, contingency, and scientific progress.

Currie draws on varied examples from across the historical sciences, from Mayan ritual sacrifice to giant Mesozoic fleas to Mars's mysterious watery past, to develop an account of the nature of, and resources available to, historical science. He presents two major case studies: the emerging explanation of sauropod size, and the "snowball earth" hypothesis that accounts for signs of glaciation in Neoproterozoic tropics. He develops the Ripple Model of Evidence to analyze "unlucky circumstances" in scientific investigation; examines and refutes arguments for pessimism about the capacity of the historical sciences, defending the role of analogy and arguing that simulations have an experiment-like function. Currie argues for a creative, open-ended approach, "empirically grounded" speculation.

Acknowledgments vii
1 The Tooth of the Platypus
1(30)
2 Snowballs and Sauropods
31(32)
3 Traces
63(22)
4 Over and Under
85(26)
5 Ripples
111(26)
6 The Main Business of Historical Science
137(30)
7 Parochialism and Analogy
167(36)
8 Exquisite Corpse: Historicity and Analogy
203(26)
9 How to Build Sea Urchins and Manufacture Smoking Guns
229(20)
10 Idealization and Historical Knowledge
249(26)
11 Optimism, Speculation, and the Future of the Past
275(18)
12 Promoting Success in Historical Science: The Why and the How
293(16)
13 P.S.: A Note on Progress and Realism
309(14)
Notes 323(12)
References 335(22)
Index 357