Introduction |
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xiii | |
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Chapter 1 Climate Change at Different Temporal and Spatial Scales |
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1 | (20) |
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1.1 Contemporary global climate change |
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1 | (5) |
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1.2 Contemporary Arctic-wide climate change |
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6 | (3) |
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1.3 Future global climate change |
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9 | (2) |
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1.4 Future Arctic-wide climate change |
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11 | (2) |
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1.5 The causes of climate change |
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13 | (6) |
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13 | (1) |
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1.5.2 Anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions |
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14 | (2) |
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16 | (1) |
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1.5.4 Albedo and the radiation balance |
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17 | (2) |
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19 | (1) |
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19 | (2) |
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Chapter 2 Climate Change and the Melting Cryosphere |
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21 | (22) |
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21 | (1) |
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2.2 The sensitivity of the cryosphere to climate change |
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22 | (2) |
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2.3 Melting of the marine cryosphere |
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24 | (4) |
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2.3.1 The melting of the Arctic sea ice |
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24 | (3) |
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27 | (1) |
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2.4 Melting of the Earth's cryosphere |
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28 | (8) |
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28 | (4) |
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2.4.2 The melting of mountain glaciers |
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32 | (3) |
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2.4.3 Decreasing permafrost |
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35 | (1) |
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35 | (1) |
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2.5 Consequences of the melting cryosphere |
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36 | (4) |
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2.5.1 On a global scale: rising sea levels |
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36 | (2) |
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2.5.2 Regionally: paraglacial risks |
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38 | (2) |
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40 | (1) |
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40 | (3) |
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Chapter 3 Between Warming and Globalization: Rethinking the Arctic at the Heart of a Stakes System |
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43 | (28) |
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3.1 Spatial impacts of climate change in the Arctic |
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43 | (9) |
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3.1.1 Clarifying the terms of the subject in their polar contexts |
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44 | (8) |
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3.2 The manufacture of polar issues, between global warming and globalization |
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52 | (7) |
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3.2.1 Warming and space production, a decade of confusion off the Arctic coasts |
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53 | (4) |
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3.2.2 Three interacting contexts |
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57 | (2) |
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3.3 The production of polar doctrines: rhetoric and frameworks for action |
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59 | (6) |
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3.3.1 Factors of convergence and consensus |
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60 | (1) |
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3.3.2 Differentiation factors |
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61 | (1) |
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3.3.3 The strategic dimensions of Arctic policies, the complex issue of polar militarization |
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62 | (3) |
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3.4 Geography of a new system of stakeholder relations in the Arctic |
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65 | (2) |
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3.5 Conclusion: polar metamorphisms |
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67 | (1) |
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68 | (3) |
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Chapter 4 Coastlines with Increased Vulnerability to Sea-level Rise |
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71 | (22) |
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71 | (1) |
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4.2 Coastlines under the influence of sea-level rise |
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72 | (6) |
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4.2.1 The pressures of climate change on coastlines |
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72 | (4) |
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4.2.2 Consequences of sea-level rise on coastlines |
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76 | (2) |
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4.3 Increasingly attractive coastlines for societies |
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78 | (5) |
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4.3.1 The coastalization process |
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78 | (1) |
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4.3.2 A densification of activities on the coastlines |
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79 | (2) |
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4.3.3 A closer approach to the sea |
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81 | (2) |
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4.4 Towards the necessary adaptation of coastal areas |
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83 | (4) |
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4.4.1 The coastline, an area at risk |
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83 | (1) |
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4.4.2 Possible coping strategies |
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84 | (2) |
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4.4.3 The example of the Netherlands |
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86 | (1) |
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4.5 Which coastline for tomorrow? |
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87 | (2) |
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89 | (4) |
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Chapter 5 The Consequences of Climate Change on the Paraglacial Sedimentary Cascade |
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93 | (26) |
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5.1 The paraglacial sedimentary cascade: elements of definition |
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93 | (9) |
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5.1.1 General principles of the concept of a paraglacial sedimentary cascade |
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93 | (5) |
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5.1.2 Paraglacial spatial boundaries |
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98 | (1) |
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5.1.3 The temporal limits of the paraglacial sedimentary cascade |
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99 | (3) |
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5.2 Sediment inputs to the paraglacial sedimentary cascade |
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102 | (6) |
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102 | (3) |
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5.2.2 Remobilization of slope deposits |
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105 | (3) |
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5.3 Sediment fluxes within the paraglacial sedimentary cascade |
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108 | (2) |
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5.3.1 The evolution of ice margins on a decadal scale |
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108 | (1) |
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5.3.2 Paraglacial fluvial metamorphoses on a secular scale |
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109 | (1) |
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5.4 Sedimentary stocks or the end of the paraglacial sedimentary cascade |
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110 | (5) |
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5.4.1 Temporary storage areas on a secular scale |
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110 | (2) |
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5.4.2 Interglacial-scale temporary storage areas |
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112 | (3) |
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5.4.3 Final storage areas |
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115 | (1) |
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115 | (1) |
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116 | (3) |
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Chapter 6 Spatial Impacts of Climate Change on Periglacial Environments |
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119 | (24) |
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119 | (6) |
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6.1.1 Definition of periglacial |
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120 | (1) |
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6.1.2 Present and past spatial extent of periglacial environments |
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121 | (4) |
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6.2 Melting permafrost and paraperiglacial geomorphological crises |
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125 | (4) |
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6.2.1 Definition of paraperiglacial |
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125 | (2) |
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6.2.2 Paraperiglacial processes and forms |
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127 | (2) |
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6.3 Periglacial coastal environments in high latitudes in the face of climate change |
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129 | (2) |
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6.4 Periglacial environments at high altitudes in the face of climate change |
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131 | (6) |
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6.4.1 Gravity dynamics and permafrost wall degradation |
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132 | (2) |
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6.4.2 Gravity dynamics and permafrost degradation in loose formations |
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134 | (2) |
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6.4.3 The impact of global warming on high-mountain practices |
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136 | (1) |
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137 | (1) |
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138 | (5) |
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Chapter 7 The Impacts of Climate Change on the Hydrological Dynamics of High Latitude Periglacial Environments |
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143 | (24) |
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7.1 Periglacial regions strongly affected by recent climate change |
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143 | (3) |
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7.1.1 Much warmer winters |
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143 | (1) |
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7.1.2 Permafrost and its sensitivity to air temperatures |
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144 | (2) |
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7.2 The influence of permafrost on hydrological functioning |
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146 | (4) |
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7.2.1 Numerous wetlands in periglacial environments |
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147 | (1) |
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7.2.2 The knock-on effects of climate change on slope hydrology |
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148 | (2) |
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7.3 The response of Arctic fluvial hydrosystems to ongoing climate change |
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150 | (13) |
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153 | (2) |
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7.3.2 Increasing winter low water levels |
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155 | (2) |
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7.3.3 Spring flooding and breakup |
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157 | (2) |
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7.3.4 The rapid evolution of water discharge |
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159 | (4) |
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163 | (1) |
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163 | (4) |
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Chapter 8 The Impacts of Climate Change on Watercourses in Temperate Environments |
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167 | (20) |
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167 | (9) |
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8.1.1 Spatial dynamics of climate zoning and river regimes |
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167 | (2) |
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8.1.2 Watercourses: resource, vector and living environment |
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169 | (2) |
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8.1.3 The (dis)equilibrium between precipitation, evapotranspiration and flow in temperate environments |
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171 | (2) |
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8.1.4 The study of past climate impacts |
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173 | (1) |
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8.1.5 The study of future climate impacts |
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173 | (1) |
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174 | (2) |
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8.2 Hydrological changes already "observable" |
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176 | (4) |
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8.2.1 The case of metropolitan France |
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176 | (3) |
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8.2.2 Continental trends: Western Europe |
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179 | (1) |
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8.3 Hydrological projections |
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180 | (4) |
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180 | (1) |
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8.3.2 For continental Europe |
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181 | (3) |
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184 | (1) |
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184 | (3) |
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Chapter 9 Spatial Impacts of Melting Central Asian Glaciers: towards a "Water War"? |
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187 | (22) |
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9.1 Societies and economies dependent on the cryosphere |
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187 | (11) |
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9.1.1 The possibility of water scarcity and "water war"? |
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187 | (1) |
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9.1.2 "Water tower" mountains for arid depressions |
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188 | (6) |
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9.1.3 Tensions between riparian and rival states |
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194 | (4) |
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9.2 The impact of climate change on water resources |
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198 | (7) |
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9.2.1 Recession of the cryosphere |
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198 | (2) |
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9.2.2 The consequences of cryosphere retreat on hydrology |
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200 | (2) |
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9.2.3 Human societies facing the challenge of climate change |
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202 | (3) |
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205 | (1) |
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206 | (3) |
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Chapter 10 Spatial Impact of Climate Change on Winter Droughts in the Mediterranean and Consequences on Agriculture |
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209 | (16) |
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10.1 Climate variability and change in the Mediterranean basin |
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209 | (2) |
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10.2 Droughts during rainy seasons |
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211 | (5) |
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10.2.1 Rainfall drought: the absence of rain in time and space |
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211 | (1) |
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10.2.2 Detection of very long dry events in the Mediterranean Sea |
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212 | (1) |
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10.2.3 Spatial and temporal characteristics of the main event patterns of very long dry spells |
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213 | (3) |
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10.3 Rainfall droughts in the Mediterranean: impacts on Spanish agrosystems |
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216 | (2) |
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10.4 Rainfall droughts in the Mediterranean: projections for the future |
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218 | (3) |
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221 | (1) |
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222 | (3) |
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Chapter 11 The Spatial Impacts of Climate Change on Viticulture Around the World |
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225 | (18) |
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225 | (1) |
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11.2 Recent climatic trends in the world's wine-growing regions |
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226 | (1) |
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11.3 Climate zoning in viticulture |
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227 | (3) |
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11.4 Impact of climate change: anticipating changes in the spatial distribution of vines |
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230 | (8) |
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11.4.1 Towards climate change modeling in wine-growing regions |
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231 | (5) |
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11.4.2 The need to take into account local factors |
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236 | (2) |
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238 | (1) |
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239 | (4) |
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Chapter 12 Climate Change in the Amazon: A Multi-scalar Approach |
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243 | (24) |
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243 | (1) |
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12.2 The Amazonian climate system |
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244 | (6) |
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12.2.1 Heat, humidity and regional diversity |
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244 | (3) |
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12.2.2 Radiation balance and general circulation |
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247 | (1) |
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12.2.3 The forest-climate interaction issue |
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248 | (2) |
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12.3 A changing system: deforestation, warming and drying? |
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250 | (7) |
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12.3.1 Pioneering dynamics: rise and (provisory?) decline |
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250 | (2) |
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12.3.2 Increase in temperature and decrease in rainfall |
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252 | (1) |
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12.3.3 The dynamics of the start and end dates of the rainy season |
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252 | (2) |
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12.3.4 Local effects of land-use changes |
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254 | (3) |
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12.4 Uncertainties of future changes, perceptions and adaptations |
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257 | (4) |
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12.4.1 Savanization and tipping points |
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257 | (1) |
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12.4.2 An overall impact which is certain, but which remains to be specified |
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258 | (1) |
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12.4.3 Perceptions and adaptations by local populations |
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259 | (2) |
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12.5 Conclusion: a stake in the global negotiations |
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261 | (2) |
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263 | (4) |
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Chapter 13 The impacts of Climate Change on the Distribution of Biomes |
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267 | (22) |
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13.1 Biomes, a representation of life on a global scale |
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268 | (6) |
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13.1.1 The biome, an indicator of climatic context: what are the realities? |
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269 | (1) |
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13.1.2 From the roots of a globalizing concept to the emergence of an operational scale |
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270 | (4) |
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13.2 Structural and functional impacts of climate change on terrestrial biomes |
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274 | (5) |
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13.2.1 From bioclimatic bathing to modification of ecological processes |
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274 | (1) |
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13.2.2 Identifying changes: from global diagnosis to biological responses |
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275 | (4) |
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13.3 Spatializing change: biome modeling |
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279 | (5) |
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13.3.1 Observed and projected global impacts |
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279 | (3) |
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13.3.2 Observed and projected impacts for the Arctic region |
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282 | (2) |
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284 | (2) |
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286 | (3) |
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Chapter 14 Spatial Impacts of Climate Change on Birds |
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289 | (22) |
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289 | (2) |
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14.2 Contemporary distributional changes |
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291 | (6) |
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14.2.1 Latitudinal shifts |
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292 | (1) |
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14.2.2 Altitudinal shifts |
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293 | (2) |
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14.2.3 Spatial manifestations of range changes |
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295 | (2) |
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14.3 Different responses for different species |
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297 | (2) |
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14.3.1 Dispersion capabilities |
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297 | (1) |
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14.3.2 Reproductive capacity |
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298 | (1) |
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299 | (1) |
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14.4 Conservation implications |
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299 | (3) |
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14.4.1 Ecological consequences |
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299 | (1) |
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14.4.2 Conservation measures |
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300 | (2) |
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302 | (1) |
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303 | (8) |
List of Authors |
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311 | (2) |
Index |
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313 | |