Preface |
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xv | |
Acknowledgments |
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xxiii | |
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Chapter 1 A Field Guide to Reading the Statistics behind the Headlines |
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1 | (10) |
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Journalists And Statisticians Share Similar Goals |
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2 | (1) |
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3 | (1) |
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Statistical Concepts To Be Explored |
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4 | (1) |
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What Is It? How Much Is There? |
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4 | (1) |
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Data Generation/Producing Data |
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5 | (1) |
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5 | (1) |
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Drawing Conclusions From Data |
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6 | (1) |
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If I Do This, Then That Will Happen |
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7 | (1) |
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7 | (4) |
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Chapter 2 Predicting Global Population Growth And Framing How You Report It |
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11 | (16) |
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12 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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13 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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13 | (1) |
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14 | (1) |
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Why Is It Claimed? What Makes This A Story Worth Telling? |
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15 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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15 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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15 | (3) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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17 | (1) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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18 | (1) |
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Does The Claim Seem Reasonable? |
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18 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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19 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter? |
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19 | (2) |
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Comparison Of Population Perspective Versus Individual Perspective? |
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20 | (1) |
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Will I Change My Behavior As A Consequence Of This? |
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20 | (1) |
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21 | (3) |
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24 | (1) |
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24 | (1) |
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References - World Population Projection |
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25 | (1) |
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25 | (2) |
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Chapter 3 Social Media And Mental Health |
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27 | (28) |
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28 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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29 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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29 | (1) |
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30 | (1) |
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31 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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31 | (4) |
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31 | (3) |
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34 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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35 | (10) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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38 | (5) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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43 | (2) |
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Is A 2X Increase In Odds Of Problems A Cause For Concern? |
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45 | (1) |
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What Are The Baseline Rates Of These Mental Health Problems? |
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46 | (1) |
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Is The Claim Reasonable In Itself? Does Prior Belief Impact My Belief? Confirmation Bias? |
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46 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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46 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter To Me? |
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47 | (1) |
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Does A Study Of U.S. Young Teens Translate To Older Teens Or To Other Countries? |
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48 | (1) |
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49 | (3) |
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52 | (1) |
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52 | (1) |
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53 | (2) |
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Chapter 4 Speedy Sneakers: Technological Boosterism Or Sound Science? |
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55 | (20) |
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56 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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57 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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57 | (1) |
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57 | (1) |
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58 | (2) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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60 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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60 | (6) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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60 | (3) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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63 | (3) |
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Is The Claim Reasonable In Itself? Does Prior Belief Impact My Belief? Confirmation Bias? |
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66 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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66 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter To Me? |
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67 | (1) |
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68 | (3) |
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71 | (1) |
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72 | (1) |
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72 | (1) |
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73 | (2) |
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Chapter 5 Investigating Series Binge-Watching |
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75 | (16) |
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77 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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77 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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77 | (1) |
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78 | (1) |
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78 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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79 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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79 | (1) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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80 | (1) |
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How Much Television Do You Watch? Government Survey Says |
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80 | (2) |
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Are You A Binge-Watcher? Industry Report Says |
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82 | (2) |
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Is Watching Lots Of Tv Is Good, Bad Or Both For You? Experts Say |
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84 | (1) |
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Binging And Stress? Scientific Presentation Says |
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84 | (2) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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86 | (1) |
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Is The Claim Reasonable In Itself? Does Prior Belief Impact My Belief? Confirmation Bias? |
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86 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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87 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter To Me? |
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87 | (1) |
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87 | (2) |
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89 | (1) |
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90 | (1) |
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Chapter 6 Tracking The Spread Of "False News" |
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91 | (16) |
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92 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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93 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? And Is It Appropriate? |
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93 | (1) |
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94 | (1) |
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94 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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95 | (2) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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97 | (3) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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97 | (1) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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98 | (2) |
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Is The Claim Reasonable In Itself? Does Prior Belief Impact My Belief? Confirmation Bias? |
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100 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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100 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter To Me? |
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101 | (1) |
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101 | (4) |
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105 | (1) |
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105 | (1) |
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106 | (1) |
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Chapter 7 Modeling What It Means To "Flatten The Curve" |
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107 | (16) |
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108 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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109 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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109 | (1) |
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110 | (1) |
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110 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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111 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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111 | (4) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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112 | (1) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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113 | (2) |
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Is The Claim Reasonable In Itself? Does Prior Belief Impact My Belief? Confirmation Bias? |
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115 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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115 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter To Me? |
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116 | (1) |
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116 | (3) |
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119 | (1) |
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119 | (1) |
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120 | (3) |
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Chapter 8 One Governor, Two Outcomes And Three Covid Tests |
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123 | (16) |
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124 | (1) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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125 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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125 | (1) |
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126 | (1) |
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126 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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126 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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127 | (2) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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128 | (1) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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129 | (1) |
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Is The Claim Reasonable In Itself? Does Prior Belief Impact My Belief? Confirmation Bias |
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129 | (1) |
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Community With Low Rate Of Infection |
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129 | (1) |
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Rapid, Less Accurate Test |
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129 | (1) |
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Slower, More Accurate Test |
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130 | (1) |
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Community With A Higher Rate Of Infection |
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130 | (2) |
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Rapid, Less Accurate Test |
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131 | (1) |
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Slower, More Accurate Test |
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131 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter To Me? |
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132 | (1) |
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132 | (2) |
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134 | (1) |
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135 | (4) |
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Chapter 9 Research Reproducibility And Reporting Results |
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139 | (20) |
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140 | (2) |
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What Ideas Will You Encounter In This Chapter? |
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142 | (1) |
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What Is Claimed? Is It Appropriate? |
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142 | (1) |
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143 | (1) |
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Why Is It Claimed? What Makes This A Story Worth Telling? |
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143 | (1) |
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Is This A Good Measure Of Impact? |
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144 | (1) |
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How Is The Claim Supported? |
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144 | (5) |
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What Evidence Is Reported? |
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144 | (3) |
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What Is The Quality/Strength Of The Evidence? |
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147 | (2) |
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Does The Claim Seem Reasonable? |
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149 | (1) |
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How Does This Claim Fit With What Is Already Known? |
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149 | (1) |
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How Much Does This Matter? |
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150 | (1) |
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Comparison Of Population Perspective Versus Individual Perspective? |
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150 | (1) |
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Will I Change My Behavior As A Consequence Of This? |
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150 | (1) |
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151 | (3) |
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154 | (2) |
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156 | (1) |
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157 | (2) |
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159 | (10) |
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Consider The Weight Of Evidence |
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163 | (3) |
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166 | (1) |
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166 | (1) |
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Be A Critical Reader Of Everything |
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167 | (2) |
Bibliography |
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169 | (4) |
Index |
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173 | |