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1 | (12) |
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1 | (1) |
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1 | (2) |
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3 | (3) |
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6 | (1) |
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1.5 Problems and Solutions |
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7 | (6) |
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10 | (3) |
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Part I Time Series Modeling |
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2 Basic Concepts from Probability Theory |
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13 | (32) |
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13 | (1) |
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13 | (9) |
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2.3 Joint and Conditional Distributions |
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22 | (7) |
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2.4 Stochastic Processes (SP) |
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29 | (6) |
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2.5 Problems and Solutions |
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35 | (10) |
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42 | (3) |
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3 Autoregressive Moving Average Processes (ARMA) |
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45 | (32) |
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45 | (1) |
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3.2 Moving Average Processes |
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45 | (6) |
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3.3 Lag Polynomials and Invertibility |
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51 | (5) |
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3.4 Autoregressive and Mixed Processes |
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56 | (12) |
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3.5 Problems and Solutions |
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68 | (9) |
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75 | (2) |
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4 Spectra of Stationary Processes |
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77 | (26) |
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77 | (1) |
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4.2 Definition and Interpretation |
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77 | (7) |
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84 | (5) |
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4.4 Examples of ARMA Spectra |
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89 | (6) |
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4.5 Problems and Solutions |
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95 | (8) |
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101 | (2) |
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5 Long Memory and Fractional Integration |
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103 | (24) |
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103 | (1) |
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5.2 Persistence and Long Memory |
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103 | (5) |
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5.3 Fractionally Integrated Noise |
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108 | (5) |
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113 | (5) |
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5.5 Problems and Solutions |
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118 | (9) |
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125 | (2) |
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6 Processes with Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) |
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127 | (24) |
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127 | (1) |
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6.2 Time-Dependent Heteroskedasticity |
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127 | (3) |
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130 | (5) |
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135 | (7) |
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6.5 Problems and Solutions |
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142 | (9) |
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148 | (3) |
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Part II Stochastic Integrals |
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151 | (28) |
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151 | (1) |
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7.2 From Random Walk to Wiener Process |
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151 | (6) |
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157 | (4) |
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7.4 Functions of Wiener Processes |
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161 | (9) |
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7.5 Problems and Solutions |
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170 | (9) |
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177 | (2) |
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179 | (20) |
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179 | (1) |
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8.2 Definition and Fubini's Theorem |
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179 | (4) |
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8.3 Riemann Integration of Wiener Processes |
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183 | (3) |
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8.4 Convergence in Mean Square |
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186 | (4) |
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8.5 Problems and Solutions |
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190 | (9) |
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197 | (2) |
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199 | (14) |
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199 | (1) |
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9.2 Definition and Partial Integration |
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199 | (3) |
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9.3 Gaussian Distribution and Autocovariances |
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202 | (2) |
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9.4 Standard Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process |
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204 | (3) |
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9.5 Problems and Solutions |
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207 | (6) |
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211 | (2) |
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213 | (26) |
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213 | (1) |
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213 | (5) |
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10.3 General Ito Integrals |
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218 | (4) |
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10.4 (Quadratic) Variation |
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222 | (7) |
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10.5 Problems and Solutions |
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229 | (10) |
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237 | (2) |
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239 | (22) |
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239 | (1) |
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239 | (6) |
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11.3 Bivariate Diffusions with One WP |
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245 | (5) |
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11.4 Generalization for Independent WP |
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250 | (4) |
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11.5 Problems and Solutions |
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254 | (7) |
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258 | (3) |
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12 Stochastic Differential Equations (SDE) |
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261 | (24) |
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261 | (1) |
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12.2 Definition and Existence |
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261 | (4) |
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12.3 Linear Stochastic Differential Equations |
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265 | (7) |
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272 | (1) |
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12.5 Problems and Solutions |
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273 | (12) |
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282 | (3) |
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285 | (18) |
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285 | (1) |
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13.2 Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process (OUP) |
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285 | (3) |
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13.3 Positive Linear Interest Rate Models |
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288 | (4) |
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292 | (4) |
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13.5 Problems and Solutions |
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296 | (7) |
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302 | (1) |
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14 Asymptotics of Integrated Processes |
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303 | (28) |
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303 | (1) |
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14.2 Limiting Distributions of Integrated Processes |
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303 | (7) |
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14.3 Weak Convergence of Functions |
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310 | (7) |
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14.4 Multivariate Limit Theory |
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317 | (4) |
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14.5 Problems and Solutions |
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321 | (10) |
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329 | (2) |
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15 Trends, Integration Tests and Nonsense Regressions |
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331 | (22) |
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331 | (1) |
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331 | (5) |
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336 | (5) |
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341 | (3) |
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15.5 Problems and Solutions |
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344 | (9) |
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352 | (1) |
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16 Cointegration Analysis |
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353 | (30) |
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353 | (1) |
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16.2 Error-Correction and Cointegration |
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353 | (5) |
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16.3 Cointegration Regressions |
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358 | (7) |
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16.4 Cointegration Testing |
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365 | (8) |
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16.5 Problems and Solutions |
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373 | (10) |
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381 | (2) |
References |
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383 | (6) |
Index |
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389 | |