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Uncertainty and Economics: A Paradigmatic Perspective [Hardback]

(Jacobs University Bremen, Germany)
  • Formāts: Hardback, 134 pages, height x width: 234x156 mm, weight: 340 g, 4 Tables, black and white; 16 Line drawings, black and white; 16 Illustrations, black and white
  • Sērija : Routledge Frontiers of Political Economy
  • Izdošanas datums: 15-Jan-2019
  • Izdevniecība: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 0367076039
  • ISBN-13: 9780367076030
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  • Hardback
  • Cena: 191,26 €
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  • Formāts: Hardback, 134 pages, height x width: 234x156 mm, weight: 340 g, 4 Tables, black and white; 16 Line drawings, black and white; 16 Illustrations, black and white
  • Sērija : Routledge Frontiers of Political Economy
  • Izdošanas datums: 15-Jan-2019
  • Izdevniecība: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 0367076039
  • ISBN-13: 9780367076030
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
This book is set against the assumption that humans unique feature is their infinite creativity, their ability to reflect on their deeds and to control their actions. These skills give rise to genuine uncertainty in society and hence in the economy. Here, the author sets out that uncertainty must take centre stage in all analyses of human decision making and therefore in economics. Uncertainty and Economics carefully defines a taxonomy of uncertainty and argues that it is only uncertainty in its most radical form which matters to economics. It shows that uncertainty is a powerful concept that not only helps to resolve long-standing economic puzzles but also unveils serious contradictions within current, popular economic approaches. It argues that neoclassical, real business cycle, or new-Keynesian economics must be understood as only one way to circumvent the analytical challenges posed by uncertainty. Instead, embracing uncertainty offers a new analytical paradigm which, in this book, is applied to standard economic topics such as institutions, money, the Lucas critique, fiscal policy and asset pricing. Through applying a concise uncertainty paradigm, the book sheds new light on human decision making at large. Offering policy conclusions and recommendations for further theoretical and applied research, it will be of great interest to postgraduate students, academics and policy makers-- This book is set against the assumption that humans unique feature is their infinite creativity, their ability to reflect on their deeds and to control their actions. These skills give rise to genuine uncertainty in society and hence in the economy. Here, the author sets out that uncertainty must take centre stage in all analyses of human decision making and therefore in economics. Uncertainty and Economics carefully defines a taxonomy of uncertainty and argues that it is only uncertainty in its most radical form which matters to economics. It shows that uncertainty is a powerful concept that not only helps to resolve long-standing economic puzzles but also unveils serious contradictions within current, popular economic approaches. It argues that neoclassical, real business cycle, or new-Keynesian economics must be understood as only one way to circumvent the analytical challenges posed by uncertainty. Instead, embracing uncertainty offers a new analytical paradigm which, in this book, is applied to standard economic topics such as institutions, money, the Lucas critique, fiscal policy and asset pricing. Through applying a concise uncertainty paradigm, the book sheds new light on human decision making at large. Offering policy conclusions and recommendations for further theoretical and applied research, it will be of great interest to postgraduate students, academics and policy makers.

Recenzijas

"Essential reading for everyone who is willing to take "uncertainty" in economics seriously!", Prof. Dr. Joachim Güntzel, Baden-Württemberg Cooperative State University, Ravensburg, Germany

Preface ix
Acknowledgements xi
Introduction 1(2)
1 What's uncertainty, after all?
3(12)
1.1 Institutions, events and actions
3(2)
1.2 Determinism, risk, ambiguity and uncertainty
5(1)
1.2.1 Determinism
5(1)
1.2.2 Chance, risk and ambiguity
6(3)
1.2.3 Uncertainty
9(6)
2 Uncertainty in economics
15(48)
2.1 The origins of uncertainty
15(4)
2.1.1 The main assumption
15(1)
2.1.2 Uncertainty: a human trait
16(3)
2.2 Rationality, uncertainty and decision making
19(10)
2.2.1 Subjectivity, objectivity and rationality
19(4)
2.2.2 Decision making under uncertainty
23(6)
2.3 The epistemology of economics
29(13)
2.3.1 A brief look in the rear mirror
29(3)
2.3.2 Positivist-falsificationist epistemology
32(10)
2.4 Paradigmatic uncertainty
42(14)
2.4.1 Puzzles
43(3)
2.4.2 Rational expectations and uncertainty
46(4)
2.4.3 Rationality and uncertainty "measurement"
50(3)
2.4.4 Elements of an uncertainty paradigm
53(3)
2.5 Economic epistemology and uncertainty: an application to the Lucas critique
56(7)
3 Uncertainty in the economy
63(17)
3.1 Uncertainty and institutions
63(3)
3.2 Money
66(9)
3.3 Fiscal policy and Keynes's battles: lost and won
75(5)
4 The empirics of uncertainty
80(26)
4.1 A model for asset pricing under uncertainty
81(4)
4.1.1 The investor's objective function
81(1)
4.1.2 The investment rule
82(1)
4.1.3 The median investor
82(2)
4.1.4 Properties of the subjective median model
84(1)
4.2 Testing for uncertainty
85(21)
4.2.1 Conventional asset pricing model and uncertainty
85(1)
4.2.2 The empirical approach
86(4)
4.2.3 The empirical evidence
90(16)
5 Conclusion
106(5)
Bibliography 111(8)
Index 119
Christian Müller-Kademann is Privatdozent of Economics at Jacobs University in Bremen, Germany. He received his first degree from Hull University, UK before graduating from Humboldt University, Berlin with a diploma in economics, after which he began his PhD in economics and econometrics.