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E-grāmata: Weather Matters for Energy

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  • Formāts: PDF+DRM
  • Izdošanas datums: 18-Jan-2014
  • Izdevniecība: Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • Valoda: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781461492214
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Weather Matters for EnergyPalielināt
  • Formāts: PDF+DRM
  • Izdošanas datums: 18-Jan-2014
  • Izdevniecība: Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
  • Valoda: eng
  • ISBN-13: 9781461492214
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It is the purpose of this book to provide the meteorological knowledge and tools to improve the risk management of energy industry decisions, ranging from the long term finance and engineering planning assessments to the short term operational measures for scheduling and maintenance. Most of the chapters in this book are based on presentations given at the inaugural International Conference Energy & Meteorology (ICEM), held in the Gold Coast, Australia, 8-11 November 2011. The main aim of the conference was to strengthen the link between Energy and Meteorology, so as to make meteorological information more relevant to the planning and operations of the energy sector. The ultimate goal would be to make the best use of weather and climate data in order to achieve a more efficient use of energy sources. This book seeks to realise the same objective.



Based on the first International Conference Energy & Meteorology (ICEM), this book brings meteorological knowledge and tools to energy industry risk management, from long term finance and engineering planning to short term scheduling and maintenance.

Recenzijas

From the book reviews:

The book contains a wealth of information, presented factually with some excellent graphics and up-to-date references. It is therefore an excellent synthesis that intersects meteorology with different fields of engineering and policy discussed from the point of view of industry, government agencies, academia, and the electric utilities, making it valuable to a wide audience. A valuable reference source for advanced audiences. Summing Up: Highly recommended. Graduate students, researchers/faculty, and professionals/practitioners. (R. J. Barthelmie, Choice, Vol. 52 (2), October, 2014)

Part I Why Should the Energy Industry be Concerned About Weather Patterns?
A New Era for Energy and Meteorology
3(14)
Beverley F. Ronalds
Alex Wonhas
Alberto Troccoli
1 The Energy Picture Today
3(3)
2 Vulnerability of Energy Systems to the Current Climate
6(2)
3 Transforming Our Energy System: Challenges and Opportunities
8(2)
4 A Step-Change in Meteorology and Energy Linkages
10(4)
5 Conclusions
14(3)
References
14(3)
Climate Risk Management Approaches in the Electricity Sector: Lessons from Early Adapters
17(48)
Pierre Audinet
Jean-Christophe Amado
Ben Rabb
1 The Need to Strengthen the Resilience of Electricity Systems in Developing Countries
20(3)
2 Existing Research on Climate Data and Information, Associated Risks, and Adaptation Solutions
23(10)
3 Early Adaptation Efforts in the Electricity Sector
33(16)
4 Current Focus of Adaptation Efforts and Gaps
49(7)
5 Lessons Learnt and the Way Forward
56(3)
6 Appendix
59(6)
References
62(3)
Climatic Changes: Looking Back, Looking Forward
65(26)
Alberto Troccoli
1 Introduction
65(3)
2 Methodology
68(5)
3 Historical Climate Relevant to Energy
73(6)
4 Projected Climate Changes Relevant to Energy
79(6)
5 Extreme Weather Events Relevant to Energy
85(1)
6 Summary
86(5)
References
87(4)
Renewable Energy and Climate Change Mitigation: An Overview of the IPCC Special Report
91(22)
Ralph E. H. Sims
1 Introduction
92(1)
2 Trends and Future Scenarios
93(3)
3 Climate Change Impacts on Renewable Resources
96(3)
4 Costs
99(4)
5 Integration
103(3)
6 Sustainable Development
106(2)
7 Co-Benefits, Barriers and Policies
108(1)
8 Conclusions
109(4)
References
110(3)
Part II How is the Energy Industry Meteorology-Proofing Itself?
Improving Resilience Challenges and Linkages of the Energy Industry in Changing Climate
113(20)
Shanti Majithia
1 Introduction
113(2)
2 Energy
115(2)
3 Infrastructure Components
117(2)
4 Potential Risk to the Infrastructure
119(2)
5 Business Preparedness: Infrastructure and Corporate Resilience
121(6)
6 Information Gap Analysis in Climate Science
127(1)
7 Market Mitigation 2020/2050
127(1)
8 Linking Meteorology, Climate and Energy
128(1)
9 Conclusion
129(4)
References
130(3)
Combining Meteorological and Electrical Engineering Expertise to Solve Energy Management Problems
133(22)
Giovanni Pirovano
Paola Faggian
Paolo Bonelli
Matteo Lacavalla
Pietro Marcacci
Dario Ronzio
1 Introduction
133(1)
2 The Meteorological Demand from Energy Community
134(1)
3 Climate Change Impact on the Electric System
135(4)
4 Forecasting "Weather Energy"
139(3)
5 Weather Risks for the Power System
142(10)
6 Conclusion
152(3)
References
153(2)
Weather and Climate Impacts on Australia's National Electricity Market (NEM)
155(22)
Tim George
Magnus Hindsberger
1 Introduction
155(2)
2 Setting the Scene
157(1)
3 Characteristics of Weather-Dependent Generation
158(6)
4 Operational Considerations
164(4)
5 Planning for the Longer Term
168(6)
6 Conclusions
174(3)
References
175(2)
Bioenergy, Weather and Climate Change in Africa: Leading Issues and Policy Options
177(24)
Mersie Ejigu
1 Introduction
177(1)
2 Africa's Energy Profile and Vulnerability to Climate Change
178(5)
3 Bioenergy Vis-a-Vis Other Renewables: The Significance of Weather
183(1)
4 Bioenergy: Climate Opportunities and Risks
184(3)
5 The Direct and Indirect Impacts of Weather/Climate Change
187(4)
6 Main Policy Issues and Options
191(5)
7 Conclusion
196(5)
References
196(5)
Part III What can Meteorology Offer to the Energy Industry?
Weather and Climate Information Delivery within National and International Frameworks
201(20)
John W. Zillman
1 Introduction
201(1)
2 The Nature of Weather and Climate
202(2)
3 Meteorological and Related Services
204(4)
4 The National Meteorological Service System
208(3)
5 The Global Framework for Meteorological Service Provision
211(3)
6 Future Directions
214(4)
7 Conclusion
218(3)
References
218(3)
Meteorology and the Energy Sector
221(16)
Geoff Love
Neil Plummer
Ian Muirhead
Ian Grant
Clinton Rakich
1 Introduction
221(1)
2 Factors Affecting Electricity Production
222(2)
3 The Energy Sector's Requirement for Meteorological Services
224(3)
4 Overview: Uses of Meteorological Information in the Energy Sector
227(2)
5 An Energy Sector Case Study: Solar Resource Assessment
229(3)
6 A New Global Information Service
232(1)
7 Components of the Global Framework for Climate Services
233(1)
8 Some Concluding Remarks
234(3)
References
234(3)
Earth Observation in Support of the Energy Sector
237(20)
Pierre-Philippe Mathieu
1 The View from Space: A Unique Perspective to Help the Energy Sector
237(5)
2 EO Demonstration Pilot Projects in Support of the Energy Sector
242(11)
3 Conclusions
253(4)
References
254(3)
Emerging Meteorological Requirements to Support High Penetrations of Variable Renewable Energy Sources: Solar Energy
257(18)
David S. Renne
1 Introduction
258(1)
2 Global Trends in PV Development
258(2)
3 Perspectives from the Utility Industry
260(2)
4 Challenges for the Solar Resource Community
262(10)
5 Summary and Conclusions
272(3)
References
273(2)
Current Status and Challenges in Wind Energy Assessment
275(20)
Sven-Erik Gryning
Jake Badger
Andrea N. Hahmann
Ekaterina Batchvarova
1 Introduction
276(1)
2 Global Wind Resources
276(7)
3 Dynamical Downscaling for Wind Applications Using Meteorological Models
283(8)
4 Summary and Outlook
291(4)
References
292(3)
Wind Power Forecasting
295(24)
Sue Ellen Haupt
William P. Mahoney
Keith Parks
1 The Need for Renewable Energy Power Forecasts
295(2)
2 A System's Approach to Forecasting
297(3)
3 Numerical Weather Prediction
300(2)
4 Statistical Postprocessing
302(5)
5 Short-Term Forecasting
307(3)
6 Utility Grid Integration
310(5)
7 Concluding Remarks
315(4)
References
316(3)
Regional Climate Modelling for the Energy Sector
319(16)
Jack Katzfey
1 Introduction
319(4)
2 Methods/Techniques
323(6)
3 Application of Regional Climate Models for the Energy Industry
329(1)
4 Summary and Discussion
330(5)
References
331(4)
In Search of the Best Possible Weather Forecast for the Energy Industry
335(18)
Pascal Mailier
Brian Peters
Devin Kilminster
Meghan Stephens
1 Introduction
335(1)
2 What Makes a `Good' Forecast?
336(2)
3 The Fallacy of Accuracy
338(3)
4 The Value of a Probability Forecast
341(6)
5 Best Versus Most Useful
347(1)
6 Conclusions
348(5)
References
349(4)
Part IV How is the Energy Industry Applying State-of-the-Science Meteorology?
A Probabilistic View of Weather, Climate, and the Energy Industry
353(26)
John A. Dutton
Richard P. James
Jeremy D. Ross
1 Introduction
353(2)
2 Probability Methods
355(2)
3 Probability Forecasts of Atmospheric Events
357(11)
4 Modeling Probabilities of Business Results
368(5)
5 Atmospheric Informatics
373(4)
6 Conclusion
377(2)
References
377(2)
Weather and Climate and the Power Sector: Needs, Recent Developments and Challenges
379(20)
Laurent Dubus
1 Introduction: The Power Sector is Increasingly Weather Dependent
380(3)
2 Probabilistic Temperature Forecasts of a Few Days to One Month
383(4)
3 Improvement in Monthly River Flow Forecasts
387(3)
4 Some Challenging Problems
390(6)
5 Conclusion: Importance of Collaboration Between Users and Providers
396(3)
References
396(3)
Unlocking the Potential of Renewable Energy with Storage
399(14)
Peter Coppin
John Wood
Chris Price
Andreas Ernst
Lan Lam
1 Introduction
399(6)
2 The Technologies
405(2)
3 A Case Study: Wind Farm Smoothing
407(3)
4 A More Advanced Algorithm
410(1)
5 Advanced Algorithm Results
410(1)
6 Conclusions
411(2)
References
412(1)
Improving NWP Forecasts for the Wind Energy Sector
413(16)
Merlinde Kay
Iain MacGill
1 Introduction
414(1)
2 Wind Farm Data and the Forecast Model Used in This Study
415(3)
3 Bias Correction Methodology
418(2)
4 Results
420(7)
5 Conclusion
427(2)
References
427(2)
Overview of Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power Prediction
429(26)
Elke Lorenz
Jan Kuhnert
Detlev Heinemann
1 Introduction
429(2)
2 Typical Outline of PV Power Prediction Systems
431(2)
3 Irradiance Forecasting
433(7)
4 Evaluation of Irradiance Forecasts
440(7)
5 PV Power Forecasting
447(3)
6 Evaluation of PV Power Forecasts
450(2)
7 Summary and Outlook
452(3)
References
453(2)
Spatial and Temporal Variability in the UK Wind Resource: Scales, Controlling Factors and Implications for Wind Power Output
455(12)
Steve Dorling
Nick Earl
Chris Steele
1 Introduction
455(1)
2 Tools
456(1)
3 Analysis of 10 m Station Measurements
457(1)
4 Sea Breeze modelling
458(6)
5 Conclusions
464(3)
References
464(3)
Reducing the Energy Consumption of Existing Residential Buildings, for Climate Change and Scarce Resource Scenarios in 2050
467(30)
John J. Shiel
Behdad Moghtaderi
Richard Aynsley
Adrian Page
1 Introduction
467(2)
2 Method
469(9)
3 Results
478(4)
4 Discussion
482(7)
5 Conclusion
489(8)
References
490(7)
Part V Concluding
Chapter
Energy and Meteorology: Partnership for the Future
497(16)
Don Gunasekera
Alberto Troccoli
Mohammed S. Boulahya
1 Introduction
497(3)
2 Current Forms of Meteorological Service Provision
500(3)
3 Challenges Faced by the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services
503(2)
4 Energy Services: Current and Future Trends
505(1)
5 Energy and Meteorology Interaction
506(1)
6 Way Forward
507(6)
References
509(4)
Index 513
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