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Why Demography Matters [Hardback]

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  • Formāts: Hardback, 224 pages, height x width x depth: 236x163x36 mm, weight: 544 g
  • Izdošanas datums: 24-Nov-2017
  • Izdevniecība: Polity Press
  • ISBN-10: 0745698409
  • ISBN-13: 9780745698403
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  • Hardback
  • Cena: 74,22 €
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  • Formāts: Hardback, 224 pages, height x width x depth: 236x163x36 mm, weight: 544 g
  • Izdošanas datums: 24-Nov-2017
  • Izdevniecība: Polity Press
  • ISBN-10: 0745698409
  • ISBN-13: 9780745698403
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
Demography is not destiny. As Giacomo Casanova explained over two centuries ago: 'There is no such thing as destiny. We ourselves shape our own lives.'

Today we are shaping them and our societies more than ever before. Globally, we have never had fewer children per adult: our population is about to stabilize, though we do not know when or at what number, or what will happen after that. It will be the result of billions of very private decisions influenced in turn by multiple events and policies, some more unpredictable than others. More people are moving further around the world than ever before: we too often see that as frightening, rather than as indicating greater freedom. Similarly, we too often lament greater ageing, rather than recognizing it as a tremendous human achievement with numerous benefits to which we must adapt.

Demography comes to the fore most positively when we see that we have choices, when we understand variation and when we are not deterministic in our prescriptions. The study of demography has for too long been dominated by pessimism and inhuman, simplistic accounting. As this fascinating and persuasive overview demonstrates, how we understand our demography needs to change again.

Recenzijas

"Demographers threaten us with a world population explosion, an unsupportable burden of pensioners, migration run wild, even a eugenic threat! But Dorling and Gietel-Basten give us heart. Some threats turned into blessings while other proved as hopelessly inaccurate as economic forecast." Richard Wilkinson, co-author of The Spirit Level 

"Dorling and Gietel-Basten demonstrate how much we don't know when it comes to demographics. With encyclopedic incision, the authors enjoin readers to consider the meaning, measurement, and manipulation of demographics, eschewing hyperbole for common sense. Rejecting demographic fear mongering and cloudy statistical thinking, Why Demography Matters provides a critical assessment of who counts and why, and the meaning of one of the world's most important drivers of change." Amy Glasmeier, Massachusetts Institute of Technology

"As authors Danny Dorling and Stuart Gietel-Basten remind us in their excellent text, [ the] misinterpretation of demographic work is not uncommon. They remind us that the work of demographers is inherently political. [ ] Ultimately, Dorling and Gietel-Basten ask, can demography be optimistic and personal? And their convincing response is yes. This is why I think this book should be a required supplemental text to any demography class as well as an essential read for anyone involved in demographic work." Canadian Studies in Population

List of Figures and Tables
x
Acknowledgements xiv
1 Introduction
1(16)
2 Measuring Populations
17(26)
Demography: the accessible social science
17(2)
We don't know as much as we might like to think we do
19(5)
A short history of error in demography
24(5)
The use (and abuse) of the measurements we use
29(3)
Baby booms and baby slumps
32(9)
Conclusion
41(2)
3 Destiny and Determination
43(28)
Projections versus forecasts
43(3)
The dented crystal ball
46(4)
The failure to foresee falls in fertility
50(2)
From `showing' the future to `shaping' the future
52(3)
Building uncertainly into the model
55(4)
Live and let live, and famine
59(4)
Adding education to population forecasts
63(6)
Conclusion
69(2)
4 Population `Explosion'
71(27)
The overwhelming narrative
72(6)
Malaria and the good news that is so often ignored
78(4)
The algae bloom of human beings, 1800--2000
82(6)
Censuses, surveys and scenarios
88(5)
Demographic transition or population explosion?
93(3)
Conclusion
96(2)
5 Why No Children?
98(25)
A polarized world
98(4)
The low fertility world
102(5)
Pushing parents, supporting parents
107(3)
Who's to `blame'?
110(9)
Conclusion
119(4)
6 Population Ageing
123(28)
Help the aged?
123(2)
What causes population ageing?
125(5)
The demographic dividend
130(4)
Measuring population ageing
134(10)
Beyond numbers: the real challenges of the ageing population
144(4)
Conclusion: challenges and opportunities
148(3)
7 Population and the Global Economy
151(32)
Too many there, too few here'
151(3)
The demand for labour
154(3)
Rural to urban migration
157(2)
Emerging markets, fading markets
159(3)
The mysterious vanishing act of the global labour pool
162(7)
Family planning and peak working-age population
169(6)
Alternative projections
175(6)
Conclusion: no such thing as destiny
181(2)
8 Population and Politics
183(30)
Politics, demography and history
184(9)
The danger of demography
193(5)
Schools, politics and demography
198(4)
Cultural identity, nationalism and population decline
202(2)
Net lifetime cohort migration
204(9)
9 Conclusion: Understanding Ourselves, Understanding Each Other
213(13)
Notes 226(4)
Bibliography 230(17)
Index 247
Danny Dorling is Halford Mackinder Professor of Geography at the University of Oxford. His website can be found at www.dannydorling.org. Stuart Gietel-Basten is Associate Professor of Social Science at The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology