Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems 2000 ed. [Hardback]

Preface ix Contributors xi Section I - Introduction The importance of climate variability and seasonal forecasting to the Australian economy 1(22) Barry White The relevance of seasonal climate forecasting to a rural producer 23(6) Sid Plant Understanding and predicting the worlds climate system 29(22) Mark Cane A general systems approach to applying seasonal climate forecasts 51(16) Graeme Hammer Section II - Seasonal Climate Forecasting The development and delivery of current seasonal climate forecasting capabilities in Australia 67(10) Roger Stone Graham de Hoedt The potential for improved statistical seasonal climate forecasts 77(12) Wasyl Drosdowsky Rob Allan Global climatic models and their potential for seasonal climatic forecasting 89(20) Barrie Hunt A C Hirst Operational experience with climate model predictions 109(12) Neville Nicholls Carsten Frederiksen Richard Kleeman Stochastic down-scaling of general circulation model simulations 121(14) Bryson Bates Stephen Charles James Hughes Statistical methods for deriving seasonal climate forecasts from GCMs 135(14) Roger Stone Ian Smith Peter McIntosh Section III - Farm Scale Agricultural Decisions Using seasonal climate forecasts to manage dryland crops in northern Australia - Experiences from the 1997/98 seasons 149(18) Holger Meinke Zvi Hochman The potential value of seasonal climate forecasting in managing cropping systems 167(16) Peter Carberry Graeme Hammer Holger Meinke Michael Bange Comparing the value of seasonal climate forecasting systems in managing cropping systems 183(14) Graeme Hammer Peter Carberry Roger Stone Managing climatic variability in Queenslands Grazing lands-New approaches 197(30) Peter Johnston Greg McKeon Rosemary Buxton David Cobon Ken Day Wayne Hall Joe Scanlan Simulation of grazing strategies for beef production in north-east Queensland 227(26) Greg McKeon Andrew Ash Wayne Hall Mark Stafford Smith Managing climate variability in grazing enterprises: A case study for Dalrymple shire, north-eastern Australia 253(18) Andrew Ash Peter OReagain Greg McKeon Mark Stafford Smith Seasonal climate forecasting and the management of rangelands: Do production benefits translate into enterprise profits? 271(20) Mark Stafford Smith Rosemary Buxton Greg McKeon Andrew Ash Building knowledge and skills to use seasonal climate forecasts in property management planning 291(18) Jeff Clewett Neil Cliffe Lynda Drosdowsky David George Damien OSullivan Col Paull Ian Partridge Rod Saal Opportunities to improve the use of seasonal climate forecasts 309(20) Neville Nicholls Section IV - Regional and National Scale Agricultural Decisions Aussie GRASS: Australian grassland and rangeland assessment by spatial simulation 329(22) John Carter Wayne Hall Ken Brook Greg McKeon Ken Day Col Paul Using seasonal climate forecasts in forecasting the Australian wheat crop 351(16) David Stephens David Butler Graeme Hammer Can seasonal climate forecasts predict movements in grain prices? 367(14) Scott Chapman Robert Imray Graeme Hammer Section V - Natural Systems Climate variability, seasonal forecasting and invertebrate pests-The need for a synoptic view 381(18) Rob Sutherst ENSO regulation of Indo-Pacific green turtle populations 399(10) Col Limpus Neville Nicholls Streamflow variability, seasonal forecasting and water resources systems 409(20) Francis Chiew Tom McMahon Sen-lin Zhou Tom Piechota The effect of climate on the incidence of vector-borne viral diseases in Australia: The potential value of seasonal forecasting 429(24) John Mackenzie Michael Lindsay Peter Daniels Section VI - Synthesis Applying seasonal climate forecasts in agricultural and natural ecosystems -- a synthesis 453 Graeme Hammer