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Applications of Seasonal Climate Forecasting in Agricultural and Natural Ecosystems Softcover reprint of hardcover 1st ed. 2000 [Mīkstie vāki]

  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 472 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, weight: 820 g, XIV, 472 p., 1 Paperback / softback
  • Sērija : Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library 21
  • Izdošanas datums: 22-Oct-2010
  • Izdevniecība: Springer
  • ISBN-10: 904815443X
  • ISBN-13: 9789048154432
  • Mīkstie vāki
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  • Formāts: Paperback / softback, 472 pages, height x width: 235x155 mm, weight: 820 g, XIV, 472 p., 1 Paperback / softback
  • Sērija : Atmospheric and Oceanographic Sciences Library 21
  • Izdošanas datums: 22-Oct-2010
  • Izdevniecība: Springer
  • ISBN-10: 904815443X
  • ISBN-13: 9789048154432
Climate variability has major impacts in many parts of the world, including Australia. Developments in understanding of the El Nińo - Southern Oscillation Phenomenon have introduced some skill in seasonal to inter-annual climate forecasting. Can this skill be harnessed to advantage? Or do we just continue to observe these impacts? How does a decision-maker managing an agricultural or natural ecosystem modify decisions in response to a skillful, but imprecise, seasonal climate forecast? Using Australian experience as a basis, this book focuses on these questions in pursuing means to better manage climate risks. The state of the science in climate forecasting is reviewed before considering detailed examples of applications to:

farm scale agricultural decisions (such as management of cropping and grazing systems); regional and national scale agricultural decisions (such as commodity trading and government policy); and natural systems (such as water resources, pests and diseases, and natural fauna).

Many of the examples highlight the participatory and inter-disciplinary approach required among decision-makers, resource systems scientists/analysts, and climate scientists to bring about the effective applications. The experiences discussed provide valuable insights beyond the geographical and disciplinary focus of this book. The book is ideally suited to professionals and postgraduate students in ecology, agricultural climatology, environmental planning, and climate science.

Recenzijas

`The book provides the first consolidated collection of R-D in this area, and while there is still a great deal to learn, the book represents a significant step towards achieving more widespread and prudent use of SCFs around the world. We therefore have no hesitation in recommending this book to those who work in the development, delivery, or application of seasonal-to-interannual climate predictions and to meteorological service providers generally' Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82:10 (2001)

Papildus informācija

Springer Book Archives
Preface ix
Contributors xi
Section I Introduction
1 The importance of climate variability and seasonal forecasting to the Australian economy
1(22)
Barry White
2 The relevance of seasonal climate forecasting to a rural producer
23(6)
Sid Plant
3 Understanding and predicting the world's climate system
29(22)
Mark Cane
4 A general systems approach to applying seasonal climate forecasts
51(16)
Graeme Hammer
Section II Seasonal Climate Forecasting
5 The development and delivery of current seasonal climate forecasting capabilities in Australia
67(10)
Roger Stone
Graham de Hoedt
6 The potential for improved statistical seasonal climate forecasts
77(12)
Wasyl Drosdowsky
Rob Allan
7 Global climatic models and their potential for seasonal climatic forecasting
89(20)
Barrie Hunt
A C Hirst
8 Operational experience with climate model predictions
109(12)
Neville Nicholls
Carsten Frederiksen
Richard Kleeman
9 Stochastic down-scaling of general circulation model simulations
121(14)
Bryson Bates
Stephen Charles
James Hughes
10 Statistical methods for deriving seasonal climate forecasts from GCM's
135(14)
Roger Stone
Ian Smith
Peter McIntosh
Section III Farm Scale Agricultural Decisions
11 Using seasonal climate forecasts to manage dryland crops in northern Australia - Experiences from the 1997/98 seasons
149(18)
Holger Meinke
Zvi Hochman
12 The potential value of seasonal climate forecasting in managing cropping systems
167(16)
Peter Carberry
Graeme Hammer
Holger Meinke
Michael Bange
13 Comparing the value of seasonal climate forecasting systems in managing cropping systems
183(14)
Graeme Hammer
Peter Carberry
Roger Stone
14 Managing climatic variability in Queensland's grazing lands - New approaches
197(30)
Peter Johnston
Greg McKeon
Rosemary Buxton
David Cobon
Ken Day
Wayne Hall
Joe Scanlan
15 Simulation of grazing strategies for beef production in north-east Queensland
227(26)
Greg McKeon
Andrew Ash
Wayne Hall
Mark Stafford Smith
16 Managing climate variability in grazing enterprises: A case study for Dalrymple shire, north-eastern Australia
253(18)
Andrew Ash
Peter O'Reagain
Greg McKeon
Mark Stafford Smith
17 Seasonal climate forecasting and the management of rangelands: Do production benefits translate into enterprise profits?
271(20)
Mark Stafford Smith
Rosemary Buxton
Greg McKeon
Andrew Ash
18 Building knowledge and skills to use seasonal climate forecasts in property management planning
291(18)
Jeff Clewett
Neil Cliffe
Lynda Drosdowsky
David George
Damien O'Sullivan
Col Paull
Ian Partridge
Rod Saal
19 Opportunities to improve the use of seasonal climate forecasts
309(20)
Neville Nicholls
Section IV Regional and National Scale Agricultural Decisions
20 Aussie GRASS: Australian grassland and rangeland assessment by spatial simulation
329(22)
John Carter
Wayne Hall
Ken Brook
Greg McKeon
Ken Day
Col Paull
21 Using seasonal climate forecasts in forecasting the Australian wheat crop
351(16)
David Stephens
David Butler
Graeme Hammer
22 Can seasonal climate forecasts predict movements in grain prices?
367(14)
Scott Chapman
Robert Imray
Graeme Hammer
Section V Natural Systems
23 Climate variability, seasonal forecasting and invertebrate pests - The need for a synoptic view
381(18)
Rob Sutherst
24 ENSO regulation of Indo-Pacific green turtle populations
399(10)
Col Limpus
Neville Nicholls
25 Streamflow variability, seasonal forecasting and water resources systems
409(20)
Francis Chiew
Tom McMahon
Sen-lin Zhou
Tom Piechota
26 The effect of climate on the incidence of vector-borne viral diseases in Australia: The potential value of seasonal forecasting
429(24)
John Mackenzie
Michael Lindsay
Peter Daniels
Section VI Synthesis
27 Applying seasonal climate forecasts in agricultural and natural ecosystems - a synthesis
453
Graeme Hammer