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Modeling Environment-Improving Technological Innovations under Uncertainty [Hardback]

Edited by (Environmental Defense, USA), Edited by
  • Formāts: Hardback, 352 pages, height x width: 234x156 mm, weight: 635 g, 46 Tables, black and white; 90 Line drawings, black and white; 90 Illustrations, black and white
  • Sērija : Routledge Explorations in Environmental Economics
  • Izdošanas datums: 08-Dec-2008
  • Izdevniecība: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 0415463769
  • ISBN-13: 9780415463768
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  • Formāts: Hardback, 352 pages, height x width: 234x156 mm, weight: 635 g, 46 Tables, black and white; 90 Line drawings, black and white; 90 Illustrations, black and white
  • Sērija : Routledge Explorations in Environmental Economics
  • Izdošanas datums: 08-Dec-2008
  • Izdevniecība: Routledge
  • ISBN-10: 0415463769
  • ISBN-13: 9780415463768
Citas grāmatas par šo tēmu:
This book presents a compendium of methodologies for evaluating the economic impact of technological innovation upon climate-change policy.  There is a broad consensus on the key elements of climate-change science and agreement that near-term actions are needed to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.  However, there is little agreement on the costs and benefits of climate policy. Any policy implementation will result in an irreversible but environment-improving investment in alternative technologies; this change will generate immediately-realized costs but significantly-delayed benefits.  Hence, a critical element in policy selection is the inherent uncertainty in the climate and economy that can be expected over time.

The issues of technology and uncertainty are very much at the heart of the policy debate of how much to control greenhouse gas emissions. The costs of doing so are present and high while the benefits are very much in the future and, most importantly, they are highly uncertain. Whilst there is broad consensus on the key elements of climate change science and agreement that near-term actions are needed to prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system, there is little agreement on the costs and benefits of climate policy. The book looks at different ways of reconciling the needs for sustainability and equity with the costs of action now.

Presenting a compendium of methodologies for evaluating the economic impact of technological innovation upon climate-change policy, this book describes mathematical models and their predictions. The goal is to provide a practitioner’s guide for doing the science of economics and climate change. Because the assumptions motivating different problems in the economics of climate change have different complexities, a number of models are presented with varying levels of difficulty: reduced-form and structural, partial- and general-equilibrium, closed-form and computational. A unifying theme of these models is the incorporation of a number of price and quantity instruments and an analysis of their respective efficacies. This book presents models that contain structural uncertainty, i.e., uncertainty that economic agents respond to via their risk attitudes. The novelty of this book is to relate the effects of risk and risk attitudes to environment-improving technological innovation.

List of figures vii
List of tables xi
Acknowledgments xiii
Introduction 1
ALEXANDER GOLUB AND ANIL MARKANDYA
1 Cost and benefits of climate policy under uncertainty
9
ALEXANDER GOLUB, ELENA STRUKOVA AND JAMES S. WANG
2 Trade-offs between expectations and uncertainties: applying real options methodology to climate policy analysis
33
JON A. ANDA, ALEXANDER GOLUB AND ELENA STRUKOVA
3 Learning about climate change and its implications for near-term policy
54
MORT WEBSTER, LISA JAKOBOVITS AND JAMES NORTON
4 Structural uncertainty in the DICE model
78
AJ A. BOSTIAN AND ALEXANDER GOLUB
5 Abatement cost uncertainty and policy instrument selection under a stringent climate policy
127
VALENTINA BOSETTI, ALEXANDER GOLUB, ANIL MARKANDYA, EMANUELE MASSETTI AND MASSIMO TAVONI
6 The effects of climate policy on the energy–technology mix: an integrated CVaR and real options approach
158
SABINE FUSS, NIKOLAY KHABAROV, JANA SZOLGAYOVA AND MICHAEL OBERSTEINER
7 Risk-averse firms and new technologies
186
ALEXANDER GOLUB, DAN DUDEK AND ELENA STRUKOVA
8 The evolution of technological complexity: an agent-based simulation model of the global energy system
205
TIEJU MA AND ARNULF GRUBLER
9 Does the Kyoto Protocol cost too much and create unbreakable barriers for economic growth?
245
ALEXANDER GOLUB, ANIL MARKANDYA AND DOMINIC MARCELLINO
10 Improving the contribution of economic models in evaluating energy and climate change mitigation policies 269
JOHN A. "SKIP" LAITNER
11 The economic benefits of an energy-efficiency and onsite renewable energy strategy in meeting growing electricity needs in Texas 288
JOHN A. "SKIP" LAITNER, MAGGIE ELDRIDGE AND R. NEAL ELLIOTT
12 Low-cost offsets and incentives for new technologies 309
ALEXANDER GOLUB, NOAH GREENBERG, JON A. ANDA AND JAMES S. WANG
Index 327
Alexander A. Golub is the Senior Research Fellow for the Environmental Defence Fund, USA.

Anil Markandya is Professor of Economics at the University of Bath, UK, and Director of Applied Research at FEEM, Italy.