List of Figures |
|
xi | |
Preface |
|
xvii | |
1 Climate and Mathematics |
|
1 | (12) |
|
1.1 Earth's Climate System |
|
|
1 | (1) |
|
1.2 Modeling Earth's Climate |
|
|
2 | (1) |
|
|
3 | (2) |
|
1.4 Climate and Statistics |
|
|
5 | (1) |
|
1.5 Climate Variability and Climate Change |
|
|
6 | (2) |
|
|
8 | (2) |
|
|
10 | (3) |
2 Earth's Energy Budget |
|
13 | (16) |
|
|
13 | (1) |
|
2.2 Energy Balance Models |
|
|
14 | (2) |
|
|
16 | (1) |
|
|
17 | (1) |
|
|
18 | (1) |
|
|
19 | (1) |
|
|
20 | (1) |
|
|
21 | (2) |
|
|
23 | (6) |
3 Oceans and Climate |
|
29 | (12) |
|
|
29 | (2) |
|
|
31 | (1) |
|
|
32 | (1) |
|
|
33 | (3) |
|
3.5 One-Dimensional Model |
|
|
36 | (3) |
|
|
39 | (2) |
4 Dynamical Systems |
|
41 | (22) |
|
4.1 Autonomous Differential Equations |
|
|
41 | (3) |
|
|
44 | (4) |
|
|
48 | (1) |
|
|
49 | (2) |
|
4.5 Dynamics near Critical Points |
|
|
51 | (1) |
|
|
52 | (4) |
|
|
56 | (2) |
|
|
58 | (5) |
5 Bifurcation Theory |
|
63 | (14) |
|
|
63 | (1) |
|
|
64 | (9) |
|
5.3 From Examples to the General Case |
|
|
73 | (1) |
|
|
74 | (1) |
|
5.5 Hopf Bifurcation Theorem |
|
|
74 | (1) |
|
|
75 | (2) |
6 Stommel's Box Model |
|
77 | (10) |
|
6.1 Stommel's Two-Box Model |
|
|
77 | (1) |
|
|
78 | (4) |
|
|
82 | (1) |
|
|
82 | (1) |
|
|
83 | (4) |
7 Lorenz Equations |
|
87 | (8) |
|
|
87 | (1) |
|
7.2 Preliminary Observations |
|
|
88 | (1) |
|
7.3 Equilibrium Solutions |
|
|
89 | (2) |
|
7.4 Numerical Experiments |
|
|
91 | (1) |
|
|
92 | (3) |
8 Climate and Statistics |
|
95 | (10) |
|
8.1 Challenges for Statistics |
|
|
95 | (3) |
|
|
98 | (3) |
|
|
101 | (1) |
|
|
102 | (1) |
|
|
103 | (2) |
9 Regression Analysis |
|
105 | (12) |
|
|
105 | (3) |
|
|
108 | (2) |
|
9.3 Simple Linear Regression |
|
|
110 | (1) |
|
9.4 Regression Diagnostics |
|
|
111 | (2) |
|
|
113 | (4) |
10 Mauna Loa CO2 Data |
|
117 | (6) |
|
10.1 Keeling's Observational Study |
|
|
117 | (1) |
|
|
118 | (1) |
|
|
118 | (4) |
|
|
122 | (1) |
11 Fourier Transforms |
|
123 | (18) |
|
|
123 | (1) |
|
11.2 Trigonometric Interpolation |
|
|
124 | (1) |
|
11.3 Discrete Fourier Transform |
|
|
125 | (1) |
|
11.4 Fast Fourier Transform |
|
|
126 | (1) |
|
|
127 | (1) |
|
11.6 Correlation and Autocorrelation |
|
|
128 | (2) |
|
11.7 Fourier Series and Fourier Integrals |
|
|
130 | (1) |
|
11.8 Milankovitch's Theory of Glacial Cycles |
|
|
131 | (6) |
|
|
137 | (4) |
12 Zonal Energy Budget |
|
141 | (18) |
|
12.1 Zonal Energy Balance Model |
|
|
141 | (5) |
|
12.2 Legendre Polynomials |
|
|
146 | (2) |
|
|
148 | (2) |
|
12.4 Equilibrium Solutions |
|
|
150 | (1) |
|
|
151 | (1) |
|
|
152 | (2) |
|
|
154 | (5) |
13 Atmosphere and Climate |
|
159 | (6) |
|
|
159 | (1) |
|
|
160 | (1) |
|
|
160 | (2) |
|
13.4 Atmospheric Circulation |
|
|
162 | (2) |
|
|
164 | (1) |
14 Hydrodynamics |
|
165 | (18) |
|
|
165 | (4) |
|
|
169 | (1) |
|
|
170 | (1) |
|
|
171 | (2) |
|
14.5 Other Prognostic Variables |
|
|
173 | (1) |
|
|
173 | (1) |
|
14.7 Coupling Ocean and Atmosphere |
|
|
174 | (1) |
|
14.8 Need for Approximations |
|
|
174 | (1) |
|
14.9 Shallow Water Equations |
|
|
174 | (3) |
|
14.10 Further Approximations |
|
|
177 | (1) |
|
14.11 Boussinesq Equations |
|
|
178 | (1) |
|
|
179 | (4) |
15 Climate Models |
|
183 | (10) |
|
15.1 Climate Models as Dynamical Systems |
|
|
183 | (2) |
|
15.2 Dimension Reduction: Lorenz Model |
|
|
185 | (4) |
|
15.3 Abstract Climate Models |
|
|
189 | (2) |
|
|
191 | (2) |
16 El Nino-Southern Oscillation |
|
193 | (20) |
|
|
193 | (2) |
|
16.2 Recharge-Oscillator Model |
|
|
195 | (3) |
|
16.3 Delayed-Oscillator Model |
|
|
198 | (6) |
|
16.4 Delay Differential Equations |
|
|
204 | (2) |
|
16.5 Numerical Investigations |
|
|
206 | (2) |
|
|
208 | (5) |
17 Cryosphere and Climate |
|
213 | (10) |
|
|
213 | (1) |
|
17.2 Glaciers, Ice Sheets, and Ice Shelves |
|
|
214 | (1) |
|
|
215 | (5) |
|
|
220 | (3) |
18 Biogeochemistry |
|
223 | (14) |
|
18.1 Biosphere and Climate |
|
|
223 | (1) |
|
|
224 | (3) |
|
18.3 Carbon Transport into the Deep Ocean |
|
|
227 | (1) |
|
|
228 | (2) |
|
|
230 | (5) |
|
|
235 | (2) |
19 Extreme Events |
|
237 | (14) |
|
19.1 Climate and Weather Extremes |
|
|
237 | (3) |
|
|
240 | (2) |
|
19.3 Tail Probabilities and Return Periods |
|
|
242 | (2) |
|
19.4 Order Statistics, Extreme Value Distribution |
|
|
244 | (4) |
|
|
248 | (3) |
20 Data Assimilation |
|
251 | (18) |
|
20.1 Data Assimilation and Climate |
|
|
251 | (1) |
|
|
252 | (2) |
|
|
254 | (1) |
|
20.4 Sequential Data Assimilation |
|
|
255 | (2) |
|
|
257 | (2) |
|
|
259 | (2) |
|
|
261 | (2) |
|
20.8 Data Assimilation for the Lorenz System |
|
|
263 | (2) |
|
|
265 | (1) |
|
|
265 | (4) |
A Units and Symbols |
|
269 | (4) |
B Glossary |
|
273 | (6) |
C MATLAB Codes |
|
279 | (4) |
|
C.1 MATLAB Code for Lorenz Equations |
|
|
279 | (1) |
|
C.2 MATLAB Code for Regression Analysis |
|
|
280 | (1) |
|
C.3 MATLAB Code for Delay Differential Equations |
|
|
280 | (3) |
Bibliography |
|
283 | (8) |
Index |
|
291 | |